Seinajoen vs Mariehamn Prediction 18 September 2026
🔊 Mariehamn went the first 19 rounds of the Veikkausliiga without a single win, then beat SJK 2-0 in round 20. Since that evening, the islanders have picked up 12 points from five matches and now trail SJK by just four. The stakes are high: in the relegation play-off, the bottom side go down automatically, while 11th place means a play-off to stay up.
Head-to-Head
SIK and Mariehamn have met 33 times. The hosts have won 16 of those meetings, the visitors 12, with five draws. SIK have scored 51 goals in total across those matches, Mariehamn 32.
Head-to-head statistics Seinajoen - Mariehamn
Seinajoen Team Overview
SIK failed to reach the championship group and are spending the autumn in the relegation play-off tournament. Jarkko Wiss's side sit tenth after 24 rounds, with home games against Mariehamn and Lahti still to come, plus an away trip to Ilves. Their last three points came on 3 August, when they thrashed HJK 3-0. Since then, SIK have gone six league games without a win, scoring just four goals. Their last three away matches all ended in draws, two of them goalless. The defensive picture is more concerning: SIK have conceded in 9 of their last 10 home Veikkausliiga matches.
Match Results: Seinajoen
IFK Mariehamn Team Overview
Mariehamn sit 11th with 17 points, one ahead of bottom side Jaro. The team have been managed by Swede Robert Björknesjö since June, and his first win took more than two months to arrive. The most notable result in that spell was a trip to Kuopio, where the islanders took three points off Veikkausliiga leaders KuPS. Their only slip in that period came in Lahti, though four days later they beat TPS at home. The underlying weakness remains: Mariehamn have conceded in 18 consecutive Veikkausliiga away matches. They also drop points on the road almost every time - losing 8 of their last 9 away league fixtures.
Match Results: IFK Mariehamn
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Prediction
Mariehamn have conceded in the first half in six consecutive away matches. The opening period is their most vulnerable phase. SIK have something to offer at the other end: they have averaged 1.5 goals per match across their last 10 home games. The bet is SIK to Score in the First Half.
Risky Bet
Mariehamn have conceded before half-time in six away matches in a row. SIK tend to make the most of that at home: in their last 10 home matches, they average 1.5 goals. For this bet, one goal isn't enough - a second is needed before the break, either from SIK or in reply from the visitors. That's where the risk lies, and why the odds are high. The bet is Total Goals - Over 1.5 in the First Half.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely correct scores are 1-1 (11.29%), 2-1 (10.04%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, though the difference in probability between all three options is not particularly large.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
In 6 of their last 7 home matches, SJK have seen more than two goals. Three or more goals in Seinäjoki is the norm rather than the exception. Mariehamn show the same pattern: in 6 of their last 7 away Veikkausliiga matches, there have been more than two goals. The islanders are chasing the game, and sitting back defensively doesn't suit them. We don't expect this one to be settled by just one or two goals. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score - 2:1.
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Betting Tips: Seinajoen - IFK Mariehamn
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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