Daugavpils vs Jelgava Prediction

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams BFC Daugavpils and Jelgava. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 15:00 16 April. The tournament match will take place at the Celtnieks stadium in the city of Daugavpils. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 18 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Jelgava):

    • ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
    • fouls: 16 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 0 vs 3.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams BFC Daugavpils and Jelgava:

    • played 24 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 6, for the away team - 10, draws - 8;
    • number of goals - 22 against 27;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.92, in the 2nd half - 1.13;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.04.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    27%
    7 Wins
    35%
    9 Draws
    38%
    10 Wins
    Total games
    26
    Total Goals Avg
    2
    Both teams scored
    31%
    0.92
    Total average
    1.08
    1.08
    Yellow cards
    0.96
    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Virsliga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    16.04.26
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    -
    -
    6
    2
    13
    18
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    13
    18
    4
    1
    18.10.25
    Virsliga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    0.25
    0.64
    3
    4
    16
    10
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.25
    0.64
    3
    4
    16
    10
    2
    3
    27.07.25
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    1
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    1.91
    1.15
    2
    6
    8
    6
    2
    5
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.91
    1.15
    2
    6
    8
    6
    2
    5
    25.05.25
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    1.1
    1.56
    3
    5
    12
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.1
    1.56
    3
    5
    12
    4
    1
    2
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    BFC Daugavpils Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 12 April 2026 as part of the Virsliga tournament (home team - Auda Riga, away team - BFC Daugavpils). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.

    Here's the game statistics (BFC Daugavpils vs Auda Riga):

    • ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
    • fouls: 11 vs 17;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 7.
    🏆Throughout the Virsliga season, the team BFC Daugavpils has engaged in 6 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 3 wins,
    • 3 losses,
    • 0 draws.

    📈Currently, BFC Daugavpils stands at a mid-tier position within the Virsliga standings, with a win percentage of 50% and a loss percentage of 50%.

    ⚽️BFC Daugavpils has scored a total of 10 goals. On the defensive end, BFC Daugavpils has allowed 12 goals over the season.

    Match Results: BFC Daugavpils

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Virsliga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    D
    26.05.26
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    Auda Riga
    Auda Riga
    -
    -
    5
    1
    16
    15
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    16
    15
    2
    2
    L
    21.05.26
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    Ogre United
    Ogre United
    -
    -
    6
    6
    16
    18
    1
    0
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    6
    16
    18
    1
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    Virsliga
    Liepaja
    Liepaja
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    -
    -
    7
    4
    12
    13
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    12
    13
    1
    2
    L
    13.05.26
    Virsliga
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    FC RFS
    FC RFS
    -
    -
    3
    11
    11
    11
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    11
    11
    11
    1
    1
    L
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    Jelgava Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 12 April 2026 as part of the Virsliga tournament (home team - Liepaja, away - Jelgava). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here are the match stats (Jelgava vs Liepaja):

    • ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 13 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.
    🏆Throughout the Virsliga season, the team Jelgava has engaged in 6 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 1 wins,
    • 3 losses,
    • 2 draws.

    📈Currently, Jelgava stands at a mid-tier position within the Virsliga standings, with a win percentage of 17% and a loss percentage of 50%.

    ⚽Jelgava has scored a total of 4 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 13 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Jelgava

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Virsliga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    D
    26.05.26
    Virsliga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    Liepaja
    Liepaja
    -
    -
    4
    11
    11
    11
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    11
    11
    11
    2
    3
    D
    21.05.26
    Virsliga
    FC RFS
    FC RFS
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    -
    -
    8
    4
    10
    6
    0
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    10
    6
    0
    0
    L
    16.05.26
    Virsliga
    Riga
    Riga
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    -
    -
    4
    2
    13
    11
    4
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    13
    11
    4
    2
    D
    11.05.26
    Virsliga
    Grobinas SC/LFS
    Grobinas SC/LFS
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    -
    -
    6
    3
    22
    13
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    22
    13
    2
    2
    D
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 24;
    • home team wins - 6, away team wins - 10, draws - 8.

    Statistics: BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 3 vs 1;
    • win percentage: 50% vs 17%;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 0 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 1;
    • losses: 5 vs 3;
    • draws: 2 vs 6.
    Trends
    • Jelgava won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 games (Virsliga).
    • Jelgava won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 away games (Virsliga).
    👉Prediction: Jelgava Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.29)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.92, the guests - 1.13;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.04;
    • both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 4.

    Statistics: BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava

    • average total in the tournament: 3.67 vs 2.83;
    • average total goals scored: 1.67 vs 0.67;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.83 vs 0.5;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.83 vs 0.17;
    • BFC Daugavpils: average total at home in the tournament -  1.33;
    • Jelgava: average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.4) vs 0.9 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Jelgava have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 away games against BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga).
    • Jelgava have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games (Virsliga).
    👉Prediction: Jelgava Total goals Under (1.5) (odds: 1.42)

    Prediction on corners

    BFC Daugavpils: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.17; at home field - 3.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; at home field - 3.2.

    Jelgava: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5, away - 6.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 5.
    Trends
    • Under 10.5 corners in 10 of last 11 BFC Daugavpils games (Virsliga).
    • Under 10.5 corners in 9 of last 10 BFC Daugavpils home games (Virsliga).
    • Under 10.5 corners in last 6 BFC Daugavpils home games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (10.5) (odds: 1.7)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 24;
    • both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.

    Statistics: BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 3;
    • number of BTTS matches for BFC Daugavpils at home - 1 (33%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Jelgava away - 2 (100%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for BFC Daugavpils at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Jelgava away - 4 (100%).
    Trends
    • Jelgava have scored and conceded in last 8 away games (Virsliga).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.68)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (7/29, 24.1%);
    • BFC Daugavpils at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 2:0 , 2:1 (1/3, 33.3%);
    • Jelgava away most often play: 1:1 (2/2, 100%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.96%
    1:0 - 11.53%
    2:1 - 9.57%

    Trends
    • Jelgava drew 1:1 in last 3 away games (Virsliga).

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -109*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (14 April 2026, 15:24)

    Betting Tips: BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava

    Jelgava have drawn
    fk-jelgavain last 5 away games (Virsliga).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +265
    Jelgava have not lost
    fk-jelgavain last 6 away games (Virsliga).
    Jelgava will not lose
    -119
    BFC Daugavpils have not lost
    bfc-daugavpilsfk-jelgavain 10 of last 11 games against Jelgava (Virsliga).
    bfc-daugavpilsfk-jelgavain last 8 home games against Jelgava (Virsliga).
    Jelgava have not won
    fk-jelgavain 22 of last 23 away games (Virsliga).
    fk-jelgavain 12 of last 13 games (Virsliga).
    BFC Daugavpils will not lose
    -357
    BFC Daugavpils have scored
    bfc-daugavpilsfk-jelgavain 8 of last 9 home games against Jelgava.
    bfc-daugavpilsin 8 of last 9 games (Virsliga).
    Jelgava have conceded
    fk-jelgavain 18 of last 19 games (Virsliga).
    fk-jelgavain last 13 away games (Virsliga).
    BFC Daugavpils will score goal
    -556
    View more facts

    Daugavpils - Jelgava Table position

    Virsliga 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Liepaja
    Liepaja
    1664621-2322
    5.
    Super Nova
    Super Nova
    1662818-2320
    6.
    BFC Daugavpils
    BFC Daugavpils
    1653819-2418
    7.
    Jelgava
    Jelgava
    1636712-3015
    8.
    Tukums 2000/TSS
    Tukums 2000/TSS
    1627729-3013
    9.
    Grobinas SC/LFS
    Grobinas SC/LFS
    1627710-2613

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 12
    -3
    -9
    8 - Scored
    17 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    2
    3
    Draws
    4
    5
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    8
    12
    Conceded
    17
    2.1
    Match goals average
    2.5
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.7
    6
    Both teams scored
    4
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats