Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction 20 September 2026
🔊 One of the standout fixtures in the English Premier League this weekend is Bournemouth vs Liverpool. The Merseysiders continue to navigate a demanding schedule and have had to fight for even draws in recent matches. The statistics from their latest games and the overall form of both sides suggest a draw is on the cards, but let's look at which team has more of a chance to take all three points and move up the table.
🔁 This prediction will be updated as important news emerges. Check back closer to kick-off.
The teams love to find the back of the net.
📊 In 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings, the match has produced over 2.5 goals. Across that run, Liverpool scored in all seven meetings, while Bournemouth scored in four. The most recent fixture took place earlier this year at Bournemouth's ground, with the Cherries winning 3-2.
Head-to-head statistics Bournemouth - Liverpool
Bournemouth: Pragmatism Leads to a String of Draws
The Cherries have made a fairly confident start and are gradually finding their rhythm as the season progresses. Their only defeat came in their opening match, when they let a lead slip against Manchester City: Bournemouth were ahead going into the 80th minute, but Enzo Maresca's side had the final say, scoring twice in the last ten minutes.
After that defeat, the hosts steadied themselves and went five matches without losing across all competitions. During that run they picked up three points in the league, drawing three times - against Brentford (2-2), Everton (1-1) and Newcastle (2-2). They also made a positive start in cup football, progressing to the next round of the League Cup with a 4-0 win over Lincoln, and beginning their European campaign with a narrow 2-1 victory over Real Sociedad in the Europa League league phase.
Match Results: Bournemouth
Liverpool’s run of draws has cost them valuable points.
Liverpool, who are unbeaten this season, travel to Bournemouth, who are on a run of 12 home matches without defeat. This looks like a genuine test for both sides - in attack and in defence.
The Merseysiders have been having some difficulties, winning just once in four league rounds, with the other three matches all ending in draws. In the games against Newcastle and Nottingham, they were forced to come from behind more than once, with both matches finishing 2-2. The team's defensive play has lacked conviction, and they have been allowing opponents to hit them on the counter-attack.
Match Results: Liverpool
Latest news
Bournemouth
❌ Out injured: Amine Adli, Julian Araujo, Eli Junior Kroupi.
❓ There are doubts over the availability of young Serbian defender Veljko Milošavljević.
🔁 Update, 20 September, 05:47 UTC:
- Veljko Milošavljević will definitely miss the match against Liverpool. However, the loss of the Serbian cannot be considered critical: he made only seven appearances for the English club last season.
Liverpool
❌ Andoni Iraola is working with certain limitations due to the absence of several attacking players and one defender. Hugo Ekitike, Federico Chiesa and Conor Bradley are all unavailable to him.
🔁 Update - 20 September, 8:24 UTC:
- Iraola said after the League Cup match against Tottenham that Trey Nyoni was already very tired after an hour of play. According to Goal, the 19-year-old midfielder will not start against Bournemouth, though he could come on as a substitute in the second half.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted Bournemouth starting XI: Petrovic - Smith, Hill, Silva, Truffert - Adams, Scott, Kluivert - Rayan, Evanilson, Tavernier.
📋 Predicted Liverpool starting XI: Alisson - Araujo, Jacquet, van Dijk, Kerkez - Szoboszlai, Mac Allister, Wirtz - Gakpo, Barcola, Isak.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Both teams have scored in every Bournemouth match this season, with the exception of the League Cup tie where the Cherries faced lower-level opposition in Lincoln. Liverpool have been conceding against teams who are not in the best of form. They let in two goals against both Nottingham and Newcastle, and even Tottenham, who had failed to score in four Premier League rounds, managed to find the net against Liverpool in the League Cup. We suggest taking a look at the Both Teams to Score - Yes bet at 1.47*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Under Iraola, Liverpool have been putting enormous pressure on opponents' defences at the start of the season. They shoot frequently from distance and make heavy use of active wide crosses. In away matches, Liverpool play from a position of strength against lower-quality opposition. Bournemouth will not park the bus even against a top side. At their home ground, the Cherries play with confidence, press high and earn plenty of corners themselves. We're backing Total Corners - Over 9.5 at 1.54*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Bournemouth currently lead the Premier League for yellow cards, having picked up 13 bookings in the first four matchdays. Liverpool are not far behind, rounding out the top five most-carded sides in the division with 10 yellows to their name. The match referee is Michael Oliver, one of the most high-profile and strictest officials in England. Oliver has little tolerance for cynical fouls that break up quick attacks or for arguing with the referee, which is particularly relevant given Bournemouth's emotional nature. Our prediction is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 at 1.79*.
🚀 Player Statistics Bet
Cody Gakpo has made an excellent start to the new season, contributing a goal and three assists in the first four league rounds. In Liverpool's most recent match, a League Cup game against Tottenham, Gakpo scored and added an assist. The Dutchman is in fine form, and we suggest looking at a bet on Cody Gakpo to score or assist at 2.04*.
😱 Risky Bet
For those looking for a high-odds option, we have the following suggestion. There is a good chance of at least one goal in the first half, and based on the teams' form, style of play and the historical tendencies of this fixture, we can reasonably expect several goals before the break. The match will most likely follow a high-scoring pattern, which is what the bookmaker anticipates. For those willing to take a risk and go for a high-odds bet, we suggest First Half Total Goals - Over 1.5 + Total Goals - Over 3.5. The odds for this combination are 3.2*.
🎯 Reliable Bet
In 9 of the last 10 head-to-head matches at Bournemouth, the opening goal came in the first half. In 5 of Liverpool's 6 matches this season across all competitions, at least one goal had been scored before half-time. Bournemouth have scored in every match they have played this season across all competitions before the half-time whistle. Based on this, our reliable bet is First Half Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.25*.
👀 If the match doesn't go to script
If both sides play pragmatically, looking to hold even a draw, and the game stays low-scoring, there is a plausible scenario where Liverpool fail to score twice - as was the case last round against Fulham (0:0). As an alternative bet, we'd suggest looking at Liverpool Team Total - Under 1.5, priced at 2.09*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
The bookmaker, like us, is expecting a high-scoring scenario and has priced the match accordingly. For our main prediction, we're looking at the corner statistics from the last five head-to-head meetings between these sides at Bournemouth's ground. In only one of those matches did the total corners not exceed 10.5. It's worth noting that Bournemouth's manager during those matches was Andoni Iraola, who now coaches Liverpool, so we expect the stylistic pattern of this fixture to remain the same and for the Total Corners - Over 10.5 to land. Our scoreline prediction is 2-2.
No comments
Betting Tips: Bournemouth - Liverpool
in 8 of last 9 home games (Premier League).in 5 of last 6 games (Premier League)..svg)
in 12 of last 14 games against Liverpool (Premier League).in 6 of last 7 games against Liverpool.in 8 of last 9 home games (Premier League).in last 6 games (Premier League).in 9 of last 10 games.
in 24 of last 25 games.in 21 of last 22 games (Premier League).in last 12 home games.in last 11 home games (Premier League).in 7 of last 8 games (Premier League).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
