Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊 A win in Keflavík would clinch the Besta-deild silver medal for KR ahead of schedule. Their nearest rivals, Fram, are four points behind with only two rounds remaining. That said, Keflavík beat KR 3-2 back in June - their first win over them in the top flight since 2008. Can the league newcomers delay the visitors' celebrations?
Head-to-Head
In the most recent meeting between the sides, Keflavík beat KR Reykjavík 3-2 at home in the top flight. KR had more of the ball (60%) and more shots on target (7-5).
Across 36 official meetings, KR Reykjavik have won 24 to Keflavík's four, with eight draws. The goal difference also favours KR Reykjavik: 73-30.
Head-to-head statistics Keflavik - KR Reykjavik
Keflavik Team Overview
Keflavík's last Úrvalsdeild match ended in a 1-3 away defeat to Breiðablik. Despite having more shots (23-14), they managed only three on target compared to seven from their opponents.
Keflavík returned to the Besta-deild from the second division and immediately made it into the top six. But the team managed by Haraldur Freyr Guðmundsson have tailed off badly towards the end of the season. Their last win came on 23 August - at home to Vestmannaeyjar - and in the five matches since, they have picked up just one point.
Last round, Keflavík were unlucky away at Breiðablik. While the hosts were leading by a single goal, Keflavík hit the post twice. One of those efforts came from Stefan Alexander Ljubičić, who scored twice against his former club KR back in April. Then, in added time, a back-pass error cost them dearly and they lost 1-3. The manager felt his side deserved considerably more. At home, meanwhile, Keflavík have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.
Match Results: Keflavik
KR Reykjavik Team Overview
In the latest round, KR Reykjavik beat Fram Reykjavik away from home - 2-1. But what stands out is this: the winners had seven shots to their opponents' 29.
KR have already broken the Icelandic top-flight record for goals in a season, scoring 82 in 25 matches. The previous mark was held by Víkingur, who scored 76 in 2023. Now KR's leading scorer Aron Sigurðarson has a record of his own within reach. His 21 goals match the league record set by Benoni Breki Andrésson for KR in 2024 - one more and Aron will have it to himself.
The vice-leaders' defence is noticeably weaker: they have conceded 53 goals, more than any other side in the top six. Even after the win over Fram last round, head coach Óskar Hrafn Þorvaldsson said the result was undeserved. In his words, it was the first time this season KR had taken three points while being outperformed statistically by their opponents.
Match Results: KR Reykjavik
Total Goals Prediction
In away matches against Keflavík, KR Reykjavík have scored four or more goals only twice in their last 16 head-to-head meetings. Even three goals from KR won't break the bet. The selection is KR Reykjavík Team Total - Under 3.5 Goals.
Corners Prediction
Keflavík have not taken six or more corners in five consecutive matches. We don't expect the hosts to reach six corners here. The bet is Keflavík Team Total Corners - Under 5.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely correct scores are: 1-2 (8.20%), 2-2 (6.76%) and 1-3 (6.60%). The 1-2 scoreline has the highest probability, though the gap between all three options is relatively small.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Three points would be enough for KR to secure second place ahead of schedule. Keflavík are a convenient opponent for that: they have lost 15 of their last 17 head-to-head meetings in the top flight. KR's attack has only misfired away from home once - they have scored in 17 of their last 18 league matches on the road. The defence, however, is a concern: KR have conceded in 16 consecutive away matches. We therefore expect a KR win, but with Keflavík getting a goal back. The bet is KR to Win. Predicted score: 1-2.
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Betting Tips: Keflavik - KR Reykjavik
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