Lokomotiv vs CSKA Prediction 19 May 2025
🔊 Who will triumph in the Moscow derby? While they aren't direct rivals in the standings, with Lokomotiv trailing by six points, there's still room for them to climb. Meanwhile, CSKA aim to secure their spot in the top three. Both sides are highly motivated. Given this scenario, it's worth exploring various options to make a well-founded prediction. The match will take place at the "RZD Arena."
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the span of 40 head-to-head matches, CSKA hold the edge with a 48 percent win rate. However, they've only secured victory in one of their last four encounters. For instance, in the first round, the "army men" fell on their home turf by a narrow margin (0-1). They did have some control over the game, but in the 90th minute, Nair Tiknizyan scored against his former team.
Lokomotiv have found the net in 6 of their last 7 home meetings, often striking in the first half. They might capitalize on CSKA's potential complacency following a significant cup win. If the "red-blues" don't hit the ground running, there's a strong likelihood that Lokomotiv will score in the 1st half.
Head-to-head statistics Lokomotiv - CSKA
Lokomotiv Moscow Team Overview
🟢 Lokomotiv are unbeaten in their last four RPL matches. However, they've had a relatively easy schedule, facing three teams from the lower end of the table. Yet, these matches posed their own challenges. For instance, the "Railroaders" struggled to contain a highly motivated Orenburg, resulting in a 1-1 draw.
🔗 In the previous round, Lokomotiv traveled to Voronezh, where Fakel had one last chance to fight for their RPL survival. The "Red-Greens" didn't impress much here either, scoring the only goal of the match in the 22nd minute, which proved to be the winner. Due to inconsistent point accumulation, Lokomotiv remain stuck in sixth place. On the bright side, they won't drop any lower.
Match Results: Lokomotiv Moscow
CSKA Moscow Team Overview
🔴 CSKA, who had a lackluster autumn, are now salvaging their season this spring. They remain unbeaten in the RPL during this stretch. While the team hasn't always looked dominant in every match, they've consistently picked up points. In the last round, the "Army Men" shook up the title race by defeating Krasnodar 1-0. This victory allowed Zenit to narrow the gap at the top of the table to a minimum. The lone goal was scored by Saul Guarirapa just six minutes after coming on as a substitute. Notably, the Venezuelan hadn't scored before the winter break and had faced regular criticism.
🏆 Just days later, CSKA pulled off a shocker in the Russian Cup. They had lost the first leg of the RPL Path final to Zenit by two goals (2-0), but mirrored that scoreline in the return leg. In the penalty shootout, the "Red-Blues" didn't miss a single shot, unlike their opponents. Now, they have a great chance not only for a top finish in the RPL but also for victory in the Russian Cup. Up next is Rostov, where CSKA are considered favorites in this clash.
Match Results: CSKA Moscow
Latest news
Lokomotiv Moscow
📣 Lokomotiv's head coach Mikhail Galaktionov shared his thoughts on the victory over Fakel: “We needed to break the streak of not winning away games for a long time. It was crucial for us to move forward, accumulate points, and stay competitive. There are still chances. We have two more matches where we need to perform well both in quality and results.”
📝 Lokomotiv are considering two forwards - Rudenko from Khimki and Sergeev from Krylia Sovetov. Glenn Bale from the Samara team is also attracting interest, as he could become a free agent this summer.
❌ Ilya Samoshnikov sustained an injury in the Russian Cup match against Rostov, causing him to miss two RPL rounds. However, he is close to recovery and might be included in the upcoming match squad. On the other hand, Sergey Pinyaev will definitely miss out due to an accumulation of yellow cards, which is a significant loss for Lokomotiv.
CSKA Moscow
📣 CSKA's head coach Marko Nikolic believes his team's progression to the Russian Cup final is well-deserved: "I didn't see Zenit doing anything on their own, without our help. We controlled the game. In my opinion, we fully earned our place in the final. Now we have an important match against Lokomotiv in the league. It's a crucial battle for medals."
💸 It has been revealed that CSKA players will receive double bonuses for their victory over Zenit in the Russian Cup.
✅ CSKA are preparing for the match with a full squad.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Artyom Chistyakov, who has officiated 15 matches in the RPL this season. On average, he hands out 4.07 yellow cards per game. In 7 of his last 8 matches, he has issued between 4 to 7 cautions.
Both teams show trends indicating a high number of yellow cards in their games. CSKA have received at least two warnings in 9 of their last 10 matches. Similarly, Lokomotiv have seen the same in 6 of their last 7 home games. Considering the referee's recent statistics and the fact that this is a derby, we suggest betting on total yellow cards over 3.5.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
CSKA boast one of the best defenses in the RPL, conceding just 19 goals in 28 matches-only Zenit have a better record. Under these circumstances, Lokomotiv are unlikely to score many, especially since they've netted more than once in just 1 of their last 7 matches. While CSKA might concede, it's doubtful they'll let in more than one goal. Therefore, we recommend considering Lokomotiv's total goals under 1.5.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Lokomotiv's attacking struggles are reflected not only in their low goal tally but also in their corner count. In 9 of their last 10 RPL matches, they've earned no more than four corners. The situation is further complicated by the absence of Pinyayev, who could have boosted flank attacks leading to set pieces. Hence, we focus on Lokomotiv's total corners under 4.5.
Editorial Prediction
CSKA face a demanding schedule, yet they manage to handle it well and currently appear objectively stronger than Lokomotiv. Moreover, unlike their opponents, they have no squad issues whatsoever. We believe the bookmakers are justified in making the visitors the favorites, and we're backing CSKA to win with a handicap (0).
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Betting Tips: Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow
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