Valencia vs Athletic Prediction

    🔊 Can the "Bats" settle the score for their first-round defeat? Valencia still have a shot at securing a spot in European competitions. Their home clash with Athletic is pivotal this season. It's worth noting that the "Basques" have already accomplished their league objectives, making their final two matches mere formalities. Let's take a look at the bookmakers' early predictions: a win for the "Oranges" is at 2.2, while a victory for the "Lions" stands at 3.85.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In the first round of the current La Liga season, Athletic edged out Valencia (1-0) at San Mamés. Beñat Prados was the lone goal scorer in that match. Overall, the "Bats" have managed to defeat the "Basques" only once in their last seven head-to-head encounters. That victory for Valencia came in their previous meeting at Mestalla in January 2024, where they secured a 1-0 win.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    36%
    16 Wins
    30%
    13 Draws
    34%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    44
    Total Goals Avg
    2.36
    Both teams scored
    52%
    1.16
    Total average
    1.2
    2.61
    Yellow cards
    2.23
    Last matches
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    Valencia
    Valencia
    1.33
    1.26
    13
    5
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.33
    1.26
    13
    5
    9
    7
    2
    3
    04.02.26
    Copa del Rey
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.47
    2.03
    4
    3
    13
    8
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.47
    2.03
    4
    3
    13
    8
    1
    0
    20.09.25
    La Liga
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1
    2.01
    0.5
    5
    6
    13
    6
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.01
    0.5
    5
    6
    13
    6
    1
    1
    18.05.25
    La Liga
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    0.39
    1.16
    5
    3
    10
    16
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.39
    1.16
    5
    3
    10
    16
    3
    1
    28.08.24
    La Liga
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    Valencia
    Valencia
    -
    -
    5
    3
    13
    13
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    13
    13
    1
    3
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    Valencia Team Overview

    🟠 Valencia suffered a somewhat surprising defeat at "Mendizorroza" (0-1) in the last round. Notably, the "Bats" recorded an xG of just 0.61. After the match, the refereeing committee admitted that Gil Manzano made an error and the penalty awarded against Mamardashvili should not have been given. This revelation doesn't ease the burden for Carlos Corberan and his team, as securing a spot in European competitions is becoming increasingly challenging. Currently, the "Oranges" trail the top eight by 3 points. However, Valencia are particularly effective at "Mestalla," having accumulated 31 points from 18 games (the 8th best in the league).

    Match Results: Valencia

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    1.67
    1.21
    7
    8
    11
    8
    2
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1.67
    1.21
    7
    8
    11
    8
    2
    2
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Valencia
    Valencia
    1
    0.66
    1.12
    3
    2
    13
    11
    4
    0
    3
    4
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0.66
    1.12
    3
    2
    13
    11
    4
    0
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    0.79
    1.16
    5
    1
    9
    20
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.79
    1.16
    5
    1
    9
    20
    1
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    Valencia
    Valencia
    1.33
    1.26
    13
    5
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.33
    1.26
    13
    5
    9
    7
    2
    3
    W
    02.05.26
    La Liga
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    1.65
    1.46
    1
    7
    9
    12
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.65
    1.46
    1
    7
    9
    12
    1
    3
    L
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    Athletic Bilbao Team Overview

    🔴 In the remaining rounds of La Liga, the Basques can only aim to solidify their league position and break into the top three. Interestingly, in their last five league matches, Athletic have conceded just one goal (the best record) and have added 10 points to their tally (5th best). It's crucial to note that the Lions' defensive line is the most effective in La Liga, allowing just 0.72 goals per match. The Bilbao side also perform admirably on the road, securing 28 points from 18 games (4th best).

    Match Results: Athletic Bilbao

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    L
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    3.77
    0.17
    5
    0
    14
    11
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    3.77
    0.17
    5
    0
    14
    11
    2
    2
    D
    13.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    0.89
    0.95
    8
    9
    9
    14
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0.89
    0.95
    8
    9
    9
    14
    0
    0
    L
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    Valencia
    Valencia
    1.33
    1.26
    13
    5
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.33
    1.26
    13
    5
    9
    7
    2
    3
    L
    02.05.26
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    0.53
    0.94
    4
    6
    8
    13
    4
    3
    2
    4
    1
    0
    1
    4
    0.53
    0.94
    4
    6
    8
    13
    4
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Valencia

    📣 After the match against Alaves (0-1), Carlos Corberan shared his thoughts: “It wasn't our best performance. We started very energetically in the first 15 minutes, but as the game progressed, our precision and effectiveness declined. It was a game with the most unforced errors. Still, we had the chance to equalize. A draw would have been a fair result. We have two games left, and Valencia are determined to collect as many points as possible.” When asked about the refereeing quality, Valencia's head coach stated: “As a coach, if I could change what happened through criticism, I would. But I need to focus on what I can control, which is changing the team's attacking approach to achieve better results.”

