Everton vs Liverpool Prediction 19 April 2026
🔊 April 19, 2026, marks a landmark date for the football city of Liverpool. On this day, Everton will host their fiercest rivals for the first time in their new 52,000-seat fortress by the waterfront. It's a historic occasion. For the first time in a long while, the Merseyside derby carries direct competitive significance, as both teams are direct rivals. The Toffees, revitalized under David Moyes, will face a struggling Liverpool, who risk missing out on the Champions League. Can the hosts turn their housewarming into a nightmare for Arne Slot?
Head-to-Head
📊 In the first round, Liverpool secured a hard-fought home victory over Everton, with Ryan Gravenberch contributing a goal and an assist in the 2-1 win. It's clear who holds the upper hand in the city. However, trips to Goodison Park have always posed a stern test for the Reds; they've managed just one win in their last eight visits to Everton's ground. The Toffees' primary challenge is to replicate that magic at Hill Dickinson.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Everton Team Overview
Since David Moyes returned to the helm, the Toffees have made a remarkable leap from the bottom of the standings to genuine contenders for European competition. Currently, Everton sit in 8th place with 47 points after 32 matches, trailing the Champions League spots by just 5 points. A victory in the derby is therefore crucial!
In their last outing, the Blues played an away match against Brentford (2-2), once again showcasing their trademark resilience under Moyes by snatching a draw thanks to Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall's stoppage-time goal. The team's home record this season has been quite mixed (6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses), but this is where their main potential for growth lies ahead of the decisive matches of the season. Especially since their last two games at "Hill Dickinson" ended in clean-sheet victories against Burnley (2-0) and Chelsea (3-0).
Match Results: Everton
Liverpool Team Overview
The Reds are enduring one of their toughest stretches under Arne Slot. Currently sitting in 5th place with 52 points, four losses in their last five matches across all competitions have dashed their hopes of contending for silverware and left fans anxiously eyeing the league table. In their previous outing, Liverpool finally secured a much-needed win but looked shaky even against Fulham (2-0).
Their last chance to salvage the season was in the Champions League, from which the Reds were emphatically eliminated on Tuesday. They suffered defeats both away and at home against PSG (0-2 each), delivering a significant psychological blow. At one point during the match at Anfield, Slot's protégés took control and performed well, generating an xG of 2.31, but it wasn't enough to find the back of the net even once. The opponents were more clinical, leading to a comprehensive aggregate defeat and sparking fresh rumors about Slot potentially being replaced by Xabi Alonso.
Match Results: Liverpool
Latest news
Everton
🎙 David Moyes ahead of the derby: “All we can do is try to catch those above us. We must try to overtake as many as we can. But perhaps more importantly, we need to ensure that no one overtakes us because if we maintain a strong position, we give ourselves a chance to compete for something in Europe. The main thing for me is that we have six matches ahead and something to fight for. In recent years, we haven't been fighting for the right things, but this season we're getting closer to where you'd like to see us. Hopefully, we continue in this vein and keep this dream alive. Let's see what comes of it.”
❌ The squad situation for the hosts is nearly perfect. The only confirmed absentee is Jack Grealish (foot injury), who will definitely not play. However, this is already a familiar scenario for the team. Carlos Alcaraz's participation is also doubtful as he has just returned to training after a long absence and isn't part of the starting lineup. Otherwise, Moyes can count on all his key players.
Liverpool
🎙 Arne Slot on the Champions League race: “It feels like a mini-league. Every team is focused on their rivals. Our focus right now isn't on Arsenal, but on the teams around us. The main emphasis is on the next game, and that's Everton. They are in very good form at the moment, and the first match at their new stadium makes the derby even more special, if that's even possible. For them, it will always be a special match, as it is for us.”
