Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊 Following Vestmannaeyjar, one of the two Akureyri clubs - Thor or KA - will be relegated from the Besta-deild. KA look better placed to survive: Thor are two points behind and their goal difference is 23 worse. That means Thor need a win against Stjarnan, who have nothing left to play for. A week ago, Stjarnan lost 0-3 at home to KA. The question is whether they will be just as harmless against Thor.
Head-to-Head
The last meeting between the sides went to Stjarnan Garðabær, who beat Þór Akureyri 4-2 at home in a Úrvalsdeild match. The hosts led 3-0 at half-time, though they were outshot overall - 15 attempts to 16.
Stjarnan Gardabaer have won 10 of their 15 official meetings with Thor Akureyri, losing two and drawing three. All five home matches in that head-to-head record ended in Stjarnan Gardabaer wins, and both teams scored in 12 of the 15 meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan
Thor Akureyri Team Overview
In their last match, Þór Akureyri beat Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 at home. The visitors had more possession (61%) and more shots on target (5-3), but Þór Akureyri held on to the lead they had built in the first half.
Thor's defence is the main paradox of the season in Bestedeild. According to expected goals figures calculated by local media, no team in the league defends worse. Thor have conceded 57 goals, with only Stjarnan having let in more. Yet the club have kept six clean sheets, the second-best return in the league. Their last three home wins have all come by the same scoreline of 1-0. The most recent of those, against Vestmannaeyjar, came from an opposition goalkeeper error: he failed to hold a cross from the left, and Kristian Jakobsen turned the ball into the net off the post. Thor's manager acknowledged that his side produced one of their best performances in terms of defending and pressing that evening. His target for the run-in is straightforward: "We're simply going to win the last two matches."
Match Results: Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan Gardabae Team Overview
In their most recent fixture, Stjarnan Garðabær lost at home to Akureyri 0-3. Despite having 53% possession, the hosts managed only two shots on target compared to four for their opponents, and also had a man sent off.
Stjarnan have already secured their place in the Best deild: Þór cannot close a 31-point gap. The club sacked two managers over the summer, the second on 20 August. Since then the team has been overseen by temporary coaches, and their first result under that arrangement was a 4-2 win over Þór. After the match against KA, Brynjár Kristmundsson from the coaching staff was blunt, saying the players had lacked energy from the very start. On 13 October the club announced the return of Rúnar Páll Sigmundsson, who led Stjarnan to their first title in 2014. However, the new manager will not be involved in the final two rounds - he is already preparing for next season.
Match Results: Stjarnan Gardabae
Outcome Prediction
Stjarnan Gardabaer have gone eight consecutive head-to-head matches without losing to Thor Akureyri. The hosts are having a difficult season: Thor have suffered 15 defeats and have won three points at home in just 5 of their 15 matches. The bet comes in with any result other than Thor ending the run. The bet is Stjarnan Gardabaer not to lose.
Corners Prediction
Þór Akureyri's matches don't tend to produce many corners: 13 or more combined occurred in just one of their last seven. The bet can even withstand a dozen corners. The pick is Total Corners - Under 12.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes for this match are 1-1 (8.69%), 1-2 (8.42%) and 2-1 (7.31%). The probabilities are close to one another, which points to a fairly even distribution of chances between the two sides.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Þór need a win to stay alive, but their attack is modest: they have scored more than one goal in just one of their last 10 Bestedeild matches. That is reflected in the low-scoring games in Akureyri: five consecutive home matches for Þór have produced fewer than four goals. Stjarnan are unlikely to run riot either - they have scored more than twice in only one of their last 10 away matches. We are expecting a tense game without a fourth goal. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5. Predicted score: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan Gardabae
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