Gremio vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction 20 November 2025
🔊 The mid-table clash between Grêmio and Vasco da Gama is quite intriguing. Both teams are vying for a spot in the top 10, but their current form is far from impressive. Grêmio haven't secured a win in their last three matches, with only the most recent ending in a draw. Vasco da Gama, on the other hand, haven't earned a single point in their last three outings. Both sides are dealing with significant squad issues: the hosts are plagued by numerous injuries, while the visitors also face substantial lineup losses. The question arises: can the hosts claim all three points, extend the visitors' losing streak, and leapfrog them in the standings? Or are we in for another draw, similar to their first-round encounter at "São Januário" that ended 1-1?
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 19 July 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Vasco da Gama were the home side):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corners: 12 vs 2;
- fouls: 16 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Grêmio and Vasco da Gama:
- 31 matches played;
- home victories - 14, away wins - 9, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 41 against 34;
- average total in the first half - 1.26, second half - 1.16;
- average total goals per match - 2.42.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Gremio Team Overview
The team's latest official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, featuring Fortaleza as the home side and Gremio as the visitors. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Gremio vs Fortaleza):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 18 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 9.
🔵 Grêmio are navigating a challenging period, sitting 14th in the standings and showing inconsistent form. In their last three matches, Mano Menezes' side have managed to secure just one point-drawing 2-2 away against Fortaleza. Prior to that, Grêmio suffered defeats to Corinthians (0-2) and Cruzeiro (0-1). Currently, they trail Vasco, who are in 11th place, by just two points and hold a five-point cushion above the relegation zone. Therefore, a home victory could significantly enhance their position and boost their chances of qualifying for the Copa Sudamericana.
Match Results: Gremio
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Serie A tournament (home team - Vasco da Gama, visitors - Juventude). The match concluded with a 1-3 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Vasco da Gama vs Juventude):
- possession percentage: 71% vs 29%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 18 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
⚫ By October 27, Vasco da Gama had won 6 of their last 7 matches in Serie A. However, Fernando Diniz's side then suffered three consecutive defeats: against São Paulo (0-2), Botafogo (0-3), and Juventude (1-3). Currently, the team has 42 points and sits in 11th place. This losing streak suggests that over the remaining five rounds, Vasco are unlikely to catch up with seventh-placed Fluminense, who have 51 points, to edge them out of the Copa Libertadores zone. In this situation, it's crucial for the visitors not to lose against Grêmio. Otherwise, they risk swapping places with them and dropping out of the Copa Sudamericana zone, edging closer to the relegation zone as the championship draws to a close.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 31;
- Home wins - 14, Away wins - 9, Draws - 8.
Statistics: Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama
- Matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- Wins: 10 vs 12;
- Win percentage: 30% vs 36%;
- Losses: 13 vs 15;
- Draws: 10 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 6;
- Losses: 4 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 0.
- Grêmio are unbeaten at home in their last 14 head-to-head encounters with Vasco da Gama.
- Grêmio are unbeaten at home in their last 13 Serie A head-to-head encounters with Vasco da Gama.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The home team today averages - 1.32 goals, while the visitors average - 1.1;
- The average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.42;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 16 times; at the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama
- Average tournament total: 2.36 vs 3;
- Average goals scored: 1.06 vs 1.52;
- First-half average total: 0.55 vs 0.64;
- Second-half average total: 0.52 vs 0.88;
- Grêmio: Average home total in the tournament - 1.13;
- Vasco da Gama: Average away total in the tournament - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.8) vs 1.7 (away - 1.25).
- Vasco da Gama have scored less than 1.5 goals away in their last 14 head-to-head matches against Grêmio.
Corners Prediction
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 3.85; at home - 3.81;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 4.2; at home - 4.4.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 4.3, away - 3.88;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 3.9; away - 2.75.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.9 (1.45 for the home team and 1.45 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the home team's ground - 3 (1.33 for the home team and 1.67 for the visitors).
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 2.79; at home - 2.56;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 2.6; at home - 1.8.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 2.09, away - 2.13;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 1.7; away - 1.5.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 31;
- Both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- At the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama
- Total matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 17;
- BTTS for Grêmio at home - 8 (50%);
- BTTS for Vasco da Gama away - 8 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 3;
- BTTS for Grêmio at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS for Vasco da Gama away - 0 (0%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Amidst tournament anxieties and gameplay inconsistencies, this match could become one of the most tense in the round. Grêmio, stuck in 14th place, desperately need points: a five-point cushion from the relegation zone is hardly enough to feel secure. While their form is shaky, playing at home and the necessity to improve their season finale should give the team added determination.
Vasco da Gama, who recently dazzled with a run of six wins in seven matches, have suddenly stumbled-three consecutive losses have exposed their vulnerabilities. Their 11th place no longer seems secure: the gap from the relegation zone is shrinking, and there’s a daunting nine-point chasm to the Copa Libertadores spots. They have motivation, but confidence is lacking after painful defeats. The head-to-head record offers no clear advantage: the first round ended in a 1-1 draw, and victories are evenly split in their last five encounters. However, Grêmio are always dangerous at home. Our pick: Grêmio's individual total under 1.5 goals. This outcome has played out in five head-to-head matches between these teams. A likely scenario: either a goalless draw or a narrow 1-0 victory for Grêmio. In any case, don't expect a goal fest.
Betting Tips: Gremio - Vasco da Gama
in last 10 home games against Vasco da Gama.in last 9 home games against Vasco da Gama (Serie A)..svg)
in last 9 home games against Vasco da Gama (Serie A).in last 14 home games against Vasco da Gama.in last 13 home games against Vasco da Gama (Serie A).in 12 of last 13 home games against Vasco da Gama.in 11 of last 12 home games against Vasco da Gama (Serie A).in 22 of last 24 home games.in 14 of last 16 home games (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
