Alianza Lima vs AD Tarma Prediction 19 September 2026
🔊 In this Peruvian Clausura fixture, Alianza Lima take on Tarma. The hosts have shown excellent defensive solidity throughout the season, while the visitors' attack has traditionally been modest and is unlikely to produce a confident showing going forward. Pragmatic football is expected, which could make for a low-scoring outcome.
Head-to-Head
📊 The sides last met in April, when Alianza Lima won 1-0 away. There were also two matches the previous year, with each side winning their home fixture.
Head-to-head statistics Alianza Lima - AD Tarma
Alianza Lima Team Overview
The hosts have managed just one win in their last five matches. Their most recent victory came in mid-August, since when they have suffered two defeats and drawn two. Not the most encouraging run of form. That said, at home Alianza Lima are one of the stronger sides in the league. They average 2.23 goals scored and 0.69 conceded per home match. There is little doubt they can find what it takes to deal with one of the weaker teams in the Clausura. It would be hard to call this an easy ride for the hosts, but their defensive solidity at home means a clean sheet is a genuine possibility.
Match Results: Alianza Lima
AD Tarma Team Overview
Tarma have had a dreadful Clausura campaign - three defeats in their last five matches. On top of that, their only win in recent times came in a League Cup game. In the last round of the league they lost to Melgar (0-3). It is hard to see them finding any attacking solutions that would cause the opposition real problems. Away from home this season they are averaging just 0.83 goals per game. Defensively the picture is no better on the road, where they are conceding 1.92 per game. Given their attacking struggles, though, the visitors are likely to sit in a low defensive block.
Match Results: AD Tarma
Total Goals Prediction
In 8 of their last 9 home matches, Alianza Lima have seen Total Goals - Under 3.5, pointing to a tendency for relatively low scoring at this ground. The season averages also support this scenario: Alianza Lima score an average of 2.23 goals at home, while Tarma average just 0.83 goals away from home. Tarma concede 1.92 goals per away match, which is close to two, but rarely leads to high-scoring totals. On that basis, Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.47* looks a reasonable bet.
Corner Prediction
In their last 5 consecutive home matches, the total corners in Alianza Lima's games has exceeded 8.5, pointing to a consistent pattern of high corner counts for this team at home. A further trend - Alianza Lima have taken more than 6.5 corners at home in 5 consecutive matches - supports the hosts' attacking activity and increases the likelihood of a high corner total. A bet on Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.9* looks justified.
Reliable Bet
Alianza Lima have scored fewer than 3.5 goals at home in 19 of their last 20 matches - a very consistent trend. Their average goals scored at home stands at 2.23 for the season and 1.33 over their last 10 home matches. All of this points towards Alianza Lima Team Total - Under 3.5 at 1.22*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1-0 (16.86%), 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.60%). A narrow home win at 1-0 is the most probable result, though 2-0 and 2-1 are not far behind in likelihood. This supports the general prediction of a low-scoring match.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Tarma are clear underdogs in this match. Alianza Lima, despite some recent difficulties, look a considerably stronger side - one capable of creating chances consistently in attack while defending sensibly. Home support is an added advantage. Our editorial team does not expect Tarma to transform themselves dramatically. The match will probably end 1-0. A bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 looks like a good option.
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Betting Tips: Alianza Lima - AD Tarma
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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