    📢 Giorgi Mamardashvili also had his say: “I don’t understand why that was a penalty, and I never will. Even Alaves players told me it wasn’t a penalty. We have to keep going. We have two games left, and we need to fight until the end. This team will never stop battling.”

    ❌ Among Valencia’s unavailable players, Thierry Correia stands out. The Portuguese full-back is still recovering from a cruciate ligament rupture.

    Athletic Bilbao

    📣 Following their 2-0 victory over Getafe, which secured an early qualification for the Champions League, Ernesto Valverde addressed the press: "This is an incredible win for our team. We achieved what we set out to do. It's our dream, and we're very happy. Now the team will give everything to finish in the top three of the league. We will seize every opportunity. If you have the motivation, you must go all the way. We'll see how far we can go."

    🔗 Qualifying for the Champions League is truly historic for the club. The Basques have only reached this prestigious European tournament for the sixth time in their history. The last time the Lions participated was 11 years ago.

    📝 A notable transfer story in recent days is Athletic's interest in Jesús Areso. Reportedly, the Basques have offered the Osasuna player a five-year contract with improved financial terms. Previously, Areso turned down three contract extension offers from the Pamplona outfit.

    ❌ Injured players are gradually returning to Athletic's lineup. However, Inaki Williams (muscle injury) and Nico Williams (hip injury) remain doubtful for the upcoming match.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    Athletic have shown remarkable discipline this season, averaging just 1.7 yellow cards per match. In head-to-head clashes with the "Bats," the Bilbao side also maintains a lower average of bookings-2.4 compared to 2.9. Their high level of organization and excellent positional defense contribute to these statistics. Our pick: Valencia to win on yellow cards.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    In 6 out of Athletic's last 8 matches, no more than 2 goals were scored. Notably, head-to-head encounters between the "Bats" and "Basques" have been low-scoring, averaging 2.2 goals per game. Given Bilbao's outstanding defensive quality, their reliability against Valencia's underdeveloped attacking line is hardly in doubt. A reasonable bet is under 2.5 goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Let's examine each team's corner stats this season. Athletic show a positive trend: 5.2 corners earned versus 4 conceded. Valencia, however, do not follow suit, with a ratio of 5 earned to 5.1 conceded. In head-to-head matchups, the "Lions" also hold an edge in this department-5.6 to 4.3. We suggest the following outcome: Athletic to win on corners with a (0) handicap.

    Editor's Prediction

    Valencia need a win, but Athletic are a tough opponent to crack. The Bats have failed to defeat the Basques in nine of their last ten La Liga head-to-heads. Ernesto Valverde's side quickly bounced back after their painful exit from the Europa League, securing two clean-sheet victories. We don't believe they will falter at the Mestalla. Athletic will not lose is our main pick.

    Our choice
    Athletic Bilbao will not lose at odds of -169*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (17 May 2025, 13:42)

    Betting Tips: Valencia - Athletic Bilbao

    Athletic Bilbao have drawn in the 1st half
    athletic-bilbao-1in 9 of last 10 away games.
    athletic-bilbao-1in last 7 away games (LaLiga).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +105
    Valencia have not lost
    valencia-cf-1in 10 of last 11 games (LaLiga).
    valencia-cf-1in 8 of last 9 home games (LaLiga).
    Valencia will not lose
    Everygame
    -278
    Valencia have not won
    valencia-cf-1athletic-bilbao-1in 9 of last 10 games against Athletic Bilbao (LaLiga).
    Athletic Bilbao have not lost
    athletic-bilbao-1in 12 of last 14 away games (LaLiga).
    athletic-bilbao-1in 9 of last 10 games (LaLiga).
    Athletic Bilbao will not lose
    Everygame
    -196
    Valencia have scored under 1.5 goals
    valencia-cf-1athletic-bilbao-1in 10 of last 11 games against Athletic Bilbao.
    valencia-cf-1athletic-bilbao-1in 7 of last 8 games against Athletic Bilbao (LaLiga).
    valencia-cf-1athletic-bilbao-1in last 5 home games against Athletic Bilbao.
    Valencia Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -227
    View more facts

    Valencia - Athletic Table position

    LaLiga 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    382210668-3076
    4.
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    381913654-2970
    5.
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    382010871-5170
    11.
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    381371835-4646
    12.
    Valencia
    Valencia
    3811131444-5446
    13.
    Getafe
    Getafe
    381191834-3942

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 13
    +3
    -5
    13 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    1
    3
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    13
    13
    Conceded
    18
    2.9
    Match goals average
    3.1
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats