Tokyo vs Nagoya Prediction 19 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Tokyo have started the season well and are firmly in the top five. They have gone five matches without defeat and have been scoring consistently. Nagoya Grampus, meanwhile, are close to the danger zone and going through a difficult run - the visitors have won just twice in seven rounds. The contrast between the hosts' attacking output and the visitors' struggles is particularly clear from the current goal statistics, which could be a key factor in this match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Tokyo are ahead not just on points - over the long run, they have also been the better side.

    Head-to-head statistics Tokyo - Nagoya

    52%
    23 Wins
    23%
    10 Draws
    25%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    44
    Total Goals Avg
    2.34
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.43
    Total average
    0.91
    Last matches
    19.09.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    0.71
    0.67
    2
    4
    19
    12
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.71
    0.67
    2
    4
    19
    12
    2
    1
    21.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    31.08.25
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1
    1.42
    6
    3
    9
    10
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.42
    6
    3
    9
    10
    0
    3
    26.02.25
    J.League
    FC Tokyo
    FC Tokyo
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    2.46
    1.08
    3
    2
    12
    13
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    2.46
    1.08
    3
    2
    12
    13
    1
    1
    14.09.24
    J1 League
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    -
    -
    3
    7
    13
    9
    2
    3
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    3
    7
    13
    9
    2
    3
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    Tokyo Team Overview

    Tokyo have made a confident start to the season and are showing consistent results: four wins and one draw from their last five league matches. They average close to two goals per game in the league and concede more than one, which reflects strong attacking potential alongside a reasonably solid defence. The club are holding a place in the top five and are pushing to stay in the Champions League places, so they are maintaining intensity in almost every match.

    Match Results: Tokyo

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    0.71
    0.67
    2
    4
    19
    12
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.71
    0.67
    2
    4
    19
    12
    2
    1
    W
    12.09.26
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1.29
    2.34
    5
    13
    9
    12
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.29
    2.34
    5
    13
    9
    12
    0
    3
    W
    06.09.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    2.43
    1.16
    7
    4
    5
    11
    0
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.43
    1.16
    7
    4
    5
    11
    0
    3
    W
    02.09.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1.31
    3.64
    4
    3
    13
    10
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.31
    3.64
    4
    3
    13
    10
    0
    0
    D
    29.08.26
    J1 League
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    0.28
    1.27
    7
    3
    6
    11
    2
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.28
    1.27
    7
    3
    6
    11
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Nagoya Grampus Team Overview

    Nagoya Grampus are going through a difficult spell and have found no consistency in either attack or defence. They have won just one of their last five matches, losing the other four - a run that is reflected both in their league position near the danger zone and in the players' confidence. In the league, Nagoya are averaging just one goal scored per match and conceding almost two, which points to problems primarily at the back. The need to fight for survival from early in the season gives them a high level of motivation, but there has been no visible improvement in results so far, and they trail their rivals in the upper half of the table across all the key indicators.

    Match Results: Nagoya Grampus

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    0.71
    0.67
    2
    4
    19
    12
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.71
    0.67
    2
    4
    19
    12
    2
    1
    L
    12.09.26
    J1 League
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    1.99
    0.81
    3
    4
    17
    13
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.99
    0.81
    3
    4
    17
    13
    1
    1
    L
    06.09.26
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    1.09
    2.82
    6
    2
    12
    14
    2
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.09
    2.82
    6
    2
    12
    14
    2
    1
    L
    02.09.26
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    1.75
    0.42
    2
    1
    12
    7
    1
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1.75
    0.42
    2
    1
    12
    7
    1
    2
    L
    29.08.26
    J1 League
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    1.89
    0.88
    6
    9
    10
    17
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.89
    0.88
    6
    9
    10
    17
    2
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Total Goals Prediction

    Nagoya Grampus have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 head-to-head meetings against Tokyo, which supports a long-term trend. On top of that, Nagoya Grampus's average away output this season is extremely low - just 0.33 goals per game. This points towards Nagoya Grampus Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.4*.

    Reliable Bet

    Tokyo are unbeaten in their last 7 matches, which reflects their current form. They have also lost just one of six matches this season, and only once at home. Nagoya Grampus, by contrast, have not won a single away match. All of these factors make the Double Chance in favour of Tokyo the most well-supported bet, priced at 1.2*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely correct scores for this match are 1-1 (10.98%), 2-1 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The 1-1 result has the highest probability of the three. The probabilities of the other options are also fairly close to one another, which points to a closely contested match.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The contrast between Tokyo's consistent attack and Nagoya Grampus's vulnerable defence is clear. The hosts have been finding the net regularly - in their last five matches they have almost always scored at least two goals, and the trend backs that up. Nagoya Grampus, meanwhile, continue to have serious problems at the back, conceding close to two goals per game on average, with no sign of improvement even with high motivation. The visitors' league position gives them extra incentive to play more openly, but the statistics clearly favour the hosts' attack. The bet is Tokyo Team Total - Over 1.5.
    Tokyo Total goals Over (1,5)
    Odds-149
    Published: 17/09/2026, 09:49
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Snooker and football expert
    145
    0
    122
    267 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus

    Tokyo have not lost:
    fc-tokyo-1in last 7 games.
    fc-tokyo-1in last 6 games (J.League).
    Tokyo will not lose
    Everygame
    -714
    Nagoya Grampus have scored under 1.5 goals:
    fc-tokyo-1nagoya-grampusin 13 of last 15 games against Tokyo (J.League).
    Nagoya Grampus Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -455
    Tokyo have scored under 2.5 goals:
    fc-tokyo-1nagoya-grampusin 13 of last 15 games against Nagoya Grampus (J.League).
    fc-tokyo-1in 13 of last 15 games.
    Tokyo Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    Tokyo have scored:
    fc-tokyo-1in last 10 games.
    fc-tokyo-1in last 9 games (J.League).
    Nagoya Grampus have conceded:
    nagoya-grampusin last 12 games.
    nagoya-grampusin last 11 games (J.League).
    Tokyo will score goal
    Everygame
    -833
    View more facts

    Tokyo - Nagoya Table position

    J.League 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    852121-1017
    5.
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    852114-817
    6.
    Yokohama Marinos
    Yokohama Marinos
    842213-914
    16.
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    81348-146
    17.
    Nagoya Grampus
    Nagoya Grampus
    82067-146
    18.
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    81169-124

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 8
    10 matches
    Scored - 21
    Conceded - 11
    +10
    -10
    9 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    2
    2
    Draws
    0
    2
    Loses
    8
    Goal difference
    21
    Scored
    9
    11
    Conceded
    19
    3.2
    Match goals average
    2.8
    2.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    43'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    103'
    View all stats