Vasco Da Gama vs Gremio Prediction 19 July 2025
🔊 At the Estádio São Januário in Rio de Janeiro, a pivotal clash between Vasco da Gama and Grêmio is set to unfold as part of the 15th round of the Brazilian Championship. Both teams find themselves mid-table but remain ambitious in their pursuit of a top-six finish. In this upcoming match, we can anticipate a tightly contested and cautious affair, where the cost of any mistake will be exceedingly high.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 28 July 2024 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Grêmio were the home side):
- possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 1 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Vasco da Gama and Grêmio:
- 30 matches played;
- home victories - 9, away victories - 14, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 33 for Vasco, 40 for Grêmio;
- average first-half total - 1.3, second-half - 1.13;
- average total goals per match - 2.43.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Round of 32 of the Copa Sudamericana, with Independiente del Valle hosting Vasco da Gama. The match ended in a 4-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle):
- possession: 22% vs 78%;
- corners: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 6 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 13.
⚫ "Colina Giants" are struggling to find their rhythm after a challenging start to the season. Following an away victory in the 12th round against São Paulo, Fernando Diniz's side fell at home to Botafogo (0-2). Later in the week, they traveled to Ecuador for the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana round of 16 against Independiente del Valle, suffering a crushing 0-4 defeat.
⚪ In the Brazilian Championship, Vasco sit in 15th place with 13 points. A win over 12th-placed Grêmio would allow them to draw level on points. However, achieving this will be tough even at their home ground, São Januário, as Vasco have lost three of their seven home matches this season.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Gremio Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on during the Round of 32 in the Copa Sudamericana (home team - Alianza Lima, visitors - Grêmio). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2-0.
Here are the match statistics (Grêmio vs Alianza Lima):
- possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 4 vs 9;
- fouls: 5 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 8.
🔵 The "Immortals" also struggle with a balanced play, both in defense and attack. After the league break, Grêmio traveled to Belo Horizonte to face one of the Série A leaders, Cruzeiro, and suffered a heavy 1-4 defeat. Like Vasco, Grêmio are competing in the Copa Sudamericana, which means they had a midweek fixture as well. In the Round of 32, they faced Peru's Alianza Lima, who confidently secured a home victory (0-2).
⚫ Consequently, the "Immortals" have kicked off the second half of the season with two consecutive defeats in crucial tournaments. In the league, Grêmio sit in 12th place and could close in on 9th-placed Corinthians with an away win. However, Mano Menezes' squad have struggled on the road in Série A, with just 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses.
Match Results: Gremio
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Number of encounters - 30;
- Home wins - 9, Away wins - 14, Draws - 7.
Statistics: Vasco da Gama vs Gremio
- Matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- Wins: 4 vs 4;
- Win percentage: 31% vs 31%;
- Losses: 8 vs 5;
- Draws: 1 vs 4.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 4;
- Losses: 6 vs 3;
- Draws: 0 vs 3.
- Vasco da Gama have avoided defeat at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings against these teams.
- Gremio have failed to win away in 11 of their last 12 matches (Serie A).
- Gremio have not won on the road in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's home team averages - 1.1 goals, visitors - 1.33;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.43;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 15 times; at the home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Vasco da Gama vs Gremio
- Average tournament total: 2.46 vs 2.46;
- Average goals scored: 1.08 vs 1;
- Average first-half total: 0.54 vs 0.62;
- Average second-half total: 0.54 vs 0.38;
- Vasco da Gama: average home total in the tournament - 1.14;
- Gremio: average away total in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Vasco da Gama have scored less than 1.5 goals in 16 of their last 17 head-to-head meetings against these teams.
- Vasco da Gama have scored less than 1.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 head-to-head meetings (Serie A).
- Vasco da Gama have scored less than 1.5 goals at home in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings.
- Vasco da Gama have scored less than 1.5 goals at home in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings (Serie A).
Corner Prediction
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3.85; at home - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.3; at home - 4.2.
Gremio: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.31, away - 5.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.6; away - 4.25.
- Gremio have delivered more than 3.5 corners away in seven consecutive head-to-head matches against these teams.
- Gremio have delivered more than 3.5 corners in seven of their last eight matches.
Card Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.74 (1.87 - home team and 1.87 - away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3.54 (2.07 - home team and 1.47 - away team).
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.08; at home - 1.86;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; at home - 1.6.
Gremio: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3.15, away - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; away - 3.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 30;
- Both teams have scored overall - 15 times;
- At the home team's ground - seven times.
Statistics: Vasco da Gama vs Gremio
- Total matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): six vs eight;
- BTTS for Vasco da Gama at home - two (29%);
- BTTS for Gremio away - four (67%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: four vs four;
- BTTS for Vasco da Gama at home - one (20%);
- BTTS for Gremio away - two (50%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming match, our editorial team anticipates a cautious approach from both clubs, as neither wants to extend their losing streak to three games. Both teams have been struggling with scoring, and their head-to-head history at "São Januário" suggests a tendency for low-scoring encounters. Considering their current form and tactical setups, we predict that the match will not feature many goals. Our pick is a bet on under 2.5 goals.
Betting Tips: Vasco da Gama - Gremio
in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 home games against Gremio.in 11 of last 12 away games (Serie A).in 9 of last 10 away games.in 16 of last 17 games against Gremio.in 14 of last 15 games against Gremio (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 home games against Gremio.in 6 of last 7 home games against Gremio (Serie A).in last 8 Vasco da Gama games.in last 6 Vasco da Gama games (Serie A).in last 5 Vasco da Gama home games.in 16 of last 18 Gremio games (Serie A).in 14 of last 15 Gremio away games.in last 8 Gremio away games (Serie A).in last 5 Gremio games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
