Manchester United vs Leeds Prediction 19 July 2025

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The main thing

    🔊 What will Manchester United showcase in their first pre-season match? On July 19, the "Red Devils" face newly-promoted Leeds United. It's worth noting that the game will take place at an unusual venue, the "Strawberry Arena" in Stockholm, home to AIK. While results aren't the top priority for either side, neither team will want to kick off their pre-season with a loss.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Manchester United haven't suffered a defeat to Leeds since way back in 2010. Since then, the Red Devils have secured four victories in six official encounters against the Peacocks, netting at least two goals in five of those matches. Considering this history and the friendly nature of the upcoming match, which typically doesn't emphasize defensive play, it's reasonable to expect over 1.5 goals from Manchester United.

    Head-to-head statistics Manchester United - Leeds

    50%
    5 Wins
    30%
    3 Draws
    20%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    10
    Total Goals Avg
    3.5
    Both teams scored
    60%
    2.4
    Total average
    1.1
    1.4
    Yellow cards
    2.1
    Last matches
    12.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    -
    -
    8
    0
    12
    7
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    5
    4
    -
    -
    8
    0
    12
    7
    0
    0
    13.04.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    1
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    2.04
    2.37
    11
    4
    12
    15
    3
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    2.04
    2.37
    11
    4
    12
    15
    3
    2
    04.01.26
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    1.03
    1.48
    6
    4
    9
    9
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.03
    1.48
    6
    4
    9
    9
    0
    1
    19.07.25
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    1.78
    0.72
    3
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.78
    0.72
    3
    1
    -
    -
    0
    0
    12.07.23
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    -
    -
    -
    -
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    Manchester United Team Overview

    The last match took place on May 30, with Hong Kong hosting Manchester United. The game concluded with a scoreline of 1-3.

    Here are the match statistics (Manchester United vs Hong Kong):

    • possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 13 vs 3.

    🔴 Manchester United had a disappointing previous season. Ruben Amorim couldn't work his magic, and the team finished 15th in the Premier League, setting a new low. There was a chance to salvage some pride in the Europa League, where the Red Devils reached the final, but Tottenham, eager to end jokes about their trophy drought, proved too strong. The result was utter disappointment. However, the management still believes in the Portuguese coach, backing him with new signings.

    Match Results: Manchester United

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Ipswich Town
    Ipswich Town
    4.33
    0.88
    8
    4
    7
    12
    1
    3
    5
    2
    1
    1
    4
    1
    4.33
    0.88
    8
    4
    7
    12
    1
    3
    W
    22.08.26
    EPL
    Hull City
    Hull City
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    0.99
    2.18
    1
    6
    10
    9
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0.99
    2.18
    1
    6
    10
    9
    2
    1
    L
    15.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Milan
    Milan
    -
    -
    4
    2
    14
    14
    1
    1
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    -
    -
    4
    2
    14
    14
    1
    1
    L
    12.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    -
    -
    8
    0
    12
    7
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    5
    4
    -
    -
    8
    0
    12
    7
    0
    0
    W
    08.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    12
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    12
    1
    0
    D
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    Leeds United Team Overview

    The visitors' most recent match took place on in the Championship, with Plymouth hosting Leeds. The game concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Leeds vs Plymouth):

    • possession: 78% vs 22%;
    • corners: 7 vs 1;
    • fouls: 8 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 0.

    ⚪️ Leeds didn't linger long in the Championship. One season was all Daniel Farke's squad needed to make their return to the pinnacle of English football. And they did it in style, securing the top spot with a remarkable 100 points. We're looking at the highest-scoring team and the second-best defense in the league-96 goals scored and only 30 conceded over 46 matches. No matter how you slice it, that's impressive.

    Match Results: Leeds United

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Brentford
    Brentford
    1.12
    1.84
    5
    6
    5
    13
    0
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.12
    1.84
    5
    6
    5
    13
    0
    4
    D
    25.08.26
    EFL Cup
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    1.52
    1.71
    3
    2
    15
    12
    4
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.52
    1.71
    3
    2
    15
    12
    4
    3
    W
    22.08.26
    EPL
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    0.88
    0.75
    3
    2
    15
    14
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.88
    0.75
    3
    2
    15
    14
    2
    1
    W
    15.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    -
    -
    0
    1
    -
    -
    0
    1
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    0
    1
    -
    -
    0
    1
    W
    12.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    -
    -
    8
    0
    12
    7
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    5
    4
    -
    -
    8
    0
    12
    7
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Manchester United

    📝 Manchester are actively engaging in the transfer market, having already secured two signings. Matheus Cunha, one of last season's standout players in the Premier League, was signed back in June. In July, the squad was further strengthened by the addition of Diego Leon, a promising left-back from Paraguay who is expected to make an immediate impact in the starting lineup.

    📌 On their way out are: Marcus Rashford, Antony, Tyrell Malacia, Jadon Sancho, and Alejandro Garnacho. It seems highly unlikely that any of them have a future with the club.

    The Red Devils are facing a couple of significant squad issues. Due to injuries, Andre Onana and Noussair Mazraoui-key players in the starting eleven-will be unavailable.

    Leeds United

    📝 Leeds are making significant reinforcements, refusing to settle as underdogs in the Premier League. The "Peacocks" have signed Jaka Bijol (Udinese), Gabriel Gudmundsson (Lille), Sebastiaan Bornauw, and Lukas Nmecha (both from Wolfsburg). It's an intriguing transfer campaign, especially considering they've spent just over €25 million. Nmecha even joined on a free transfer.

    ❌ For the match against Manchester United, forwards Wilfried Gnonto and Mateo Joseph will be absent, having participated in the U21 Euros and still taking a break before the demanding season ahead.

    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-head matches:

    • Total encounters - 8;
    • First-half wins for the home side (at home) - 2; for the visitors (away) - 2; number of draws - 0;
    • Average first-half total: 1.63;
    • Today's home team averages 1.25 goals in the first half, while the away team scores 0.38.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    We've noted that the friendly nature of this match doesn't typically demand strict defensive play. However, it's crucial to recognize that players are just coming back from vacation and aren't in peak condition, so expecting high-octane football for the full 90 minutes might be unrealistic. A bet on under 3.5 goals seems promising, as it consistently comes through in Leeds' friendlies. The match could likely end with a 2-1 scoreline.

    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Published: 18/07/2025, 10:43

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    Betting Tips: Manchester United - Leeds United

    Manchester United have conceded:
    manchester-united-2in 11 of last 12 games (Club Friendly Games).
    Leeds United will score goal
    Everygame
    -278
    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    manchester-united-2in 8 of last 9 Manchester United games (Club Friendly Games).
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    -556
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    leeds-unitedin last 6 Leeds United games (Club Friendly Games).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -182

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 20
    Conceded - 13
    +7
    +5
    16 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    6
    2
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    20
    Scored
    16
    13
    Conceded
    11
    3.3
    Match goals average
    2.7
    2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    45'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats