Maldonado vs Cerro Largo Prediction 19 September 2026
🔊 Deportivo Maldonado go into this match on a nine-game unbeaten run at home. Cerro Largo, meanwhile, have been struggling to find any consistency, alternating between defeats and draws with only the occasional win in their recent away matches. Neither side has had a smooth start to the tournament, and this is another chance for both to turn things around.
Head-to-Head
📊 In official meetings between Deportivo Maldonado and Cerro Largo, the two sides have played 20 matches. The hosts have won 4, the visitors 11, with 5 draws. In terms of goals, Cerro Largo have the edge, scoring 26 to Deportivo Maldonado's 15. The average is 2.05 goals per match.
Head-to-head statistics Maldonado - Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado Team Overview
Deportivo Maldonado have had an inconsistent season. In their last five matches they have won three and lost two - current form is on the positive side, but without any clear dominance. Their average of 1.52 goals scored per game across the season is reasonable, and the defence looks solid, conceding just 0.89 per match on average. Over a longer run of ten matches the club shows stability: four wins against three defeats and the same number of draws, with strong defensive discipline (0.7 conceded per game). The head-to-head trends also suggest that at home Deportivo Maldonado rarely score more than one goal against this particular opponent.
Match Results: Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo Team Overview
Cerro Largo have had a difficult run of late. They have managed just one win in their last ten matches, with six draws and three defeats - recent form that is far from convincing. During that period they have averaged fewer than a goal per game in attack (0.8), while conceding at a rate above one per match (1.2). Their season-long numbers tell a similar story: an average of 0.93 goals scored alongside a fairly inconsistent defence that has conceded 1.07 per game. Cerro Largo maintain a high level of engagement, which may show itself through attempts to sit deeper or make use of set pieces.
Match Results: Cerro Largo
Prediction for the 1st half
In the last 5 home head-to-head meetings between Deportivo Maldonado and Cerro Largo, the first half has always ended level. Neither side has been particularly prolific in first halves this season, which further supports the idea of a cautious start to the match. The odds on a Half-Time Draw are 2.05*.
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 goals has landed in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings between Deportivo Maldonado and Cerro Largo. Both teams are also showing low scoring numbers this season: Deportivo Maldonado average 1.52 goals per match, while Cerro Largo manage just 0.93. The last 10 matches further point to cautious play: Deportivo Maldonado concede only 0.7 goals per game, and Cerro Largo score 0.8. All of this suggests a high probability of a low-scoring outcome. The price on Total Goals - Under 2.5 is 1.66*.
Reliable Bet
In 9 of the last 10 head-to-head matches played at Deportivo Maldonado's ground, the total goals have not exceeded 3.5. Both sides have shown low scoring output both over the season and in their recent fixtures. This makes the Total Goals - Under 3.5 a very reliable bet. The odds are 1.20*.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-0 (14.63%), 1-1 (11.49%) and 2-0 (11.07%). A narrow home win is the most probable outcome, though the chances of a draw are also high. The gap between these options is small, which supports the case for a low-scoring match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Despite the hosts' recent form, it would be a mistake to hand them a clear advantage in this match. Cerro Largo are a stubborn side who can dig in and make things difficult. The trend shows that Cerro Largo have both scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches. It seems reasonable to expect goals at both ends here as well. Editor's prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Deportivo Maldonado - Cerro Largo
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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