Stuttgart vs Dortmund Prediction 19 September 2026
π Stuttgart host Borussia Dortmund in one of the standout fixtures of matchday 4 in the Bundesliga. The hosts began the season with a heavy defeat to Bayern, then won comfortably against KΓΆln, but lost to Hoffenheim last time out. Dortmund, by contrast, have won all three of their opening matches and remain on a perfect record. Stuttgart have already shown they can cause opponents real problems through an active attacking game. Dortmund's attack is also in good shape, with Serhou Guirassy looking particularly dangerous at the start of the season. This match is therefore worth examining not only in terms of the result, but also the goals markets.
π This prediction will be updated as important news emerges. Check back closer to kick-off.
Head-to-head: Dortmund snap their winless streak
π The most recent meeting between the two sides took place in April 2026 at the MHP Arena and ended in a 2-0 win for Borussia Dortmund. The decisive moments came late on: Karim Adeyemi opened the scoring in the 90+4th minute, and Julian Brandt added a second two minutes later. Stuttgart had looked the more active side during the match and held possession for almost 70% of the time, but were unable to convert their chances. The win ended Dortmund's run of seven official matches without a victory over Stuttgart.
Head-to-head statistics Stuttgart - Dortmund
Stuttgart seek balance
Stuttgart go into the match with three points from three games. They lost their opening fixture 1-5 to Bayern, but responded the following week with a convincing 4-1 win over KΓΆln. In the most recent round, against Hoffenheim, Stuttgart showed some resilience: after going 0-1 down in the first half, Maximilian MittelstΓ€dt quickly levelled after the break, and the visitors continued to create chances, but conceded a second and lost 1-2.
The statistics suggest HoeneΓ's side are not passive even in defeat. Stuttgart had 46 shots across the three rounds - more than Dortmund's 44 - and in terms of high-intensity runs and pressing actions they remain among the most active sides in the league. The issues are more to do with finishing and defensive reliability: six goals scored is a decent return for a team currently 14th, but nine conceded indicates that control of the game is not always maintained for the full 90 minutes.
The home factor is particularly significant. Stuttgart have already beaten KΓΆln at the MHP Arena, and after that match HoeneΓ specifically highlighted the team's energy and the need to keep working on the details. Ahead of the Dortmund game, the manager has placed emphasis on compactness, intensity, aggression and defensive stability. That makes sense: against a side capable of exploiting space quickly, Stuttgart will need to maintain a high tempo while avoiding gaps between the lines.
Match Results: Stuttgart
Dortmund are hitting their stride
Dortmund have made a significantly more confident start to the league season: three wins in a row and nine points. Niko KovaΔ's side beat Hamburg 2-0, then came from behind in Sinsheim against Hoffenheim - 3-2, and in the most recent round comfortably dealt with Paderborn 3-0. It is the first time in 11 years that Dortmund have taken maximum points from their opening Bundesliga matches.
What makes this Dortmund side interesting is not just the results. KovaΔ's team have shown they can change the course of a match: against Hoffenheim they came back from 2-0 down, and against Paderborn they struggled to put the game to bed after FΓ‘bio Silva's early goal, before finishing the match much more effectively. FΓ©lix Nmecha came off the bench and scored twice, and KovaΔ has specifically highlighted the impact of his substitutes on results. This season, players coming off the bench have been directly involved in six of Dortmund's 12 goals.
Serhou Guirassy deserves particular mention. The striker scored in the win over Hoffenheim and got a brace in the Champions League against Villarreal, while against Paderborn two of his goals were ruled out by VAR. He did not score in that last match, but remained the main attacking threat throughout. KovaΔ also has FΓ‘bio Silva, who opened the scoring against Paderborn, as well as Nmecha and Maximilian Beier - meaning Dortmund are capable of creating danger in different ways and are not reliant on a single attacking pattern.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Latest news
Stuttgart
π The hosts' injury situation is gradually improving. Angelo Stiller, who picked up a knock in the match against Hoffenheim, has been training this week and could make the squad, though the final decision will be made just before the match. Nicolas Nartey is also close to returning.