❌ The visitors are facing a challenging squad situation. The injury list is extensive. First-choice goalkeeper Alisson Becker will miss his sixth consecutive match. Conor Bradley (knee), Giovanni Leone (knee), and Wataru Endo (ankle) remain sidelined. Arne Slot also confirmed that Joe Gomez won't be ready for the derby. However, the biggest loss is undoubtedly Hugo Ekitike, who ruptured his Achilles against Paris and is expected to be out until winter. The Frenchman is the team's top scorer this season with 17 goals.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The derby will be officiated by a team led by Chris Kavanagh. The English referee isn't the strictest in the Premier League this season, but he averages a decent 3.8 yellow cards per game. The last derby at Goodison Park ended in a huge scandal with post-whistle dismissals. Given that both teams are vying for a Champions League spot, and the intensity of the Merseyside derby is always high, a flurry of tackles and fouls is inevitable. A bet on over 3.5 yellow cards seems a logical and reliable choice.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Both teams find themselves in a situation where a draw is almost as bad as a loss in the race for the top five. Everton, backed by 52,000 fans at their new stadium, must push forward. Liverpool, despite their dreadful form and injuries, have Mohamed Salah, for whom this is the last Merseyside derby of his career, and they will surely try to make amends for their Champions League exit. The Reds' defense looks highly vulnerable, and the Toffees' attack, featuring Beto and Ndiaye, can capitalize on this. Betting on both teams to score (yes), which hit in their last head-to-head encounter, could again be profitable.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Liverpool, away against their fierce rivals, will need to attack down the flanks frequently, ensuring at least 5-6 corners from the visitors-right around their season average. Meanwhile, Everton under Moyes have become much more effective at set pieces, actively utilizing the height of Branthwaite and Tarkowski in the opposing box, averaging 5.31 corner deliveries at home. There are all the makings for hitting over 8.5 corners, which has landed in 7 of Everton's last 8 matches and in 10 of Liverpool's last 11 Premier League games.
🚀 Player Statistics Bet
The Merseyside derby is almost always a showcase for Jordan Pickford. The Englishman has played 20 such matches and approaches his 21st as one of the league's busiest goalkeepers. This season, the Toffees' keeper ranks fourth in the EPL for total saves, with an impressive save percentage of 70.8%. Against Liverpool's attacking line, which creates chances even in crisis, Everton's goalkeeper will have plenty of work. A bet on over 3.5 saves from Jordan Pickford at odds of around 1.85* looks like a solid choice.
For those who like to play something more exotic and risky, there's an option for a save with the foot (odds from 5.00*). Pickford is known for his excellent reflexes and footwork, and in a derby where tensions run high and shot density is intense, such a scenario is more than likely. A bold addition to the main prediction.
😱 Risky Bet
Everton to win without conceding at 5.40* is what we propose in this section. Liverpool have lost 4 out of their last 5 matches, lost a key forward, and are in a deep psychological crisis. Everton, on the other hand, are riding high and ready for achievements with the crazy support of 52,000 fans at the first-ever derby in their new home. Add to this the fact that the Reds have failed to score in 2 of their last 3 away games against the Toffees, and the likelihood of a historic upset becomes even higher.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Follow the Script
Everton might falter in the first half due to overexcitement. Sometimes excessive motivation and the desire to put on a show at a new stadium backfire on the hosts. If the Toffees start too emotionally and lose possession in simple situations, a more skilled Liverpool will quickly punish them for mistakes. In that case, consider betting on Liverpool to win the first half at 2.85*, or for more adventurous bettors, on Liverpool to win between the 1st and 10th minute with odds of 7.80*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editors' Prediction
The first-ever Merseyside derby at the Hill Dickinson Stadium is more than just a match; it's a clash of contrasts. On one side, Everton are in impressive form, dreaming of a return to European competitions. On the other, Liverpool have lost their top scorer Hugo Ekitike, crashed out of the Champions League, and seem to be preparing to part ways with their manager at the end of the season. The Reds, in their current state, resemble a wounded but still dangerous beast, yet this doesn't make them favorites in the derby. The significant difference in energy, defensive issues for the visitors, and the passionate support from the stands tip the scales in favor of David Moyes' side. We predict that Everton will not lose, even allowing for a possible Toffees' victory with a scoreline of 2-1.
Betting Tips: Everton - Liverpool
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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