Halmstads vs Hammarby Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
🔊 The third-placed side in Allsvenskan travel to face the bottom club, but Hammarby’s position in the table rarely gives them an edge in Halmstad. Out of their last 11 trips there, the visitors have managed just one win, losing the previous two encounters. This time, a slip-up in Halmstad could prove even more costly: after losing the derby, Hammarby are locked in a battle with Djurgården for second place. So what will be the deciding factor this time-the 29-point gap between the teams, or Hammarby’s troubled history on this ground?
Head-to-Head
The most recent head-to-head ended in a 1-1 draw. Hammarby dominated possession with 77% and fired off 20 shots compared to nine from their opponents, but both sides were even when it came to shots on target-three apiece.
In 32 head-to-head clashes, Halmstad and Hammarby are level with nine wins each, while 14 matches have ended in a draw. On home turf, Halmstad have claimed victory in seven out of 15 meetings, whereas Hammarby have managed just two away wins in this fixture.
Head-to-head statistics Halmstads - Hammarby

Halmstads Team Overview
Halmstad suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat away to Elfsborg in their most recent Allsvenskan outing. The visitors managed just two shots on target compared to seven from their opponents, while the expected goals tally stood at 0.34 to 3.22 in Elfsborg’s favour.
Halmstad sit bottom of the Allsvenskan with 14 points, having missed a crucial opportunity to climb off the foot of the table in the previous round. Away at Elfsborg, they suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat, managing just two shots on target compared to their opponents’ seven. Manager Stuart Baxter admitted he barely recognised his own team: “We lacked sharpness and played without any tempo-I have no explanation for it.” Baxter is hoping to find a glimmer of hope against Hammarby. There’s some reason for optimism: Halmstad have won two of their last three home league matches, beating both AIK and Kalmar.
Match Results: Halmstads

Hammarby Team Overview
Hammarby suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Djurgarden in their most recent Allsvenskan fixture. Despite controlling 67% of possession and outshooting their rivals 15 to 9, the hosts actually trailed in expected goals: 1.13 to Djurgarden’s 1.3.
The derby against Djurgården has shifted Hammarby’s focus for the season. Playing at home, Hammarby suffered a 1-0 defeat-conceding just before halftime, while their only goal was ruled out for offside. With seven rounds remaining, the gap to league leaders Sirius has widened to 11 points. “Now it’s a battle for second place,” head coach Henrik Rydström admitted after the match, and in that race, Djurgården hold a slender one-point advantage. Hammarby will have to chase this target without summer signing Amine Boudri: according to the club’s update on October 14, he has undergone knee surgery and will miss the rest of the season.
Match Results: Hammarby
Reliable Bet
Halmstad have scored more than one goal at home in just 2 of their last 19 matches. This season, the hosts have been particularly frugal in front of goal. We don't expect Halmstad to reach two goals here. The pick - Halmstad under 1.5 goals (team total).
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes for this match are 0-1 (12.76%), 0-2 (11.79%), and 1-2 (9.88%). Scenarios where the visitors claim a narrow victory carry the highest probability.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Hammarby have made nine consecutive trips to Halmstad without a single match seeing more than three goals scored. The hosts rarely light up the scoreboard at home, having netted more than once in just two of their last 19 matches on their own turf. On the flip side, Hammarby’s away fixtures are hardly shootouts either: in 13 of their last 14 road games, both teams combined for no more than three goals. Likewise, Halmstad’s last five Allsvenskan home outings have all finished with three goals or fewer. We expect a similarly cautious affair on Sunday. Our pick: under 3.5 total goals. Predicted scoreline: 1-1.
