Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction 19 April 2025
🔊 Which team will secure a spot in the Champions League next season? Both are deserving of a place. Aston Villa currently sit seventh in the Premier League, but the standings are so tight that they have a genuine chance of breaking into the top five. Newcastle have surged so impressively that, under certain circumstances, they could even catch up with second-placed Arsenal. Therefore, the match at Villa Park is of paramount importance, with no clear favorite in sight. We will explore various scenarios to provide a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Aston Villa and Newcastle:
- 14 matches played;
- home victories - 4, away victories - 6, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 14 against 21;
- average total in the first half - 1.14, in the second half - 1.36;
- average total goals per match - 2.5.
The last match took place on 26 December 2024 at Newcastle's ground and ended with a scoreline of 3-0.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Aston Villa Team Overview
⚪ Aston Villa have won their last four Premier League matches. At home, they edged past Nottingham Forest (2-1), while on the road, they secured three clean-sheet victories. They netted three unanswered goals not only against Southampton but also Brighton. The match against the Saints was particularly tough for Marco Asensio in the Villa lineup. He stepped up to the penalty spot twice but couldn't get the better of Aaron Ramsdale.
🔗 Recently, Aston Villa exited the Champions League at the quarter-final stage. They lost to PSG in Paris (1-3) but nearly staged a comeback at home. By the middle of the first half, Emery’s side trailed by two goals. However, they showed resilience to win the match (3-2) and almost forced extra time in the closing moments.
📣 Despite their Champions League exit, Unai Emery is proud of his team's performance: "I am very proud of everything we have achieved. This is the best step forward to reach the level I aspire to with Aston Villa. We are still missing that final step forward, and that's the only aspect I want to work on."
✅ As the most crucial part of the season approaches, all of the Lions' players have returned to full fitness.
Match Results: Aston Villa
Newcastle United Team Overview
⚫ Newcastle have been on a remarkable upswing following their League Cup victory. They are riding a five-match winning streak in the Premier League, and their dominance seems to grow with each game. For instance, the Magpies thrashed Manchester United 4-1 and put five unanswered goals past Crystal Palace.
🔗 Jacob Murphy has been a standout performer, consistently contributing in their last five matches. He recently scored against Crystal Palace and provided an assist. Meanwhile, Alexander Isak has overtaken Erling Haaland in the goal-scoring charts, now sitting in second place. Notably, the last two matches were played without Eddie Howe, who has been hospitalized with pneumonia. This may have served as extra motivation for the players.
📣 Assistant coach Jason Tindall commented on Eddie Howe's absence: “With the manager not here, obviously he's not well in hospital, and like last week, our interaction in terms of preparation has been minimal. But we know the expectations and demands we place on each other and ourselves every day, and that must continue until the manager returns.”
❌ Eddie Howe will miss at least the match against Aston Villa. There is no definite timeline for his return. Players Sven Botman, Jamaal Lascelles, and Lewis Hall are also expected to remain sidelined due to long-term injuries.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 6, draws - 4.
Statistics: Aston Villa vs Newcastle United
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of wins: 15 vs 18;
- win percentage: 47% vs 56%;
- number of losses: 8 vs 9;
- number of draws: 9 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 9 vs 7;
- number of losses: 1 vs 3;
- number of draws: 0 vs 0.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Aston Villa vs Newcastle United
- average total in the tournament: 2.97 vs 3.16;
- average total goals scored: 1.53 vs 1.91;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.59 vs 1.06;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.94 vs 0.84;
- Aston Villa: average total at home in the tournament - 1.69;
- Newcastle United: average total away in the tournament - 1.63;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.4 (home - 2.5) vs 2.2 (away - 1).
- Newcastle United have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games against Aston Villa.
Prediction on corners
Aston Villa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.38; at home field - 7.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 6.
Newcastle United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.44, away - 5.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 3.
- Newcastle United have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.42 (1.71 for home team and 1.71 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3 (1.43 for home team and 1.57 for away team).
Aston Villa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.72; at home - 1.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.1; at home - 0.75.
Newcastle United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.59, away - 1.31;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1; away - 0.75.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 25 Aston Villa games.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 15 Aston Villa games (Premier League).
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 7 Aston Villa home games (Premier League).
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 10 Newcastle United games.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 8 Newcastle United games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Aston Villa vs Newcastle United
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 21 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Aston Villa at home - 13 (81%);
- number of BTTS matches for Newcastle United away - 9 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Aston Villa at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Newcastle United away - 0 (0%).
Editor's Prediction
This match promises to be packed with goal-scoring opportunities given the form of both teams: Aston Villa often delivers high-scoring games at home, while Newcastle consistently finds the net more than once even on the road. Considering the current motivation of the teams and the trend of high-scoring encounters, a well-founded bet appears to be on over 2.5 goals, which has hit in seven consecutive Aston Villa matches and in Newcastle's last five games.
Betting Tips: Aston Villa - Newcastle United
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
