St Mirren vs Aberdeen Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2025
🔊 In the eighth round of the Scottish Premiership, St. Mirren host Aberdeen at the St. Mirren Park. The hosts come into this clash looking to bounce back after a defeat, eager to make amends in front of their home fans. Aberdeen, on the other hand, secured their first victory in the last round, giving the team an extra psychological boost ahead of this away fixture. The head-to-head history shows a slight edge for the visitors; however, in their last five encounters, St. Mirren have won four matches, while Aberdeen have claimed just one. A tense battle is expected, with both teams vying for crucial points.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 03 May 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that match (St. Mirren were the home side):
- possession percentage: 38% vs 62%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 11;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 0.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between St. Mirren and Aberdeen:
- 51 matches played;
- home wins - 15, away wins - 20, draws - 16;
- goals scored - 56 for the hosts, 77 for the visitors;
- average first-half total - 1.22, second-half - 1.39;
- average total goals per match - 2.61.
Head-to-head statistics St Mirren - Aberdeen

St. Mirren Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Premier League, featuring Kilmarnock as the home side and St Mirren as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (St Mirren vs Kilmarnock):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 21 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 0 vs 5.
⚫ In the last round, St. Mirren suffered a 0-2 defeat away to Kilmarnock, ending their seven-match unbeaten streak. During this period, they managed to reach the Scottish League Cup quarter-finals, defeating the same Kilmarnock on penalties (0-0 in regular time, 3-2 in the shootout), and now they will face Motherwell in the semi-finals for a spot in the final. In the Premiership, St. Mirren sit 5th with 9 points. Steve Robinson's side remain unbeaten at home this season, making them clear favorites for the upcoming clash against Aberdeen, who are second from bottom.
Match Results: St. Mirren

Aberdeen Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Premier League (Aberdeen were the hosts, Dundee were the visitors). The match ended with a scoreline of 4-0.
The game statistics are as follows (Aberdeen vs Dundee):
- possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 2;
- fouls: 16 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 9 vs 2.
🔴 In the previous round, Aberdeen thrashed Dundee 4-0 at home, securing their first victory of the current Premiership season. For Jim Goodwin's side, this was a much-needed breakthrough after an eight-match winless streak that included league games, Scottish League Cup ties, and Conference League fixtures. The win allowed Aberdeen to slightly pull away from the bottom of the table and close the gap on their closest rivals who have been dropping points. Despite this, they remain underdogs and will face significant challenges in the upcoming match against a strong St Mirren side at home.
Match Results: Aberdeen
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- Total encounters - 51;
- First-half wins for the home team - 4; for the away team - 7; draws - 13;
- Average first-half total: 1.22;
- Today's home team averages 0.37 goals, while the visitors score 0.84.
First-half stats: St Mirren (home) vs Aberdeen (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- Wins: 2 (66.67%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (66.67%);
- Draws: 1 (33.33%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 0.67 vs 0.67;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.67.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 4 vs 2;
- Losses: 1 vs 3;
- Draws: 5 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.3) vs 1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.4).
- St Mirren have scored in the first half at home in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 51;
- Home wins - 15, Away wins - 20, Draws - 16.
Statistics: St Mirren vs Aberdeen
- Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Wins: 2 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 29% vs 14%;
- Losses: 2 vs 5;
- Draws: 3 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 2;
- Losses: 2 vs 6;
- Draws: 3 vs 2.
- St Mirren have won at home in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings against Aberdeen (Premier League).
- Aberdeen have lost 7 of their last 8 away matches.
- Aberdeen have lost their last 6 consecutive away games (Premier League).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The home team scores an average of - 1.1, while the away team - 1.51;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.61;
- Both teams scored: overall - 28 times; at the home team's ground - 14 times.
Statistics: St Mirren vs Aberdeen
- Average total in the tournament: 1.57 vs 1.86;
- Average goals scored: 0.71 vs 0.57;
- Average first-half total: 0.29 vs 0.43;
- Average second-half total: 0.43 vs 0.14;
- St Mirren: average home total in the tournament - 0.67;
- Aberdeen: average away total in the tournament - 0;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1.1 (away - 0.75).
- St Mirren score less than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches (Premier League).
Corners Prediction
St Mirren: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.29; at home - 6;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5; at home - 4.2.
Aberdeen: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.57, away - 3.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; away - 4.5.
- Total over 9.5 corners occurred in 10 of St Mirren's last 11 matches (Premier League).
- Total over 9.5 corners occurred in St Mirren's last 5 home matches (Premier League).
- Total over 9.5 corners occurred in 6 of Aberdeen's last 7 matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.3 (1.65 for the home team and 1.65 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3.46 (1.67 for the home team and 1.79 for the away team).
St Mirren: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.43; at home - 3.67;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; at home - 3.2.
Aberdeen: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.43, away - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.8; away - 2.25.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 51;
- Both teams scored overall - 28 times;
- At the home team's ground - 14 times.
Statistics: St Mirren vs Aberdeen
- Total matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 0;
- BTTS for St Mirren at home - 1 (33%);
- BTTS for Aberdeen away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 6 vs 2;
- BTTS for St Mirren at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS for Aberdeen away - 0 (0%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
St Mirren head into the match after a setback against Kilmarnock, yet they remain confident on home turf, having not lost a game at their stadium this season. Aberdeen have secured their first league victory, boosting their confidence, but they remain underdogs and are likely to face significant challenges away from home. Both teams rank among the least prolific in the league: St Mirren have scored 5 goals, while Aberdeen have netted 4. Considering this and the home advantage, a cautious game with a defensive focus is anticipated. Our prediction: under 2.5 goals. A likely outcome is a 1-0 win for the hosts.
