Atletico vs Bilbao Prediction 1 March 2025
🔊 Will the "Basques" settle the score with the "Mattress Makers" for the defeat at the start of the season? A highly intriguing matchup of the upcoming La Liga round is the confrontation between Atletico Madrid and Athletic. Both clubs are in the top 4, which makes watching one of the season's main games on Saturday evening a must. The initial odds from bookmakers are as follows: success for the "Mattress Makers" - 2, victory for the "Basques" - 3.8.
Head-to-Head
At the very start of the season, the “Indians” managed to overcome their opponent and achieve the necessary result at “San Mames” (1:0). Let's also take a look at the complete statistics of head-to-head outcomes between Atletico and Athletic in the elite division of Spanish football: 80 victories for the “Mattress Makers”, 31 draws, and 64 victories for the “Lions”.
Head-to-head statistics Atletico - Bilbao

Atletico Madrid Team Overview
The unbeaten streak of the "Colchoneros" has reached 9 consecutive matches across all competitions. A testament to Atletico's high level is their continued fight for victory in all tournaments. Diego Simeone is not only a tactician capable of adapting well to the strengths of his opponents but also a flexible specialist who embraces modern trends. In recent seasons, the "Colchoneros" have transformed their tactical model, placing significant emphasis on effectiveness in transitional phases and the positional development of attacks. An absolutely indispensable player for the Argentine specialist is his compatriot Rodrigo De Paul. The World Cup champion is almost always the primary conduit of the ball between lines and performs a large amount of defensive work, providing significant support to the wing-backs. The role assigned to Simeone Jr. on the field is also extremely intriguing. Often, the 22-year-old finds himself in the role of a wing-back, allowing the team to switch to a 5-defender formation when playing without the ball and offering greater variability during attacking actions. Cesar Azpilicueta and Koke remain in the "Indians'" infirmary.
Match Results: Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao Team Overview
The team from Bilbao has gained fantastic momentum, remaining unbeaten in La Liga since the beginning of October. It was then that Ernesto Valverde's squad suffered an away defeat at Montilivi - 1:2. In the last round, the "Basques" dismantled Valladolid (7:1). One of the main heroes of recent matches is Nico Williams, who managed to make decisive contributions in three consecutive games. In fact, there is nothing groundbreaking in Ernesto Valverde's ideas. The Spanish specialist rotates formations between 4-2-1-3, 4-3-3, and 4-2-3-1 depending on the nature of the match and the class of the opponent. Additionally, the "Basques" focus on controlling open spaces, which allows them to operate effectively without the ball, depriving opponents of their "trump cards" during transitional phases. However, it is quite difficult to say that the "Lions" perform exemplarily in positional defense. More than once this season, we have witnessed players losing their positions and not very effective team interactions. A significant personnel loss for Athletic is the injury of Oihan Sancet, who is rightfully considered one of the best "number tens" in the championship.
Match Results: Athletic Bilbao
⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION
In 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches, there were no more than two shots on goal. The restrained styles of both clubs are unlikely to contribute to a high-scoring game. Moreover, this season both the "Mattress Makers" (0.6) and the "Basques" (0.9) are conceding a minimal number of goals. We suggest considering the following event - total under 2.5 goals.
🚩 CORNER KICK PREDICTION
Again, we focus on the head-to-head statistics: in 4 of the previous 5 cases, there were no more than 10 corner kicks. Furthermore, a similar trend follows the last 4 out of 5 matches for each team this season. The strengths of the "Mattress Makers" and the "Basques" do not lie in wing play. Based on this, our choice is - total under 10 corners.
Editorial Prediction
The teams are neighbors in the standings, thereby continuing to actively participate in the championship race. Considering the fact that Ernesto Valverde's squad is only 6 points behind the league leader, our editorial team would not count out the "lions". It is unlikely that either side will take increased game risks, given the high density in the standings. Our prediction for the final score is 1:1. The key bet is total under 2.5 goals.
