Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction 24 January 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 Are we anticipating a draw at the Vitality Stadium? In the 23rd round, two of the Premier League's draw specialists-Bournemouth and Liverpool-will face off. The Cherries have shared the spoils in 5 out of their last 8 league matches, while the Reds have drawn their last four games. However, there's a clear favorite in their head-to-head clash. Bookmakers are backing Arne Slot's side, despite the reigning champions' current issues.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Andoni Iraola has molded Bournemouth into a formidable unit, but not when facing Liverpool. The Cherries have lost 13 out of their last 14 head-to-head encounters with the Reds, failing to score in 3 of the last 4. It's hard to imagine a more disheartening trend.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    14%
    3 Wins
    5%
    1 Draw
    82%
    18 Wins
    Total games
    22
    Total Goals Avg
    3.59
    Both teams scored
    41%
    0.77
    Total average
    2.82
    1.45
    Yellow cards
    0.95
    Last matches
    24.01.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    2.48
    1.04
    3
    11
    7
    7
    1
    1
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    2.48
    1.04
    3
    11
    7
    7
    1
    1
    15.08.25
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    2.16
    1.6
    6
    7
    7
    10
    1
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    2.16
    1.6
    6
    7
    7
    10
    1
    2
    01.02.25
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.65
    2.72
    3
    3
    15
    9
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.65
    2.72
    3
    3
    15
    9
    2
    3
    21.09.24
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    -
    -
    3
    9
    9
    12
    1
    4
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    9
    9
    12
    1
    4
    21.01.24
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    -
    -
    8
    5
    9
    12
    1
    2
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    -
    -
    8
    5
    9
    12
    1
    2
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    Bournemouth Team Overview

    In the penultimate round, Antoine Semenyo gave Bournemouth a farewell gift by scoring a last-gasp winner against Tottenham (3-2) in the 95th minute. It's hard to believe, but this remains the Cherries' only victory in their last 14 matches. As a result, just a couple of places above the relegation zone is a fair reflection of their decline following a spectacular start to the season.

    In the last round, Andoni Iraola's men recorded their favorite outcome-a draw against Brighton (1-1). The match was evenly contested, making the result quite fair, although the Cherries might see it as dropped points, having conceded in the 91st minute. Marcus Tavernier scored for Bournemouth and has now been involved in goals for three consecutive matches.

    Match Results: Bournemouth

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    2.01
    1.14
    6
    3
    11
    7
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    2.01
    1.14
    6
    3
    11
    7
    1
    1
    D
    19.05.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    1.76
    1.68
    7
    6
    16
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.76
    1.68
    7
    6
    16
    7
    4
    1
    D
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Fulham
    Fulham
    1
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    1
    1.49
    0.85
    11
    2
    12
    21
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.49
    0.85
    11
    2
    12
    21
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    2.17
    1.1
    7
    1
    10
    11
    0
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.17
    1.1
    7
    1
    10
    11
    0
    2
    W
    22.04.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    1.88
    1.4
    12
    1
    7
    10
    3
    0
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.88
    1.4
    12
    1
    7
    10
    3
    0
    D
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    Liverpool Team Overview

    Four consecutive Premier League matches without a win are certainly not what Liverpool fans expect from their team. However, there is a positive side to consider-a 13-match unbeaten run. Given the deep crisis the Reds faced in the fall, these results are impressive. Securing fourth place in the Premier League and advancing in the Champions League are further proof of their resilience.

    Earlier this week, Arne Slot's protégés unexpectedly thrashed Marseille at the Velodrome with a 3-0 victory. While it's hard to say the Merseysiders were vastly superior in terms of play, they demonstrated excellent finishing-something that was sorely lacking in their previous Premier League outing against Burnley (1-1). Scoring just one goal with an xG of 3.56 is disastrous.

    Match Results: Liverpool

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Brentford
    Brentford
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2.73
    1.34
    14
    2
    9
    9
    2
    3
    D
    15.05.26
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1.88
    1.08
    4
    9
    12
    9
    3
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.54
    0.46
    5
    2
    17
    17
    2
    4
    D
    03.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    2.95
    1.13
    3
    2
    12
    11
    2
    2
    L
    25.04.26
    EPL
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0.9
    1.43
    5
    8
    10
    10
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Bournemouth

    🎙 Andoni Iraola was understandably disappointed with the missed victory against Brighton: "It's very harsh; we had every opportunity to take all three points. Before the match, I might have settled for a draw, but looking at how the game unfolded, I feel a sense of regret," the Spaniard said.

    ❌ Julio Soler, Tyler Adams, Will Dennis, Ben Doak, Justin Kluivert, and David Brooks make up an already substantial list of absentees for Bournemouth. To add to their woes, Marcus Tavernier, who had been in excellent form, picked up an injury against Brighton and will be sidelined for a while. The silver lining is that Enes Ünal has made a swift recovery from his groin injury. At the press conference, Iraola mentioned that the Turkish player will be ready to face Liverpool.

    Liverpool

    🎙 During the pre-match press conference, Arne Slot was asked about winter transfers. The Dutchman responded: "I expect no changes to the squad. If an opportunity arises in the market and we believe it can strengthen the team, the club will always try to seize it. But for now - no."

    ❌ Liverpool's injury list remains familiar: Giovanni Leone, Stefan Bajcetic, Conor Bradley, and Alexander Isak. Additionally, Ibrahima Konate might miss the game against Bournemouth due to the passing of his father.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    Michael Salisbury is one of the most uncompromising referees in the Premier League, averaging 4.9 warnings per game this season. The Englishman has shown more than 3.5 yellow cards in seven consecutive league matches. Bournemouth's encounters with Liverpool, incidentally, have also been card-heavy, with over 2.5 yellows recorded in the last seven meetings. The "Cherries" are among the most aggressive teams this season, so expect a heated contest on the pitch.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Despite their strong performances and a recent clean sheet in the Champions League, Liverpool's defense remains their weak spot. Bournemouth, having scored in eight consecutive matches, should capitalize on this, but they are likely to concede as well. Therefore, the obvious choice is both teams to score (yes)-a bet that has come through in Bournemouth's last eight games.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between these teams, there have been more than ten corners. However, we prefer not to take too much risk, so we'll lower the bar and go for over 9.5 total corners. This wager consistently pays off in games involving both the "Cherries" and Liverpool. Both teams boast high averages, with more than five corners per game.

    Editorial Prediction

    Before the last round, Bournemouth were delivering one goal-fest after another, and our editorial team believes that after a brief pause, Andoni Iraola's side will return to form. The opponent is well-suited for this: Liverpool have been scoring well on the road, especially against the "Cherries" (more than 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 encounters), but they are struggling defensively and are unlikely to keep a second consecutive clean sheet. For this reason, our main bet is on over 2.5 goals, which has hit in 15 of the last 17 head-to-head matches between these teams. The predicted final score is a 2-2 draw.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2,5) at odds of -167*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (23 January 2026, 16:19)

    Betting Tips: Bournemouth - Liverpool

    Bournemouth have lost:
    afc-bournemouthliverpool-fc-1in 13 of last 14 games against Liverpool.
    afc-bournemouthliverpool-fc-1in 12 of last 13 games against Liverpool (Premier League).
    afc-bournemouthliverpool-fc-1in 6 of last 7 home games against Liverpool.
    afc-bournemouthliverpool-fc-1in 5 of last 6 home games against Liverpool (Premier League).
    Liverpool Win
    Bovada
    -132
    Bournemouth have lost the 1st half:
    afc-bournemouthliverpool-fc-1in 12 of last 14 games against Liverpool.
    1st Half Liverpool Win
    MyBookie
    +155
    Bournemouth have lost the 2nd half:
    afc-bournemouthliverpool-fc-1in 5 of last 6 home games against Liverpool (Premier League).
    2nd Half Liverpool Win
    Everygame
    +100
    Liverpool have drawn:
    liverpool-fc-1in last 4 games (Premier League).
    Draw
    Everygame
    +300
    View more facts

    Bournemouth - Liverpool Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    382011769-5071
    4.
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    381981156-4965
    5.
    Liverpool
    Liverpool
    381791263-5360
    6.
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    381318758-5457
    7.
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    3814121242-4854
    8.
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    3814111352-4653

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    6 - Draws
    0 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 8
    +6
    -6
    13 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    3
    6
    Draws
    2
    0
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    13
    8
    Conceded
    19
    2.2
    Match goals average
    3.2
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    0.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats