Jelgava vs Daugavpils Prediction

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 11:00 18 October. The tournament match will take place at the Zemgales Olimpiskā centra stadium in the city of Jelgava. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 July 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - BFC Daugavpils):

    • ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
    • fouls: 8 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 0.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils:

    • played 23 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 6, draws - 7;
    • number of goals - 27 against 22;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.96, in the 2nd half - 1.17;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.13.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    38%
    10 Wins
    35%
    9 Draws
    27%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    26
    Total Goals Avg
    2
    Both teams scored
    31%
    1.08
    Total average
    0.92
    0.96
    Yellow cards
    1.08
    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Virsliga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    16.04.26
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    -
    -
    6
    2
    13
    18
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    13
    18
    4
    1
    18.10.25
    Virsliga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    0.25
    0.64
    3
    4
    16
    10
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.25
    0.64
    3
    4
    16
    10
    2
    3
    27.07.25
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    1
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    1.91
    1.15
    2
    6
    8
    6
    2
    5
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.91
    1.15
    2
    6
    8
    6
    2
    5
    25.05.25
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    1.1
    1.56
    3
    5
    12
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.1
    1.56
    3
    5
    12
    4
    1
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Jelgava Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 4 October 2025 as part of the Virsliga tournament (home team - Super Nova, away team - Jelgava). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Jelgava vs Super Nova):

    • ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
    • corner kicks: 13 vs 5;
    • fouls: 2 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 8.
    🏆Throughout the Virsliga season, the team Jelgava has engaged in 32 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 8 wins,
    • 14 losses,
    • 10 draws.

    📈Currently, Jelgava stands at a mid-tier position within the Virsliga standings, with a win percentage of 25% and a loss percentage of 44%.

    ⚽️Jelgava has scored a total of 34 goals. On the defensive end, Jelgava has allowed 41 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Jelgava

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Virsliga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    D
    26.05.26
    Virsliga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    Liepaja
    Liepaja
    -
    -
    4
    11
    11
    11
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    11
    11
    11
    2
    3
    D
    21.05.26
    Virsliga
    FC RFS
    FC RFS
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    -
    -
    8
    4
    10
    6
    0
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    10
    6
    0
    0
    L
    16.05.26
    Virsliga
    Riga
    Riga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    -
    -
    4
    2
    13
    11
    4
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    13
    11
    4
    2
    D
    11.05.26
    Virsliga
    Grobinas SC/LFS
    Grobinas SC/LFS
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    -
    -
    6
    3
    22
    13
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    22
    13
    2
    2
    D
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    BFC Daugavpils Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 5 October 2025 as part of the Virsliga tournament (home team - BFC Daugavpils, away - Auda Riga). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.

    Here are the match stats (BFC Daugavpils vs Auda Riga):

    • ball possession: 38% vs 62%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
    • fouls: 7 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 5.
    🏆Throughout the Virsliga season, the team BFC Daugavpils has engaged in 32 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 13 wins,
    • 12 losses,
    • 7 draws.

    📈Currently, BFC Daugavpils stands at a mid-tier position within the Virsliga standings, with a win percentage of 41% and a loss percentage of 38%.

    ⚽BFC Daugavpils has scored a total of 48 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 55 goals over the season.

    Match Results: BFC Daugavpils

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Virsliga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    D
    26.05.26
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    Auda Riga
    Auda Riga
    -
    -
    5
    1
    16
    15
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    16
    15
    2
    2
    L
    21.05.26
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    Ogre United
    Ogre United
    -
    -
    6
    6
    16
    18
    1
    0
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    6
    16
    18
    1
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    Virsliga
    Liepaja
    Liepaja
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    -
    -
    7
    4
    12
    13
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    12
    13
    1
    2
    L
    13.05.26
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    FC RFS
    FC RFS
    -
    -
    3
    11
    11
    11
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    11
    11
    11
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 23;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 7;
    • Average first-half total: 0.96;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.48, while the visitors net 0.48.

    First-Half Stats: Jelgava (home) vs BFC Daugavpils (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • wins: 5 (31.25%) vs 4 (25%);
    • losses: 3 (18.75%) vs 6 (37.5%);
    • draws: 8 (50%) vs 6 (37.5%);
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.19;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.44 vs 0.81.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 3 vs 4;
    • losses: 4 vs 1;
    • draws: 3 vs 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5).
    Trends
    • Jelgava have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games against BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2.3)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 23;
    • home team wins - 10, away team wins - 6, draws - 7.

    Statistics: Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

    • matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
    • wins: 8 vs 13;
    • win percentage: 25% vs 41%;
    • losses: 14 vs 12;
    • draws: 10 vs 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 5;
    • losses: 4 vs 4;
    • draws: 4 vs 1.
    👉Prediction: BFC Daugavpils Handicap (+1) (odds: 1.22)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.17, the guests - 0.96;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.13;
    • both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 3.

    Statistics: Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

    • average total in the tournament: 2.34 vs 3.22;
    • average total goals scored: 1.06 vs 1.5;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.59;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 0.91;
    • Jelgava: average total at home in the tournament -  1.44;
    • BFC Daugavpils: average total away in the tournament - 1.19;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.2) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • BFC Daugavpils have scored under 1.5 goals in last 7 away games against Jelgava (Virsliga).
    • BFC Daugavpils have scored under 1.5 goals in 12 of last 14 away games (Virsliga).
    👉Prediction: BFC Daugavpils Total goals Under (1.5) (odds: 1.58)

    Prediction on corners

    Jelgava: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.22; at home field - 5.13;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 4.4.

    BFC Daugavpils: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.88, away - 3.56;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; away - 3.75.
    Trends
    • Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Jelgava home games against BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga).
    • Under 10.5 corners in last 6 Jelgava home games (Virsliga).
    • Under 10.5 corners in last 5 Jelgava home games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (10.5) (odds: 1.7)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 23;
    • both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 3 times.

    Statistics: Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 22;
    • number of BTTS matches for Jelgava at home - 11 (69%);
    • number of BTTS matches for BFC Daugavpils away - 13 (81%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Jelgava at home - 4 (80%);
    • BTTS matches for BFC Daugavpils away - 3 (75%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.65)

    Correct score prediction

    Trends
    • Jelgava drew 0:0 in 3 of last 4 home games against BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga).

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Jelgava have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games against BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga).
    • Jelgava have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 home games.
    • Jelgava have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games (Virsliga).

    Our choice
    Jelgava Total goals Under (1.5) at odds of -152*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (16 October 2025, 11:24)

    Betting Tips: Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils

    Jelgava have drawn in the 1st half
    fk-jelgavabfc-daugavpilsin 6 of last 7 home games against BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +125
    Jelgava have not lost
    fk-jelgavabfc-daugavpilsin last 10 home games against BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga).
    Jelgava will not lose
    -263
    Jelgava have not won
    fk-jelgavabfc-daugavpilsin 9 of last 10 games against BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga).
    fk-jelgavain 8 of last 9 games (Virsliga).
    fk-jelgavain 7 of last 8 home games.
    fk-jelgavain 6 of last 7 home games (Virsliga).
    BFC Daugavpils will not lose
    -179
    Jelgava have conceded
    fk-jelgavain 18 of last 19 games.
    fk-jelgavain 17 of last 18 games (Virsliga).
    fk-jelgavain 11 of last 12 home games.
    fk-jelgavain 10 of last 11 home games (Virsliga).
    BFC Daugavpils have scored
    bfc-daugavpilsin 22 of last 23 games.
    bfc-daugavpilsin 18 of last 19 games (Virsliga).
    bfc-daugavpilsin last 13 away games.
    bfc-daugavpilsin last 11 away games (Virsliga).
    BFC Daugavpils will score goal
    -385
    View more facts

    Jelgava - Daugavpils Table position

    Virsliga 2025
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Liepaja
    Liepaja
    361871159-5561
    4.
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    361391452-6248
    5.
    Auda Riga
    Auda Riga
    361361744-4945
    6.
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    368141439-4638
    7.
    Tukums 2000/TSS
    Tukums 2000/TSS
    36991839-6336

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 17
    -9
    -3
    9 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    2
    4
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    9
    17
    Conceded
    12
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.1
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats