Daugavpils vs Jelgava Prediction
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams BFC Daugavpils and Jelgava. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 15:00 16 April. The tournament match will take place at the Celtnieks stadium in the city of Daugavpils. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 18 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Jelgava):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 0 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams BFC Daugavpils and Jelgava:
- played 24 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 6, for the away team - 10, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 22 against 27;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.92, in the 2nd half - 1.13;
- average total goals in the match - 2.04.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

BFC Daugavpils Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 12 April 2026 as part of the Virsliga tournament (home team - Auda Riga, away team - BFC Daugavpils). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.
Here's the game statistics (BFC Daugavpils vs Auda Riga):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 7.
- 3 wins,
- 3 losses,
- 0 draws.
📈Currently, BFC Daugavpils stands at a mid-tier position within the Virsliga standings, with a win percentage of 50% and a loss percentage of 50%.
⚽️BFC Daugavpils has scored a total of 10 goals. On the defensive end, BFC Daugavpils has allowed 12 goals over the season.
Match Results: BFC Daugavpils

Jelgava Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 12 April 2026 as part of the Virsliga tournament (home team - Liepaja, away - Jelgava). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Jelgava vs Liepaja):
- ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
- 1 wins,
- 3 losses,
- 2 draws.
📈Currently, Jelgava stands at a mid-tier position within the Virsliga standings, with a win percentage of 17% and a loss percentage of 50%.
⚽Jelgava has scored a total of 4 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 13 goals over the season.
Match Results: Jelgava
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 24;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 10, draws - 8.
Statistics: BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- win percentage: 50% vs 17%;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 6.
- Jelgava won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 games (Virsliga).
- Jelgava won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 away games (Virsliga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.92, the guests - 1.13;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.04;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava
- average total in the tournament: 3.67 vs 2.83;
- average total goals scored: 1.67 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.83 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.83 vs 0.17;
- BFC Daugavpils: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Jelgava: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.4) vs 0.9 (away - 1.25).
- Jelgava have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 away games against BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga).
- Jelgava have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games (Virsliga).
Prediction on corners
BFC Daugavpils: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.17; at home field - 3.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; at home field - 3.2.
Jelgava: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5, away - 6.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 5.
- Under 10.5 corners in 10 of last 11 BFC Daugavpils games (Virsliga).
- Under 10.5 corners in 9 of last 10 BFC Daugavpils home games (Virsliga).
- Under 10.5 corners in last 6 BFC Daugavpils home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 24;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: BFC Daugavpils vs Jelgava
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for BFC Daugavpils at home - 1 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Jelgava away - 2 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for BFC Daugavpils at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Jelgava away - 4 (100%).
- Jelgava have scored and conceded in last 8 away games (Virsliga).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (7/29, 24.1%);
- BFC Daugavpils at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 2:0 , 2:1 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Jelgava away most often play: 1:1 (2/2, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.96%
1:0 - 11.53%
2:1 - 9.57%
- Jelgava drew 1:1 in last 3 away games (Virsliga).
