TNS vs Caernarfon Prediction 20 February 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams The New Saints and Caernarfon are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 19:45. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Oswestry at the Park Hall stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team The New Saints being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 28 November 2025 and ended with a score of 2:0. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - The New Saints):
- ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2.
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams The New Saints and Caernarfon:
- played 43 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 37, for the away team - 4, draws - 2;
- number of goals (home/away) - 135 against 31;
- average total goals in the match - 3.86.
Head-to-head statistics TNS - Caernarfon

The New Saints Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on 13 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Colwyn Bay, away team - The New Saints). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here are the game statistics (The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
- 17 wins,
- 3 losses,
- 2 draws.
📈Currently, The New Saints stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 80% and a loss percentage of 12%.
⚽️The New Saints has scored a total of 59 goals. On the defensive end, The New Saints has allowed 19 goals over the season.
Match Results: The New Saints

Caernarfon Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 14 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Caernarfon, away - Barry Town United). The match ended with a score of 0:2.
Here are the game statistics (Caernarfon vs Barry Town United):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
- 9 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 7 draws.
📈Currently, Caernarfon stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 36% and a loss percentage of 28%.
⚽Caernarfon has scored a total of 44 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 35 goals over the season.
Match Results: Caernarfon
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- home team wins - 37, away team wins - 4, draws - 2.
Statistics: The New Saints vs Caernarfon
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 20 vs 9;
- win percentage: 80% vs 36%;
- losses: 3 vs 7;
- draws: 2 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 8 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 0 vs 4.
- Caernarfon won with a +2.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 away games.
- Caernarfon won with a +2.5 handicap in last 21 away games (Premier League).
- Caernarfon won with a +2.5 handicap in last 15 games (Premier League).
- Caernarfon won with a +2.5 handicap in last 13 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 3.14, the guests - 0.72;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.86;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: The New Saints vs Caernarfon
- average total in the tournament: 3.48 vs 3.2;
- average total goals scored: 2.72 vs 1.8;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.16 vs 0.56;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.56 vs 1.24;
- The New Saints: average total at home in the tournament - 3.23;
- Caernarfon: average total away in the tournament - 1.69;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.33) vs 1.4 (away - 1.2).
- The New Saints have not conceded in last 4 games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: The New Saints vs Caernarfon
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for The New Saints at home - 4 (31%);
- number of BTTS matches for Caernarfon away - 8 (62%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for The New Saints at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Caernarfon away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (16/150, 10.7%);
- The New Saints at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 6:0 (2/13, 15.4%);
- Caernarfon away most often play: 1:1 (3/13, 23.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 11.32%
1:0 - 10.39%
2:0 - 10.25%
Editorial Prediction
- The New Saints have not conceded in last 4 games (Premier League).