β Dan-Axel Zagadou, Luca Jaquez, Lorenz Assignon and Tiago Tomas are not yet fit, while Dennis Seimen and Justin Diehl are currently only in partial training.
Borussia Dortmund
β The visitors' squad situation is also far from ideal. Emre Can and Giannis Konstantelias remain sidelined with serious injuries, Filippo Mane will miss the coming matches with a muscle injury, and Justin Lerma also has a muscular problem.
π Nico Schlotterbeck, however, has already returned and played against Paderborn, while Rami Bensebaini has also recovered and is available. Konstantinos Karetsas remains a doubt.
π Update - 19 September, 14:42 UTC:
- According to Ruhr Nachrichten, Konstantinos Karetsas has been included in the squad for the match against Stuttgart.
π Update - 19 September, 14:55 UTC:
- Tobias Stieler has been appointed as the referee for the match. This is a good sign for Borussia - Stieler has taken charge of 37 matches involving them, in which Dortmund have won 23 and lost 9. Stuttgart's record with this referee is negative: 8 wins, 16 defeats.
Predicted Lineups
π Predicted starting XI for Stuttgart: Bredlow - Jeltsch, Chabot, Hendriks - Leweling, Promel, Stiller, MittelstΓ€dt - Undav, FΓΌhrich - DemiroviΔ
π Predicted starting XI for Borussia: Kobel - Gadou, Anton, Schlotterbeck - Ryerson, Bellingham, Nmecha, Svensson - Nwaneri, Silva - Guirassy
π¨ Yellow Cards Prediction
Neither side has been among the most ill-disciplined teams in the league so far this season. Over three matchdays, Stuttgart have picked up four yellow cards and Dortmund five, while both teams are level on fouls with 29 each.
The nature of the match could increase the number of duels, though. Stuttgart will need to contain Dortmund's quick attacks, and the visitors are likely to respond actively to the hosts' pressing. The last meeting between the two sides in Stuttgart ended with six yellow cards, so the prediction is: Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.
β½ Goals Prediction
There are genuine reasons to expect goals in this fixture. Stuttgart have scored six goals in three rounds, Dortmund eight, and the two sides produced a 3-3 thriller in their second-most-recent meeting. Stuttgart have also conceded in every round so far, while Dortmund have scored in all three of their league matches.
That said, I wouldn't expect a repeat of six goals. Dortmund currently have better control of their game structure, and Stuttgart, following their defeat to Hoffenheim, will likely place greater emphasis on being compact - something Hoeness specifically highlighted ahead of this match. A bet on both teams scoring therefore seems more logical than backing a high individual total for either side. Prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.38*.
π© Corners Prediction
Stuttgart are capable of building pressure through the flanks and regularly carrying attacks through to their conclusion. That was clear enough in their most recent match against Hoffenheim, where HoeneΓ's side earned seven corners to their opponents' five.
Dortmund, for their part, should not surrender the initiative entirely even away from home. KovaΔ's side also make active use of the flanks, and the high intensity of their attacking play and frequent runs allow them to regularly force situations that lead to crosses and blocked passes. In the two head-to-head meetings last season, Stuttgart won the corners count in both: 4-2 and 5-2. My pick: Stuttgart Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at odds of 1.56*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
β Editor's Prediction
Stuttgart come into this match with three points from three games and have not been particularly solid defensively. Dortmund, by contrast, have won all three of their opening fixtures and have already shown they can get results even in difficult circumstances.
That said, the hosts are capable of making life hard for the visitors at the MHP Arena, so an easy away win is far from guaranteed. The last meeting at this ground ended in a 2-0 win for Dortmund, and current form gives reason to think the visitors will at least not lose this one either.
My bet: Borussia Dortmund not to lose. Predicted outcome: Nico KovaΔ's side take all three points - 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund
in 7 of last 8 games against Borussia Dortmund.in 8 of last 9 home games (Bundesliga).
in last 5 games (Bundesliga).in 12 of last 14 away games (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 games.in 7 of last 8 games against Borussia Dortmund.in 11 of last 12 home games (Bundesliga).in last 6 home games.
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