Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Prediction 25 April 2026
🔊 What storylines are in store for the upcoming clash at the Wanda Metropolitano? One of the most intriguing matchups of La Liga's 32nd round is the encounter between Atlético Madrid and Athletic Bilbao. Both clubs have been underperforming in recent league matches. However, while Los Colchoneros offset this with their battle for Champions League glory, Los Leones are enduring one of their weakest seasons in recent years. Bookmakers give a slight edge to Diego Simeone's side, largely due to the home-field advantage.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head clashes between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao are marked by their balance. Over the last 10 matches, each side has claimed 5 victories. Let's take a closer look at the average scoring during this period: "Los Colchoneros" average 0.7 goals, while "Los Leones" average 1 goal per game. In the first half of the current season, Athletic secured a win over their rivals at San Mamés, with Alejandro Berenguer delivering the decisive goal in the 85th minute.
Head-to-head statistics Atletico Madrid - Athletic
Atletico Madrid Team Overview
⚪ Over their last eight matches across all competitions, the "Colchoneros" have managed just one victory. Even with a spot in the Champions League semifinals, this run seems unacceptable for a team of their caliber. Currently, the Madrid club sits in 4th place on the La Liga table, holding an 8-point lead over their nearest rival. Notably, the "Wanda Metropolitano" serves as a fortress for Diego Simeone's side, with 40 points from 16 home games (the second-best record in the league by points dropped). Looking at Atletico's average performance metrics, they score 1.66 goals per game while conceding 1.09.
🔴 In the last La Liga round, the "Colchoneros" suffered a setback at "Manuel Martinez Valero," losing 2-3. An early red card for Thiago Almada and a lack of cohesion in their attacking play led to the defeat. A glance at the expected goals statistic reveals that the match was dictated by a team fighting for survival in La Liga: 2.78 to 1.01 in favor of Elche. In the remaining rounds of the national championship, Diego Simeone's squad needs to show character and resilience to earn back their fans' trust.
Match Results: Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao Team Overview
🔴 The Basques have struggled to find last season's form throughout the current campaign. This season marks Ernesto Valverde's final stint at the helm of Athletic, as disappointing results coupled with insufficient progress on the pitch have led the club's management to this decision. At present, the Basque side sits in 9th place in the league standings, trailing the coveted top six by just three points. It's worth noting their average goals scored and conceded per match stand at 1.06 and 1.41, respectively.
⚪ In the previous round of La Liga, Athletic secured a crucial victory against Osasuna (1-0) at San Mamés. The standout performer of the encounter was Gorka Guruzeta, who found the back of the net early in the match. Following that, Ernesto Valverde's men aimed to turn the game into a dreary affair, which they largely succeeded in doing. Only Ante Budimir's missed penalty spared Valverde from facing tough questions from journalists.
Match Results: Athletic Bilbao
Latest news
Atletico Madrid
🎤 Atlético Madrid's head coach Diego Simeone shared his thoughts on the recent 3-2 loss to Elche: "We started the match well and believed we could win. We did everything to at least secure a point, but the team couldn't clinch the victory, and the responsibility is entirely on me. I remain optimistic about the future and have full trust in my players. They will overcome this situation, and I have complete faith in them. It was a painful defeat. The team, even down to ten men, gave everything to get a result, but it didn't work out. They put in a tremendous effort."
❌ In the upcoming La Liga fixture, Atlético's coaching staff will be without Thiago Almada (suspension), José María Giménez (leg injury), David Gantzko (leg injury), and Ademola Lookman (muscle injury).
Athletic Bilbao
📰 Athletic's management is actively searching for a new head coach. Recently, an intriguing update emerged: Edin Terzic is one of the leading candidates for the position. The former Borussia Dortmund coach has been out of work since 2024, and it remains uncertain whether he can elevate the Basque side to new heights. Current Athletic manager Ernesto Valverde emphasized the significance of their recent 1-0 victory over Osasuna: “You can't imagine how valuable this win is. We all knew those three points were crucial. Today, we had a lot at stake. You have to play these matches with intensity, just like we did.”
❌ Among the players unavailable for Athletic's upcoming match are Mikel Yareguizar (suspension) and Benat Prados (knee injury).
⚽ Goal Prediction
It's noteworthy that the head-to-head clashes between these teams are traditionally intense, with a lack of sharp attacking actions. Interestingly, in 8 out of the last 10 encounters, there have been no more than two goals scored. It's important to note the average number of goals conceded by each team in the current La Liga season: Atlético Madrid - 1.1, Athletic Bilbao - 1.4. Our editorial choice is under 2.5 goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both teams are known for earning a solid number of corners per game: Atlético Madrid - 6.4, Athletic Bilbao - 5.6. Both Diego Simeone and Ernesto Valverde boast players in their attacking line-ups who are a constant threat from the flanks due to their individual skills. We propose the following bet - over 9.5 corners.
🚀 Player Statistic Bet
Our editorial team anticipates a match filled with clashes and duels. Both teams are resilient, despite facing significant form issues. It's likely that Athletic Bilbao will play defensively due to personnel issues and the away game status. We specifically highlight Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta - the Spanish defensive midfielder often resorts to tactical fouls due to his role, having already received 9 yellow cards this La Liga season. Our editorial choice is Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta to receive a card at odds of 2.65*.
😱 Risky Bet
In the upcoming match, we suggest paying special attention to Alexander Sørloth. The Norwegian forward is adept at delivering results in tough encounters with stubborn opponents. His physical presence and effectiveness in aerial duels are particularly noteworthy. We propose considering the following risky bet - Alexander Sørloth to score a header at odds of 4.5*.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned
A quick goal or an unexpected red card could disrupt the plans of either coach. In such a scenario, we might witness an open game with end-to-end action, leading to a goal fest. Both teams possess skillful attackers capable of contributing to this outcome. Our editorial choice is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.87*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
Despite Atlético Madrid's impressive performances on the international stage, the domestic league holds a special place for their fans. A rapid decline in form is not an option they can afford. Following a disappointing display at “Manuel Martínez Valero,” Diego Simeone's squad will be determined to deliver for their home supporters. Our editorial team predicts a final score of 1-0, with the key bet being an Atlético win with a (0) handicap.
No comments
Betting Tips: Atletico Madrid - Athletic Bilbao
in 7 of last 8 home games against Athletic Bilbao (La Liga).
in last 7 games against Athletic Bilbao (La Liga).in 6 of last 7 home games against Athletic Bilbao.in last 5 home games against Athletic Bilbao (La Liga).
in 9 of last 10 home games against Athletic Bilbao (La Liga).in 13 of last 15 home games (La Liga).in 7 of last 8 games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
