Tristan Suar. vs Quilmes Prediction 3 October 2026

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Key points

    🔊 The table situation adds extra interest to this match: Tristán Suárez are fighting for the title in the final stretch of the season, holding top spot under pressure from their pursuers. Quilmes sit in mid-table and still have a mathematical chance of reaching the play-off places, but they are six points adrift with five matches remaining. The contrast in form between the two sides is clear: the hosts are consistent both in results and defensively, while the visitors alternate between wins and defeats and are not always reliable at the back.

    Quilmes have a slight edge in goals scored, but they trail in terms of victories.

    📊 Tristán Suárez and Quilmes have met eight times in official matches. The hosts have won three of those, the visitors two, with three ending in draws. Quilmes have the edge in goals - 10 to Tristán Suárez's 7. On average, 1 goal is scored in the first half and 1.13 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.13 goals.

    Head-to-head statistics Tristan Suar. - Quilmes

    38%
    3 Wins
    38%
    3 Draws
    25%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    8
    Total Goals Avg
    2.13
    Both teams scored
    38%
    0.88
    Average total
    1.25
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    -
    -
    7
    0
    15
    13
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    0
    15
    13
    1
    1
    04.10.25
    Primera B Nacional
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    1
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    31.05.25
    Primera B Nacional
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    -
    -
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    01.09.24
    Primera B Nacional
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    14.04.24
    Primera B Nacional
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
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    Tristán Suárez: attack firing on all cylinders, defence proving nearly impenetrable

    Tristán Suárez are finishing the season in solid form - two wins and three draws from their last five matches, with no defeats in that run. In the ten matches before that, they lost just once, which speaks to the consistency you'd expect from a league leader. Their average of goals conceded across those games is just 0.4, and over the course of the season they are giving up only 0.48 goals per match. That level of defensive organisation allows them to pick up points regularly even in closely contested games and to protect leads effectively. Their objective is clear: holding on to first place requires full concentration through to the end of the season.

    Match Results: Tristan Suarez

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Ferrocarril Midland
    Ferrocarril Midland
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    16
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    16
    2
    2
    W
    21.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    Club Atletico Atlanta
    Club Atletico Atlanta
    -
    -
    4
    2
    11
    15
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    11
    15
    3
    2
    D
    16.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    San Martin
    San Martin
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    -
    -
    9
    2
    18
    12
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    9
    2
    18
    12
    0
    2
    D
    12.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta
    Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    1
    0
    D
    05.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    San Martin Tucuman
    San Martin Tucuman
    -
    -
    4
    0
    10
    17
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    0
    10
    17
    0
    2
    W
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    Quilmes boast an above-average attack, but they lack consistency.

    Quilmes come into this match having won two and lost three of their last five rounds, which reflects their inconsistency in the second half of the season. Over the course of the campaign they are averaging just under a goal per game (0.97), while conceding 0.87 per match - a figure that suggests they tend to play cautiously away from home. Across their last ten matches, Quilmes have four wins and four defeats. Their attacking potential is above average for a mid-table side, but a lack of consistency has prevented them from pushing for a higher position.

    Match Results: Quilmes

    Last matches
    26.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    Club Atletico Guemes
    Club Atletico Guemes
    -
    -
    8
    1
    10
    10
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    1
    10
    10
    0
    2
    W
    20.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Chacarita Juniors
    Chacarita Juniors
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    -
    -
    1
    6
    12
    11
    5
    6
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    6
    12
    11
    5
    6
    L
    12.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    1
    San Martin
    San Martin
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    11
    16
    2
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    11
    16
    2
    5
    W
    07.09.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Nueva Chicago
    Nueva Chicago
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    -
    -
    4
    5
    4
    5
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    4
    5
    2
    2
    L
    30.08.26
    Primera B Nacional
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    Temperley
    Temperley
    -
    -
    3
    1
    12
    15
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    12
    15
    1
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Total Goals Prediction

    In 7 of their last 8 home matches, Tristán Suárez have seen the Total Goals - Under 2.5 land. Both teams' seasonal averages are also low: Tristán Suárez score 1.2 goals per home game, while Quilmes manage just 0.73 away. Defensively, both sides are equally restrained - Tristán Suárez concede 0.47 at home, and Quilmes score fewer than one goal per away match. This points consistently to a low-scoring outcome, and Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.36* looks justified.

    Corner Kick Prediction

    Total Corners - Under 9.5 has landed in six consecutive Quilmes matches, pointing to a tendency for low corner counts. Given that both teams are playing a tidy game and the overall match pattern looks low-scoring, the bet on Total Corners - Under 9.5 at 1.53* looks justified.

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    The average figures for both sides in terms of goals scored and conceded point to low scoring: Tristán Suárez concede just 0.47 at home, while Quilmes score 0.73 away. On top of that, Quilmes have failed to score in their last 4 head-to-head meetings. In these circumstances, the bet on Both Teams to Score - No at 1.53* looks the most likely outcome.

    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-0 (15.91%), 0-0 (15.77%) and 1-1 (13.17%). A narrow home win is the most probable outcome, though the chances of a draw are also high. All three scenarios are close in probability and reflect the generally low-scoring nature of the match.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Looking at the statistics and trends, what stands out is not the attacking output of either side but the nature of their play. Quilmes have recorded under 9.5 corners in six consecutive matches - a clear sign of low activity in that area and a restrained style regardless of the result. Tristán Suárez are also not a side that tends to generate a high number of set-piece situations: they rarely allow opponents to push towards their goal, which is backed up by their solid defensive record over the course of the season. Even the competitive stakes are not pushing either team towards a more open scenario - both sides rely on organisation and discipline. The main prediction is Total Corners - Under 9.5.
    Corners - Total Under (9,5)
    Odds-189
    Published: 01/10/2026, 13:13
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    1
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    2 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Tristan Suarez - Quilmes

    Tristan Suarez have not lost:
    tristan-suarezin 24 of last 25 home games (Primera B Nacional).
    tristan-suarezin 11 of last 12 games (Primera B Nacional).
    Quilmes have not won:
    quilmes-acin 25 of last 26 away games.
    quilmes-acin 24 of last 25 away games (Primera B Nacional).
    Tristan Suarez will not lose
    Everygame
    -556
    Tristan Suarez have scored under 1.5 goals:
    tristan-suarezquilmes-acin last 7 games against Quilmes (Primera B Nacional).
    Tristan Suarez Total goals Under (1,5)
    -278
    Tristan Suarez have not conceded:
    tristan-suarezquilmes-acin last 4 games against Quilmes (Primera B Nacional).
    tristan-suarezin 7 of last 8 home games (Primera B Nacional).
    tristan-suarezin last 5 games (Primera B Nacional).
    Quilmes will not score
    -110
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    tristan-suarezin 7 of last 8 Tristan Suarez home games (Primera B Nacional).
    tristan-suarezin last 5 Tristan Suarez games (Primera B Nacional).
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Tristan Suar. - Quilmes Table position

    League Group B
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Tristan Suarez
    Tristan Suarez
    301412429-1454
    2.
    Gimnasia
    Gimnasia
    31159747-3854
    3.
    Temperley
    Temperley
    311411636-2553
    11.
    San Martin Tucuman
    San Martin Tucuman
    31913934-3240
    12.
    Quilmes
    Quilmes
    311081330-2738
    13.
    Nueva Chicago
    Nueva Chicago
    31991323-2936

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    1 - Loss
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 4
    +10
    +2
    12 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    2
    1
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    12
    4
    Conceded
    10
    1.8
    Average total per match
    2.2
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    0.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    3
    Both teams scored
    2
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats