Manchester United vs Leeds Prediction 13 April 2026
🔊 Who will emerge victorious in the "Roses Derby"? On April 13, Old Trafford will host the conclusion of the 32nd round of the English Premier League. Manchester United face Leeds, who have reached the FA Cup semifinals for the first time in 39 years. The "Peacocks" arrive at the "Theatre of Dreams" riding high and with a clear mission-to widen the gap from the relegation zone. However, history is not on Leeds' side: they haven't won a league match at this stadium since 1981.
Head-to-Head
📊 Leeds have been unable to secure a victory against Man United since 2011, spanning eight consecutive matches. However, both the last head-to-head at Old Trafford and the first-leg encounter of the current season at Elland Road ended in a draw.
Head-to-head statistics Manchester United - Leeds
Manchester United Team Overview
The "Red Devils" have been impressive at home. They have not lost a Premier League match at Old Trafford since October, maintaining an unbeaten streak of nine games (6 wins, 3 draws). Under Michael Carrick, their home record is even more remarkable, winning all five matches with a total score of 12:4.
In the last round before the international break, Manchester United drew 2-2 away against Bournemouth. The Mancunians led twice but were reduced to ten men following Harry Maguire's red card and couldn't hold onto their advantage. Notably, they did not participate in the FA Cup last weekend, resulting in a 24-day gap without competitive fixtures.
Match Results: Manchester United
Leeds United Team Overview
Leeds find themselves in 15th place in the table, just three points above the relegation zone. The issue is that the team hasn't won a league match in six consecutive games, securing only four points during this stretch. Moreover, in their last four outings, the Peacocks have failed to find the back of the net.
However, Daniel Farke's side has been impressive in the FA Cup. In early March, they thrashed Norwich 3-0, a team on a strong run in the Championship, and last weekend they knocked out West Ham. Despite conceding two goals in stoppage time and missing out on a win, Leeds held their nerve and triumphed in the penalty shootout, 4-2. The Peacocks have reached the semi-finals for the first time since 1987, where they will face Chelsea.
Match Results: Leeds United
Latest news
Manchester United
🎙 Bruno Fernandes on the changes under Michael Carrick in a recent interview: “Obviously, some things have changed. Players, positions, and formations have shifted. Ultimately, we started scoring goals. The team has become more compact defensively. The match against City was our best performance. Against Arsenal, things weren't as smooth in terms of play, but we managed to get the most out of that game,” said the United captain.
❌ The hosts are facing squad issues. Harry Maguire is suspended, and Matthijs de Ligt has been sidelined since November with a back injury and still hasn't returned. Patrick Dorgu is recovering from a hamstring injury. On the bright side, Lisandro Martinez is back in action and is likely to start.
Leeds United
🎙 Daniel Farke after reaching the FA Cup semi-finals: “We always take the hard road. An away quarter-final against a Premier League team is never an easy ride. We could have made things easier for ourselves. We showed great mentality, and I’m proud of the lads and how we kept our composure to ultimately win the match. It's a significant day for everyone connected with Leeds, as it's been a long time since we reached the semi-finals.”
❌ The injury situation for the visitors is concerning. Anton Stach (ankle ligament injury), Joe Rodon (ankle injury), and Dan James (adductor muscle injury) are definitely out. The participation of Noah Okafor, Jaka Bijol, and Gabriel Gudmundsson remains doubtful.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for the upcoming match is Paul Tierney. This season in the Premier League, the Englishman has officiated seven matches, handing out 24 yellow cards, averaging 3.43 per game, making him one of the league's more lenient referees. Tierney also averages 17.43 fouls per match. This will be his first match of the season involving these teams.
However, logic suggests that the "War of the Roses" derby, where both teams are desperate for a win, is unlikely to be card-free. Tierney may not be a strict referee, but the intensity of this fixture could boost his average stats. We are placing a bet on over 3.5 bookings, which has hit in five consecutive matches involving Manchester United.
⚽ Goals Prediction
In four out of the last five head-to-head encounters, both teams have found the net. This trend seems relevant as Leeds have seen both teams score in seven of their last eight away matches. United have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four league outings, and it's hard to be confident they will do so after such a long break. The bet is both teams to score (yes).
🚩 Corner Prediction
The difference in average stats between the teams is significant. At home, United actively use the wings and win many corners, averaging 6.6 per match. Leeds, on the other hand, only earn 3.4 corners per game on the road. The "Whites" to earn under 4.5 corners has occurred in nine of their last ten Premier League matches. This betting option seems optimal.
🚀 Player Statistic Bet
Bruno Fernandes is not only United's main creative force but also one of the Premier League's top playmakers. With 16 assists in 28 matches, he leads by a considerable margin. The record for most assists in a season (20), held by Kevin De Bruyne and Thierry Henry, is within reach. Leeds consistently struggle defensively on the road, especially against players making late runs from midfield. A rested Portuguese playmaker should find his chances. Betting on Bruno Fernandes to score or assist looks promising. Odds are 1.80*
😱 Risky Bet
Leeds haven't won at Old Trafford in the league since 1981, but they are riding high after recent cup success. United haven't played in 24 days and could face issues with match sharpness-a risky proposition indeed. While a win for Daniel Farke's side seems unlikely, a draw at odds of 4.30* is quite possible. Leeds have drawn their last six away matches in regular time.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned
United haven't played in 24 days-a significant gap. Should the "Red Devils" start sluggishly and take time to get into gear, they risk conceding an early goal from a sharp Leeds side. If signs point to this scenario, consider a live bet on Leeds to score in the first half. Pre-match odds are 2.70*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editor's Prediction
Manchester United are the clear favorites for this encounter, but their lack of match play over the past month adds some uncertainty to the mix. Leeds, on the other hand, are riding high after a historic cup triumph and have no issues with match fitness. However, a slew of injuries and their head-to-head history with the Red Devils make it hard to believe in the Peacocks' success.
Under Michael Carrick, United have been flawless at home, winning all five matches and scoring at least two goals in each game. Leeds' last three official visits to Old Trafford have seen them concede a total of 13 goals, so our main bet is on Manchester United's individual total goals over 1.5. The anticipated result is a 3-1 victory for the hosts.
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Betting Tips: Manchester United - Leeds United
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