Newcastle vs Hull City Prediction 19 September 2026
🔊 St James' Park will be packed to capacity this Saturday as Newcastle United host Hull City. The Magpies are motivated to make amends for their heavy away defeat to Leeds (1-4) and will give everything to avoid dropping points in consecutive matches. The Tigers have started the season better than they could have imagined and are sitting comfortably in the top four after four rounds played. Can Newcastle justify their status as favourites?
The rivalry has been on hold for quite some time.
📊 In recent history, the two sides have met just once - a friendly in the summer of 2024 on the Tigers' ground, which Newcastle won 2-0.
Head-to-head statistics Newcastle - Hull City
Newcastle are fired up to prove themselves after their recent defeat
Before losing to Leeds in the fourth round, Matthias Jaissle's side had been going well at the start of the season, with the occasional slip in the form of draws against Liverpool and Bournemouth (both 2-2). But the trip to neighbours Leeds knocked the confidence out of the German's players considerably, and the young manager now needs to find a way to lift morale and show what he can do at home after that setback - though injury problems across all positions are making themselves felt.
The League Cup has traditionally been an outlet for Newcastle, with deep runs to the latter stages helping to take supporters' minds off disappointments in the league. This season looks set to be no different. The Magpies have come through two rounds in good shape, beating West Brom (3-2) and Millwall (1-0). They now face Everton in the fourth round.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Hull: Pragmatic Approach Pays Off
The club's supporters are absolutely delighted. Sergei Jakirović's side have produced a genuine sensation, putting together one of the strongest starts by a promoted side in recent years. The Tigers have collected an impressive eight points from four matches and are firmly established in the top four. The Bosnian manager has quickly built a remarkably well-organised team, and experts have had to set aside their pre-season predictions of a difficult relegation battle.
The standout feature of their early-autumn form has been a monumental defensive record that came close to setting historic standards of reliability for a side promoted from the Championship. Hull City kept clean sheets in each of their first three matches, and it was only last time out at Stamford Bridge that the defence was breached, in an entertaining 2-2 draw against Chelsea.
Match Results: Hull City
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Newcastle United
❌ Yaisle has his hands tied by a significant number of injuries to both experienced players and new arrivals. Dan Burn, Joelinton, William Osula, Anthony Elanga, Jacob Ramsey and Nico are all unavailable to the German.
Hull City
❌ The coaching staff are heading into the away trip to Newcastle with a serious injury headache. A number of players are unavailable: defenders Nampalys Mendy, Paddy McNair and Charlie Hughes; midfielders Eliot Matazo, Hidemasa Morita and Darko Gyabi; and forward Ilias Ansa, who recently joined from German club Union.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Hull are a real threat away from home. Their attacking leader Mohamed Bellahmi is in outstanding form and scored both goals in the previous round. Newcastle's defence, which concedes an average of 2 goals per game, looks unlikely to keep a clean sheet. Newcastle have conceded at home in 14 consecutive matches, while Hull have scored away in 8 of their last 9 matches. The trends and form of both sides suggest the probability of Hull City scoring is high. We're backing Hull City Team Total - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.49*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
At their home ground, Matthias Jaissle's side tend to take control from the first minute. After a painful defeat last week, they are expected to push forward from the off, which always translates into corners. Sergei Jakirović's Tigers won't simply sit deep in their own box. In matches involving these two sides this season, the average corners total rarely drops below 10.5. Newcastle will press, and Hull will block crosses and clear the ball behind their own goal line. We're backing Total Corners - Over 9.5 at 1.52*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Matthias Jaissle's side are under serious pressure following their heavy defeat to Leeds. The Magpies are being asked to show discipline, so they will look to keep things as controlled as possible at St. James' Park. Newcastle average around 2 yellow cards per game in the current season. Newcastle are expected to dominate possession, while Hull will drop into the defensive shape that has already earned them three clean sheets this season. Calm, measured positional football without constant counter-attacks rarely produces a high volume of cynical fouls. The prediction is Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Newcastle, motivated to pick up points after a defeat, should be able to find the net here - they are the favourites and playing at home. Hull look solid and confident in defence and on the counter-attack, and have been going well this season without a defeat - the Tigers had no trouble scoring twice at Stamford Bridge. We think the Premier League newcomers will not leave Newcastle without a goal. Our prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Newcastle United - Hull City
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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