TNS vs Caernarfon Prediction 20 February 2026

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams The New Saints and Caernarfon are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 19:45. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Oswestry at the Park Hall stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team The New Saints being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 28 November 2025 and ended with a score of 2:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - The New Saints):

    • ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2.

    📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams The New Saints and Caernarfon:

    • played 43 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 37, for the away team - 4, draws - 2;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 135 against 31;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.86.

    Head-to-head statistics TNS - Caernarfon

    87%
    39 Wins
    4%
    2 Draws
    9%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    45
    Total Goals Avg
    3.84
    Both teams scored
    49%
    3.13
    Total average
    0.71
    0.64
    Yellow cards
    1.09
    Last matches
    27.03.26
    Premier League
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    20.02.26
    Premier League
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    1
    2
    28.11.25
    Premier League
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    -
    -
    8
    2
    -
    -
    0
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    -
    -
    0
    2
    04.11.25
    League Cup
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    -
    -
    1
    2
    7
    8
    0
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    7
    8
    0
    1
    07.10.25
    Premier League
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    2
    2
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    The New Saints Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on 13 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Colwyn Bay, away team - The New Saints). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.

    Here are the game statistics (The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay):

    • ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 1.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team The New Saints has engaged in 22 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 17 wins,
    • 3 losses,
    • 2 draws.

    📈Currently, The New Saints stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 80% and a loss percentage of 12%.

    ⚽️The New Saints has scored a total of 59 goals. On the defensive end, The New Saints has allowed 19 goals over the season.

    Match Results: The New Saints

    Last matches
    28.08.26
    Premier League
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    Colwyn Bay
    Colwyn Bay
    -
    -
    6
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    6
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    21.08.26
    Premier League
    Cardiff Metropolitan University
    Cardiff Metropolitan University
    1
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    -
    -
    1
    8
    3
    5
    1
    2
    0
    5
    0
    1
    0
    4
    -
    -
    1
    8
    3
    5
    1
    2
    W
    14.08.26
    Premier League
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    Briton Ferry
    Briton Ferry
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    W
    07.08.26
    Premier League
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    Haverfordwest
    Haverfordwest
    -
    -
    8
    0
    6
    4
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    0
    6
    4
    1
    0
    W
    02.08.26
    Premier League
    Penybont
    Penybont
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    -
    -
    1
    7
    13
    6
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    7
    13
    6
    0
    2
    D
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    Caernarfon Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 14 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Caernarfon, away - Barry Town United). The match ended with a score of 0:2.

    Here are the game statistics (Caernarfon vs Barry Town United):

    • ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 7.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Caernarfon has engaged in 22 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 9 wins,
    • 6 losses,
    • 7 draws.

    📈Currently, Caernarfon stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 36% and a loss percentage of 28%.

    ⚽Caernarfon has scored a total of 44 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 35 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Caernarfon

    Last matches
    28.08.26
    Premier League
    Holywell Town
    Holywell Town
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    3
    5
    1
    3
    2
    2
    W
    21.08.26
    Premier League
    Trefelin BGC
    Trefelin BGC
    1
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    -
    -
    1
    5
    10
    7
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    10
    7
    1
    0
    W
    15.08.26
    Premier League
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    Colwyn Bay
    Colwyn Bay
    -
    -
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    0
    W
    07.08.26
    Premier League
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    Penybont
    Penybont
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    3
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    3
    0
    L
    02.08.26
    Premier League
    Gap Connahs Quay
    Gap Connahs Quay
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    -
    -
    8
    4
    9
    17
    0
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    8
    4
    9
    17
    0
    3
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 43;
    • home team wins - 37, away team wins - 4, draws - 2.

    Statistics: The New Saints vs Caernarfon

    • matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
    • wins: 20 vs 9;
    • win percentage: 80% vs 36%;
    • losses: 3 vs 7;
    • draws: 2 vs 9.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 8 vs 3;
    • losses: 2 vs 3;
    • draws: 0 vs 4.
    Trends
    • Caernarfon won with a +2.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 away games.
    • Caernarfon won with a +2.5 handicap in last 21 away games (Premier League).
    • Caernarfon won with a +2.5 handicap in last 15 games (Premier League).
    • Caernarfon won with a +2.5 handicap in last 13 games.
    👉Prediction: Caernarfon Handicap (+2,5) (odds: 1.42)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 3.14, the guests - 0.72;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.86;
    • both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 11.

    Statistics: The New Saints vs Caernarfon

    • average total in the tournament: 3.48 vs 3.2;
    • average total goals scored: 2.72 vs 1.8;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1.16 vs 0.56;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.56 vs 1.24;
    • The New Saints: average total at home in the tournament -  3.23;
    • Caernarfon: average total away in the tournament - 1.69;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.33) vs 1.4 (away - 1.2).
    Trends
    • The New Saints have not conceded in last 4 games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Caernarfon will not score goal (odds: 2.12)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 43;
    • both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 11 times.

    Statistics: The New Saints vs Caernarfon

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 17;
    • number of BTTS matches for The New Saints at home - 4 (31%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Caernarfon away - 8 (62%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for The New Saints at home - 2 (33%);
    • BTTS matches for Caernarfon away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.78)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (16/150, 10.7%);
    • The New Saints at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 6:0 (2/13, 15.4%);
    • Caernarfon away most often play: 1:1 (3/13, 23.1%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    2:1 - 11.32%
    1:0 - 10.39%
    2:0 - 10.25%

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • The New Saints have not conceded in last 4 games (Premier League).

    Caernarfon will not score goal
    Published: 18/02/2026, 20:35

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    Betting Tips: The New Saints - Caernarfon

    The New Saints have won:
    the-new-saints-fcin 13 of last 14 home games.
    the-new-saints-fcin 11 of last 12 home games (Premier League).
    the-new-saints-fcin 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).
    The New Saints Win
    Everygame
    -400
    Caernarfon have not lost:
    caernarfon-townin 6 of last 7 away games (Premier League).
    Caernarfon will not lose
    Everygame
    +266
    The New Saints have not lost:
    the-new-saints-fcin 13 of last 14 home games.
    the-new-saints-fcin 11 of last 12 home games (Premier League).
    the-new-saints-fcin 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).
    Caernarfon have not won:
    caernarfon-townin 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).
    The New Saints will not lose
    Everygame
    -1429
    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    the-new-saints-fcin 10 of last 11 The New Saints games.
    the-new-saints-fcin 8 of last 9 The New Saints games (Premier League).
    caernarfon-townin last 10 Caernarfon games (Premier League).
    caernarfon-townin 6 of last 7 Caernarfon games.
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    -323
    View more facts

    TNS - Caernarfon Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    The New Saints
    The New Saints
    22172359-1953
    2.
    Gap Connahs Quay
    Gap Connahs Quay
    22145348-2547
    3.
    Penybont
    Penybont
    22115636-3138
    4.
    Caernarfon
    Caernarfon
    2297644-3234
    5.
    Barry Town United
    Barry Town United
    2279633-2530

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 6
    +10
    +5
    21 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draws
    0
    4
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    21
    6
    Conceded
    16
    2.2
    Match goals average
    3.7
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    0.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    2
    Both teams scored
    3
    58'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats