Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction 14 February 2026
🔊 One of the standout fixtures of the FA Cup fourth round is set to take place on February 14 at Villa Park. While other Premier League sides face lower-division teams, Aston Villa and Newcastle will battle it out to see who exits the tournament at this early stage. It would be a significant blow to the pride of one of England's representatives in European competitions. Who will end up on the losing side in this matchup?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 25 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Newcastle United):
- ball possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 7 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 8.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Aston Villa and Newcastle United:
- played 17 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 6, for the away team - 6, draws - 5;
- number of goals - 20 against 22;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.12, in the 2nd half - 1.35;
- average total goals in the match - 2.47.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Aston Villa Team Overview
Aston Villa have been showing remarkable consistency at home, securing victory in 13 of their last 15 matches on their own turf. Unai Emery's squad navigated the Europa League group stage with ease, only ceding the top spot to Lyon on goal difference. The Villans also hold the third position in the Premier League, although their form has dipped slightly, collecting just four points from their last three fixtures.
In the FA Cup, the Lions have faced tough opposition right from the start. Nevertheless, they managed to edge past Tottenham with a 2-1 win, thanks to a goal and an assist from Emiliano Buendia. Unai Emery rotated his squad but still overcame the Spurs. However, this time, his options for rotation are limited due to injuries: Andres Garcia, Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn, and Youri Tielemans are sidelined.
Match Results: Aston Villa
Newcastle United Team Overview
The Magpies are facing significant challenges, having lost 4 of their last 6 matches. This rough patch, triggered by squad issues and a tough schedule, began with a defeat to Aston Villa. However, they have already managed to break this streak: just a few days ago, Eddie Howe's men triumphed over the aforementioned Tottenham with a 2-1 victory. Newcastle were more incisive (2.8-1.81 in xG) and deservedly clinched the win thanks to a goal from Jacob Ramsey, who, interestingly, is an Aston Villa academy product.
As for the FA Cup, Newcastle have also faced significant challenges from the outset. Instead of drawing a lower-league team in the third round, they were paired with Bournemouth. The match was a rollercoaster. Newcastle initially salvaged a draw in the dying minutes, then conceded in the 120th minute, but ultimately secured their spot in the fourth round through a penalty shootout (7-6). Ahead of the upcoming fixture, the visitors are dealing with several squad issues: Emil Krafth, Lewis Miley, Fabian Schär, Tino Livramento, and Joelinton have been long-term absentees, and captain Bruno Guimarães, who recently returned to action, has suffered another injury setback.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 6, draws - 5.
- Aston Villa have not lost in 8 of last 9 home games against Newcastle United.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.18, the guests - 1.29;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.47;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
- Newcastle United have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 away games against Aston Villa.
Prediction on corners
Aston Villa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7; at home field - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; at home field - 6.6.
Newcastle United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7, away - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.5; away - 7.
- Aston Villa have taken over 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Newcastle United.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.3 (1.65 for home team and 1.65 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3 (1.33 for home team and 1.67 for away team).
Aston Villa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2; at home - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 0.8.
Newcastle United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1, away - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; away - 1.6.
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 19 of last 20 Newcastle United games.
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in 8 of last 9 Newcastle United away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
- Newcastle United have scored and conceded in last 5 games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the current form of the teams and the home crowd advantage, Aston Villa are expected to have the upper hand. However, both managers are likely to rotate their squads, adding an element of unpredictability to the game. We believe the hosts will edge it with a narrow 2-1 victory. A well-founded betting option appears to be both teams to score. The bet on both teams to score (yes) has come through in Newcastle's last 5 consecutive matches.
Betting Tips: Aston Villa - Newcastle United
in 13 of last 15 home games.
in 8 of last 9 home games against Newcastle United.in 15 of last 17 games against Newcastle United.in 8 of last 9 games.in 8 of last 9 away games against Aston Villa.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
