Venezia vs Napoli Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
📢 How will the Venezia vs Napoli clash unfold in the seventh round of Serie A? The two sides meet at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, with neither coming into the match in particularly good shape. The hosts are desperately trying to pull themselves out of a difficult run, while the visitors are looking to get back into contention at the top. Both sides have plenty of motivation.
Napoli usually get the job done, but their most recent head-to-head ended in disappointment.
📊 In recent years, Venezia and Napoli have met just four times, with the Neapolitans holding a clear advantage. Napoli won three of those matches, with one ending in a draw. The most recent meeting, though, produced a genuine surprise: in March 2025, Venezia managed to hold their far more illustrious opponents to a 0-0 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Venezia - Napoli
Venezia are showing some decent form, but their defense remains shaky.
Venice cannot seem to shake off their status as Serie A's worst side. Six rounds in, they still have not picked up a single point and sit bottom of the table. The problem is not a complete lack of football, though. At times the team play reasonably well, create chances and give stronger opponents a game. But catastrophic defensive errors keep undoing all of that work.
The latest example came in the previous round against Atalanta, which ended in a 1-3 away defeat. Statistically, Venice actually looked the more interesting side. They had 64% possession to Atalanta's 36%, were barely outshot (19 to 22) and created the same number of clear chances (5-5). The expected goals figures are even more striking - 2.44 xG for Venice against 1.95 for Atalanta. On those numbers, the team should have at least drawn. The trouble is that by the 30th minute they were already three goals down.
That defeat proved to be the final straw for the club's board. Giovanni Stroppa was dismissed as head coach and replaced by Davide Nicola. The 53-year-old Italian has signed a contract through to the end of the 2027/28 season.
Match Results: Venezia
Napoli remain inconsistent on both fronts.
Napoli have also had a difficult start to the new season. After six rounds, the Italian runners-up have just ten points and sit eighth in the table. For a club accustomed to competing at the top end, that is a serious disappointment. Things had been even worse not long ago, but they managed to improve their position slightly in the previous round, giving Frosinone - a newly promoted Serie A side - no chance at home and winning 3-0.
It seemed that result might finally give the team some confidence, but the lift did not last long. Midweek brought a second consecutive Champions League defeat, which again left supporters questioning their prospects in Europe. This time Napoli travelled to Villarreal, a side with serious problems of their own. The match started well for the Italians: they opened the scoring and had a good opportunity to build on it. But they could not hold their advantage, and ended up losing 1-3.
Match Results: Napoli
Latest news
Venezia
❌ Venezia have four confirmed absentees ahead of the match. Andrea Adorante, Gianluca Busio, Bartol Franjić and Marin Šverko remain sidelined with injuries. Armel Bella-Kotchap, Thierry Correia and Pasquale Mazzocchi are doubtful.
Napoli
❌ Napoli also have several injury concerns. Alessandro Buongiorno, Costantino Favasuli, David Neres and Antonio Vergara are ruled out, while André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Alisson Santos and Mathías Olivera remain doubtful.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Napoli's away matches rarely produce many goals. In 8 of their last 9 Serie A away fixtures, no more than three goals were scored. With both sides currently well below their best and Venezia having recently changed their head coach, a high-scoring game seems unlikely. A bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.45* is worth considering.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Napoli earn corners regularly even away from home. In 7 of their last 8 Serie A away matches, they won at least five corners. Against the league's bottom side, the visitors will likely dominate, hold plenty of possession and put Venezia's defence under sustained pressure. We expect that run to continue. Our bet is Napoli Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at 1.68*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Venezia's matches rarely pass without a significant number of bookings: in 8 of their last 9 fixtures, referees showed at least three yellow cards. Up against the more technical Napoli, the hosts will likely need to foul frequently to hold back the visitors' attacks. Napoli, too, could pick up a few cards of their own stopping Venezia's dangerous counter-attacks. We are backing Total Yellow Cards - Over 2.5 at 1.40*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Venezia are clear underdogs for this match, and it is hard to argue with that assessment. The hosts have lost all six of their opening Serie A matches, their defensive performances have been catastrophic, and they are noticeably weaker than their opponents in terms of squad quality. Even a change of manager is unlikely to solve all the accumulated problems overnight.Napoli are far from their best form too, but the gap in class between the two sides is too large. On top of that, after the painful defeat to Villarreal in the Champions League, Napoli will surely be looking to bounce back and restore their confidence. Our main bet is therefore a Napoli win. Predicted score: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: Venezia - Napoli
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