Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction 18 May 2025
🔊 Which team will claim the second spot in the English Premier League? Essentially, their head-to-head clash will determine who secures the second Champions League berth. Currently, Arsenal hold a two-point advantage. Therefore, Newcastle need a win at the Emirates. Otherwise, they risk dropping out of the top five altogether, especially if they slip up in the next round as well. Hence, we will explore various scenarios to make a well-founded prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the span of 41 head-to-head matches, Arsenal hold the advantage with a 66 percent win rate. However, this season they have yet to defeat Newcastle, despite facing them three times. In the first round of the current campaign, Newcastle emerged victorious at St. James' Park with a 1-0 win. They also kept a clean sheet in both legs of the League Cup semi-final, netting twice against the Gunners both at home and away.
Head-to-head statistics Arsenal - Newcastle
Arsenal Team Overview
🔴 Arsenal are without a win in five consecutive matches, including the Champions League, where they have yet to defeat PSG in the semi-finals. Two draws and a loss have cast doubt on their second-place standing in the Premier League. Several teams have closed the gap on the Gunners, but their main focus is likely overtaking Manchester City.
🔗 In the previous round, Arsenal faced Liverpool, who seem to still be celebrating their championship victory. This match came right after Arsenal's exit from the Champions League. Liverpool were quicker off the mark, scoring twice by the middle of the first half. However, they then eased off, allowing Arteta's side to seize control. In the second half, Martinelli and Mikel Merino leveled the score (2-2).
Match Results: Arsenal
Newcastle United Team Overview
⚫ Newcastle have suffered only one defeat this spring. In April, they couldn't hold their own against Aston Villa away (1-4). At the Amex, the team managed just a draw with Brighton (1-1). However, at home, the Magpies are on an impressive winning streak that began in the League Cup semi-final against Arsenal. This run has propelled them to third place in the standings, though their Champions League spot is far from secure.
🔗 In the last round, Newcastle defeated Chelsea (2-0), one of their rivals for a top-five finish. Sandro Tonali put the Magpies ahead as early as the second minute. Chelsea went down to ten men in the first half, allowing Newcastle to comfortably see out the victory, adding a second goal in the final minute of regular time.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Latest news
Arsenal
⚡️ During last weekend's match, Liverpool fans unveiled a banner depicting Arteta with a wedding bouquet, accompanied by the caption: "Always the bridesmaid, never the bride."
📣 Former Manchester United player Gary Neville assessed Arteta's tenure at Arsenal: "To not win a single trophy in five years and still remain an EPL manager is quite an achievement."
📝 Arsenal are in dire need of a forward, making them favorites in the race to sign Viktor Gyökeres from Sporting. However, other top clubs are also vying for the prolific Swede.
❌ Kai Havertz has fully recovered and is ready to take the field against Newcastle, as confirmed by Arteta himself. The injury list still includes Gabriel, Takehiro Tomiyasu, and Gabriel Jesus. Declan Rice missed the clash with Liverpool, putting his participation in the next match in doubt, along with Martinelli and Leandro Trossard. Notably, Mikel Merino will be absent at the Emirates after receiving a red card in the game against Liverpool.
Newcastle United
📝 Transfer rumors are linking Alexander Isak with Arsenal, Liverpool, and other top clubs. Newcastle's head coach has expressed his frustration over this: "I'm disappointed because I don't understand why our players are being linked here, there, and everywhere with other clubs. I'd like to believe that the players are happy here. I'd like to think they see us growing and developing into a team that, hopefully, can compete at the top of the Premier League."
📌 Newcastle plan to change their club crest starting from the 2026/27 season. The club has decided that the emblem, which has been in use since 1988, is too complex and does not fit the modern world.
❌ Joelinton, Lewis Hall, Matt Targett, and Kieran Trippier will miss the upcoming match due to injuries. Sven Botman's participation is doubtful after he was substituted in the second half against Chelsea. The same goes for Joe Willock, who missed the last round entirely.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Simon Hooper, who has officiated 22 Premier League games this season. On average, he hands out 4.73 yellow cards per match. Notably, in seven consecutive matches, he has issued at least four cautions.
In matches involving these teams, there are typically just over four warnings on average. In their three head-to-head encounters this season, there have been no fewer than four yellow cards. Considering the referee's statistics and the importance of the match, it might be wise to consider betting on total yellow cards over 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Newcastle have found the net in the first half in 8 of their last 9 matches. Reflecting on this season's head-to-heads, they have opened the scoring before the break. The Magpies are currently in excellent form. If they take to the pitch at the Emirates with the same determination as in previous encounters, there's a strong likelihood that Newcastle will score in the 1st half.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both teams enter the match with a trend of low corner counts. For instance, Newcastle have had a maximum of four corners in 6 of their last 7 away games. Meanwhile, Arsenal have delivered more than five corners in only 1 of their last 10 matches at the Emirates. This suggests a bet on total corners under 10.5.
Editor's Prediction
Newcastle have been performing impressively against Arsenal this season, and this will certainly serve as a significant motivating factor for the Gunners, but it won't solve their squad issues. We believe the Magpies have every chance to trouble the Londoners once again, so we're backing Newcastle not to lose.
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Betting Tips: Arsenal - Newcastle United
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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