Sacramento vs New Mexico United Prediction 21 June 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Sacramento Republic and New Mexico United are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 03:00. The tournament match USL Championship will take place in the city of Sacramento at the Papa Murphy's Park stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Sacramento Republic being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 31 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - New Mexico United):
- ball possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 1 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Sacramento Republic and New Mexico United:
- played 13 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 3, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 20 against 11;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.77, in the 2nd half - 1.62;
- average total goals in the match - 2.38.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Sacramento Republic Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 14 June 2026 as part of the USL Championship tournament (home team - Colorado Springs Switchbacks, away team - Sacramento Republic). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks):
- ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 17 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
- 4 wins,
- 3 losses,
- 4 draws.
📈Currently, Sacramento Republic stands at a mid-tier position within the USL Championship standings, with a win percentage of 36% and a loss percentage of 27%.
⚽️Sacramento Republic has scored a total of 13 goals. On the defensive end, Sacramento Republic has allowed 11 goals over the season.
Match Results: Sacramento Republic

New Mexico United Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 14 June 2026 as part of the USL Championship tournament (home team - New Mexico United, away - Orange County Fc). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (New Mexico United vs Orange County Fc):
- ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 18 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
- 4 wins,
- 4 losses,
- 3 draws.
📈Currently, New Mexico United stands at a mid-tier position within the USL Championship standings, with a win percentage of 36% and a loss percentage of 36%.
⚽New Mexico United has scored a total of 12 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 13 goals over the season.
Match Results: New Mexico United
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 3, draws - 2.
Statistics: Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- win percentage: 36% vs 36%;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Sacramento Republic have not lost in 7 of last 8 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.54, the guests - 0.85;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.38;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United
- average total in the tournament: 2.18 vs 2.27;
- average total goals scored: 1.18 vs 1.09;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.27 vs 0.45;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.91 vs 0.64;
- Sacramento Republic: average total at home in the tournament - 1.8;
- New Mexico United: average total away in the tournament - 0.4;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.5) vs 1.1 (away - 0.33).
- Sacramento Republic have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 8.69 (5.54 - for home team and 3.15 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9.13 (5.88 - for home team and 3.25 - for away team).
Sacramento Republic: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.09; at home field - 6.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 6.75.
New Mexico United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.36, away - 4.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.67.
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 1.08 (0.54 for home team and 0.54 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.26 (0.38 for home team and 0.88 for away team).
Sacramento Republic: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.82; at home - 3.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; at home - 3.75.
New Mexico United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.36, away - 2.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 2.67.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United
- number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Sacramento Republic at home - 3 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for New Mexico United away - 1 (20%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Sacramento Republic at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for New Mexico United away - 0 (0%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (18/151, 11.9%);
- Sacramento Republic at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (2/5, 40%);
- New Mexico United away most often play: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:0 , 2:1 , 3:0 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.4% (odds 5.95)
1:1 - 10.91% (odds 6.04)
2:0 - 10.38% (odds 6.68)
Editorial Prediction
- Sacramento Republic have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games.
