Chacarita vs Patronato Prediction 4 October 2026

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Key points

    πŸ”Š Chacarita Juniors come into this match on a poor run of results, with their league position adding to the pressure: the hosts are in the relegation zone, four points adrift of safety. Patronato ParanΓ‘ sit just above the drop zone, holding a narrow advantage and looking to secure their position with five rounds of the season remaining. Both sides need points - Chacarita to close the gap on their rivals, Patronato to stay out of danger.

    Patronato have the upper hand in recent head-to-head clashes.

    πŸ“Š The last meeting between the two sides ended in a 2-0 win for Patronato.

    Head-to-head statistics Chacarita - Patronato

    20%
    2 Wins
    20%
    2 Draws
    60%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    10
    Total Goals Avg
    2.9
    Both teams scored
    40%
    0.9
    Average total
    2
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Patronato Parana
    Patronato Parana
    1
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    18
    15
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    18
    15
    4
    1
    28.09.24
    Primera B Nacional
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    Patronato Parana
    Patronato Parana
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    12.05.24
    Primera B Nacional
    Patronato Parana
    Patronato Parana
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    19.02.18
    PRI
    Patronato
    Patronato
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    -
    -
    -
    -
    15
    13
    -
    -
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    15
    13
    -
    -
    11.10.15
    Primera B Nacional
    Patronato
    Patronato
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    6
    2
    2
    1
    4
    1
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    Chacarita Juniors: Scoring Remains Their Main Concern

    Chacarita Juniors are going through a poor run of form: they have lost four of their last five matches, winning just once. Over their last ten games, the hosts have managed only two wins against seven defeats, and they are averaging just 0.7 goals per match - a trend backed up by the fact that they have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in eight of their previous nine matches. Defensively the numbers are slightly better, with an average of 1.1 goals conceded, but scoring remains the team's main problem even as they need to close the gap on their rivals in the fight to stay up.

    Match Results: Chacarita Juniors

    Last matches
    26.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Colegiales
    Colegiales
    1
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    1
    -
    -
    1
    5
    4
    2
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    4
    2
    4
    3
    L
    20.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    -
    -
    1
    6
    12
    11
    5
    6
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    6
    12
    11
    5
    6
    W
    13.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Ferrocarril Midland
    Ferrocarril Midland
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    -
    -
    6
    2
    10
    15
    3
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    10
    15
    3
    3
    L
    05.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    Club Atletico Atlanta
    Club Atletico Atlanta
    -
    -
    10
    2
    7
    8
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    10
    2
    7
    8
    2
    1
    L
    29.08.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta
    Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    1
    -
    -
    1
    7
    -
    -
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    7
    -
    -
    4
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Patronato ParanΓ‘ are chasing a win as they take on Chacarita Juniors.

    Patronato ParanΓ‘ sit just above the danger zone and have also struggled for consistency, managing only one win and three draws in their last five matches. Over their last ten, they have won twice, drawn six times and lost twice. Their average goals scored over those ten matches is noticeably higher than their opponents' - 1.4 per game - but their league figures across the season are more modest: 0.87 goals scored per match and one conceded per match.

    Match Results: Patronato Parana

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Patronato Parana
    Patronato Parana
    San Martin
    San Martin
    1
    -
    -
    0
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    0
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    W
    21.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Nueva Chicago
    Nueva Chicago
    Patronato Parana
    Patronato Parana
    -
    -
    2
    3
    8
    10
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    8
    10
    2
    1
    D
    13.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Patronato Parana
    Patronato Parana
    Temperley
    Temperley
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    D
    06.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Maipu
    Maipu
    Patronato Parana
    Patronato Parana
    -
    -
    5
    0
    8
    13
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    0
    8
    13
    1
    2
    D
    30.08.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Patronato Parana
    Patronato Parana
    Club Almagro
    Club Almagro
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    3
    4
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Corners Prediction

    In 7 of their last 8 matches, Patronato ParanΓ‘ have seen a total corners line of under 9.5, which points to a fairly consistent trend. On top of that, in 6 of their last 7 matches, Chacarita Juniors have also seen the total corners stay under 10.5, which fits with the overall low-corners picture for this match. We're backing Total Corners - Under 9.5 at 1.47*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 0-0 (19.25%), 1-0 (18.73%) and 0-1 (11.29%). A goalless draw is the most probable outcome, followed by narrow wins for either side. All three options reflect the generally low-scoring nature of the match.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    Reliable Bet

    Patronato ParanΓ‘ have conceded in 8 of their last 9 away matches - a consistent trend that points to a high probability of Chacarita Juniors scoring at least once. The hosts average 1.07 goals per home match. In this context, Chacarita Juniors Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals looks reliable at odds of 1.30*.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both sides come into this match with clear competitive motivation: Chacarita Juniors are fighting to climb out of the relegation zone, while Patronato ParanΓ‘ are looking to maintain a safe distance from danger. The home side's statistics point to serious problems in attack - their average goals scored and the trend towards an individual total under 1.5 back that up. The visitors have been more productive in recent matches and have lost just once in their last five games. Our prediction: Patronato ParanΓ‘ not to lose.
    Patronato Parana will not lose
    Odds-143
    Published: 02/10/2026, 14:21
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    6
    0
    7
    13 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Chacarita - Patronato Table position

    League Group B
    gWDLGDPForm
    14.
    Agropecuario Argentino
    Agropecuario Argentino
    31991326-3536
    15.
    Club Almagro
    Club Almagro
    31981426-3735
    16.
    Patronato Parana
    Patronato Parana
    31616927-3134
    17.
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    31861723-3330
    18.
    Club Atletico Guemes
    Club Atletico Guemes
    30581722-5023

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    7 - Losses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 6
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 7
    Conceded - 11
    -4
    +1
    14 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draws
    6
    7
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    7
    Scored
    14
    11
    Conceded
    13
    1.8
    Average total per match
    2.7
    0.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    3
    Both teams scored
    4
    129'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats