Sirius vs Elfsborg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
🔊 With seven rounds to go, Sirius lead second-placed Djurgården by ten points. But since the summer, their next opponents Elfsborg have been picking up points faster than the leaders. Counting from their head-to-head meeting on 19 July - when Sirius won in Borås (3-1) - Elfsborg have taken 22 points from nine matches, while Sirius have taken 19 from ten. Can the leaders repeat that July result?
Head-to-Head
In the most recent head-to-head meeting, Sirius beat Elfsborg away from home 3-1.
Across 24 official meetings, the head-to-head record is level: ten wins each and four draws. At home, each side has won six of their 12 matches.
Head-to-head statistics Sirius - Elfsborg
IK Sirius Team Overview
Sirius won their previous league match away at GAIS Gothenburg, 1-0. The hosts had more shots (16-10), but Sirius led on shots on target (3-1) and expected goals (1.82-1.14).
During the summer, Sirius lost the leading scorer in Allsvenskan at that point. In August, forward Robbie Ure joined Sevilla in what the club described as the biggest transfer in their history. The Scotsman had scored 15 goals in 15 matches in the current season. Without him, manager Andreas Engelmark's side lost three consecutive league matches. Away at Mjällby, they led 3-0 as early as the 34th minute but conceded four goals in the second half. In the following two rounds, Sirius lost at home to Häcken and Malmö. They recovered quickly, winning their last four matches and conceding just once. The leading scorer now is Isak Bjerkebo, with 14 goals to his name.
Match Results: IK Sirius
Elfsborg Team Overview
In the latest Allsvenskan round, Elfsborg thrashed Halmstad 4-0 at home, scoring twice before half-time. The dominance was reflected in the statistics: 18-9 in shots, 7-2 in shots on target, and 3.22-0.34 in expected goals.
Elfsborg sit fourth with 40 points, three behind third-placed Hammarby. In February, the club appointed Björn Hamberg, a former assistant to Graham Potter, as manager. Elfsborg's record against the three clubs above them is mixed. They have lost to both Hammarby and Sirius, but have beaten Djurgården, the closest challengers to the league leaders, twice - the second time in Stockholm in September. That away trip was their last before a three-week break, and on their return they thrashed Halmstad 4-0. Striker Leo Östman scored twice to take his tally to eight goals, the most of any player in the squad.
Match Results: Elfsborg
Prediction
At home, Sirius have gone unbeaten in 15 of their last 17 matches. This season they have suffered just two defeats as hosts. The bet wins even with a draw. Bet - Sirius not to lose.
Total Goals Prediction
Sirius have not seen more than three goals in five consecutive matches. A high-scoring game looks unlikely from Elfsborg's side too: the visitors have conceded few goals this season. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11.54%), 2-1 (8.97%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Sirius have failed to score only twice in their last 36 Allsvenskan matches. Elfsborg are even more reliable in front of goal in the league: across a run of 22 games, they have been held scoreless just once. In head-to-head meetings, clean sheets are a rarity for the league leader - they have conceded in 8 of the last 9. We expect both defences to be breached, with Sirius coming out on top. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 2-1.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: IK Sirius - Elfsborg
in last 5 away games (Allsvenskan).in 15 of last 17 home games.in 8 of last 9 games.in 7 of last 8 games (Allsvenskan).in 11 of last 12 home games against Elfsborg.in 9 of last 10 home games against Elfsborg (Allsvenskan).in 34 of last 36 games (Allsvenskan).in 19 of last 21 home games.in 8 of last 9 away games (Allsvenskan).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
