AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima Prediction 14 April 2026
🔊 An intense battle is expected in the upcoming match. The teams are showing different forms in their recent games: the hosts are striving for consistency, while the visitors confidently maintain their position at the top of the standings. However, trends indicate low scoring from the opponents, which could affect the course of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 17 August 2025 and ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the match statistics (with Alianza Lima as the home side):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 13 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
📊 Tarma and Alianza Lima have officially faced off in only two matches. Their last encounter took place on 17 August 2025 at Alianza Lima's ground, ending in a 3-1 victory.
Head-to-head statistics AD Tarma - Alianza Lima

AD Tarma Team Overview
The last official match took place on in the Primera Division, featuring Cienciano as the home team and Tarma as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here is the game statistics (Tarma vs Cienciano):
- possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Tarma find themselves in a tough spot, sitting 14th in the standings. The team have been inconsistent, as evidenced by their recent run of five matches: one win, two losses, and two draws. Their attacking line hasn't been prolific, averaging just 0.9 goals per game. Meanwhile, their defense has been error-prone, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. However, when playing at home, Tarma strive to challenge their opponents, aiming to improve their league position.
Match Results: AD Tarma

Alianza Lima Team Overview
The visiting team played their last official match on in the Primera Division, with Universitario hosting Alianza Lima. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (Alianza Lima vs Universitario):
- Ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corners: 2 vs 3;
- Fouls: 12 vs 17;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Alianza Lima hold the 2nd spot in the standings, showcasing consistent performances. Over their last five matches, the team has secured three victories, drawn once, and suffered just one defeat. Alianza Lima are known for their solid defense, with an average of only 0.6 goals conceded per game. On the road, they focus on defense, as evidenced by their low scoring rate: in five consecutive away matches, they have scored fewer than 1.5 goals. Taking these factors into account, the visitors aim to maintain their position at the top of the table.
Match Results: Alianza Lima
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 2;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 0.5;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.5, while the visitors net 0.
First-Half Stats: AD Tarma (home) vs Alianza Lima (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 5;
- wins: 3 (75%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (25%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 5 (100%);
- Average goals scored: 1.25 vs 0.4;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.2.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 0;
- draws: 5 vs 8;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.5) vs 0.4 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.1).
- Alianza Lima have drawn in the 1st half in last 7 away games.
- Alianza Lima have drawn in the 1st half in last 6 away games (Primera Division).
- Alianza Lima have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 2 vs 6;
- win percentage: 22% vs 67%;
- losses: 4 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Alianza Lima have not lost in 15 of last 16 games (Primera Division).
- Alianza Lima have not lost in 8 of last 9 games.
- Alianza Lima have not lost in 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima
- average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 1.89;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.44;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.44 vs 0.89;
- AD Tarma: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Alianza Lima: average total away in the tournament - 0.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.5) vs 1.1 (away - 0.4).
- Alianza Lima have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima
- number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for AD Tarma at home - 3 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Alianza Lima away - 2 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for AD Tarma at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Alianza Lima away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (13/81, 16%);
- AD Tarma at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:2 , 2:3 (1/4, 25%);
- Alianza Lima away most often play: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.41% (odds 6)
0:1 - 12.2% (odds 7.5)
0:0 - 11.2% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In light of recent trends and statistics, the match between Tarma and Alianza Lima is likely to be a low-scoring affair. Considering Alianza Lima have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in their last five away games and the prevailing trend of under 2.5 goals in most of their matches, a lack of goals from both sides seems probable. With the visitors' defensive focus and the home side's inconsistent form, we anticipate a match with limited scoring opportunities. Our pick is under 2.5 goals.