PSG vs Havre Prediction
🔊 Will Le Havre spring a surprise in Paris? In the 30th round of Ligue 1, one of the underdogs will visit the Parc des Princes. The "Dark Blues" are desperately in need of points as they fight for survival. Meanwhile, the Parisians have already celebrated their championship and just advanced to the semifinals of the Champions League after a hard-fought battle against Aston Villa. Motivation could be the key factor in the upcoming match.
Head-to-Head
📊 PSG and Le Havre have faced off in three official matches. Here's the breakdown:
- Goals: 9 for the home team and 4 for the visitors;
- Average total goals per match - 4.33.
The last encounter took place on 16 August 2024 at Le Havre's ground and ended with a 1-4 scoreline.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview
⚪️ PSG are riding a wave of celebrations. After clinching an early Ligue 1 title in their previous match, they advanced to the Champions League semifinals on Tuesday. In this context, the game against Le Havre takes a back seat. The big question is what emotional and physical state the Parisians will be in when they take the field. Additionally, Luis Enrique is likely to implement significant squad rotation.
📣 Following their progression to the Champions League semifinals, the Spaniard expressed satisfaction with the team's performance, but with a caveat: “It's always tough to reach the Champions League semifinals. This is the second year in a row we've made it to this stage. The match was very challenging, even though we started in the best possible way by scoring two goals. Complications arose afterward. We had a lot of confidence in the first half. Never be overconfident. A football match can change at any moment. We have to see this in a positive light. The team is even better than last year, and we'll fight for every trophy until the end.”
❌ Importantly, there are no injuries or suspensions for the hosts ahead of the upcoming game.
Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain
Havre Team Overview
🔵 Le Havre are desperately fighting for survival, currently sitting in the playoff zone. They are three points away from the direct relegation zone and just two points shy of the safe 15th place. The "Dark Blues" have shown they can collect points, having secured 10 in their last 6 matches, which is a testament to their resilience. Le Havre need to muster all their strength and challenge the favorites, much like they did in April 2024, when they led 3-1 during the match at Parc des Princes, only to let the advantage slip away in the final moments (3-3).
🔝 Defensive midfielder Junior Mwanga scored his first goal of the season in last week's match against Rennes (1-5). He joined Le Havre on loan from Strasbourg this winter.
❌ The participation of forward Elese Logbo, left winger Antoine Joujou, and left-back Yanis Zouaoui is doubtful. Forward Yann Kitala will be unavailable for the game.
Match Results: Havre
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Paris Saint-Germain vs Havre
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 29;
- number of wins: 23 vs 8;
- win percentage: 82% vs 28%;
- number of losses: 0 vs 18;
- number of draws: 5 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 8 vs 4;
- number of losses: 2 vs 4;
- number of draws: 0 vs 2.
- Havre won with a +3.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 games (Ligue 1).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 3, the guests - 1.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Paris Saint-Germain vs Havre
- average total in the tournament: 3.79 vs 3.24;
- average total goals scored: 2.86 vs 1.1;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.18 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.68 vs 0.55;
- Paris Saint-Germain: average total at home in the tournament - 2.79;
- Havre: average total away in the tournament - 1.36;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.8 (home - 2.2) vs 1.8 (away - 2.2).
- Paris Saint-Germain have conceded in 7 of last 8 home games (Ligue 1).
- Havre have scored in their last 10 games (Ligue 1).
- Havre have scored in their last 9 away games (Ligue 1).
- Havre have scored in their last 7 away games.
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 11.33 (7 - for home team and 4.33 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 13 (11 - for home team and 2 - for away team).
Paris Saint-Germain: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.11; at home field - 6.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.5; at home field - 8.4.
Havre: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.83, away - 3.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.4.
- Havre have taken over 1.5 corners in 12 of last 13 games (Ligue 1).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2 (1 for home team and 1 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3 (2 for home team and 1 for away team).
Paris Saint-Germain: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.14; at home - 1.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 0.8; at home - 0.4.
Havre: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.66, away - 1.79;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 2.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Paris Saint-Germain vs Havre
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 21 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Paris Saint-Germain at home - 10 (71%);
- number of BTTS matches for Havre away - 8 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for Paris Saint-Germain at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Havre away - 4 (80%).
- Paris Saint-Germain have scored and conceded in 12 of last 14 games (Ligue 1).
- Paris Saint-Germain have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games (Ligue 1).
- Havre have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games (Ligue 1).
- Havre have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games (Ligue 1).
- Havre have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games.
Editorial Prediction
Based on the analysis of current team forms and their statistical data, a low-paced game seems likely. Considering Le Havre's recent trend of winning with a +3.5 handicap in most matches and their fight for survival, alongside PSG's challenging midweek Champions League fixture and their dip in motivation after clinching the title, betting on Le Havre with a (+3) handicap appears to be a reasonable choice for this match.
Betting Tips: Paris Saint-Germain - Havre
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
