Liverpool vs Everton Prediction 2 April 2025
🔊 Who will come out on top in the Merseyside derby during the 30th round of the English Premier League? Liverpool are considered the favorites, which is no surprise given their position on the league table. However, Everton have been on an unbeaten run, making the outcome at Anfield less predictable than it might initially seem. We'll explore various scenarios to provide an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
Over a span of 40 head-to-head matches, Liverpool hold the upper hand with a 50% win rate. However, they haven't managed to overcome Everton in their last two encounters. In the second round of last season's championship, the Toffees emerged victorious at home with a 2-0 win. In February, they salvaged a draw with a goal in the eighth minute of stoppage time (2-2), a match not without controversy. The referee had to issue three red cards, though not to players on the pitch. Notably, this draw ended a streak of five head-to-head matches where no more than two goals were scored. Therefore, a potential bet could be on total goals under 2.5.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Liverpool Team Overview
The final week before the international break was a nightmare for Liverpool. They were knocked out of two competitions in quick succession. First, they failed to advance past PSG in the Champions League after losing in a penalty shootout. Just days later, the Merseysiders faced Newcastle at Wembley, and it was clear they hadn't recovered mentally from the defeat by the Parisians. As a result, Liverpool missed out on their first trophy of the season with a 1-2 loss.
Now, Arne Slot's squad can focus solely on the Premier League. They should not let the title slip away, holding a 12-point lead over Arsenal. Liverpool have only one defeat in the league so far. It's worth noting that several players have yet to extend their contracts, including Trent Alexander-Arnold, who is reportedly close to joining Real Madrid. He will miss the upcoming match due to injury, as will Bradley and Gomez. Gravenberch is also doubtful with health concerns.
Match Results: Liverpool
Everton Team Overview
Everton have replaced Dyche with Moyes during the season. The Scotsman has returned to familiar territory. Under his leadership, results have immediately improved. The team remains unbeaten in the Premier League for nine consecutive matches. However, five of those ended in draws, including one against Liverpool. Following that, the Toffees shared points with Manchester United (2-2), Brentford (1-1), Wolverhampton (1-1), and West Ham (1-1).
As a result, Moyes was named the Premier League Manager of the Month for February, earning his 11th award and tying with Guardiola in this regard (only Ferguson is ahead). Despite this, Everton face significant injury challenges. Calvert-Lewin, Mangala, McNeil, and Ndiaye will miss the upcoming fixture. Additionally, Mykolenko's participation is doubtful after picking up an injury on international duty.
Match Results: Everton
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for this match is Samuel Barret, who has officiated 18 Premier League games this season. On average, he hands out four yellow cards per game. However, only five of these matches have met that average.
This season, Everton have been shown yellow cards more frequently (2.3 compared to 2.1). In matches involving Everton, there are an average of 3.6 cautions. Although the Merseyside derby is considered friendly, it averages 4.5 yellow cards. This threshold was reached in their first head-to-head meeting of the season. Therefore, we suggest betting on total yellow cards over 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Despite missing several attacking players, Everton consistently find the back of the net, with only one goalless match in their last 10 outings. It's unclear what form Liverpool are in after being knocked out of two tournaments and following the international break. Thus, it makes sense to bet on Everton scoring in the upcoming clash.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Liverpool have not had more than six corners in their last five home matches. Meanwhile, in 8 out of 9 Premier League games involving Everton, there were no more than 11 corners. In their first head-to-head meeting this season, the teams combined for just five corners. It’s unlikely to expect more than double that figure this time around. Therefore, we recommend betting on total corners under 11.5.
Editor's Prediction
Liverpool are the favorites heading into the upcoming clash, but the mood in the camp is likely tense, especially with a derby looming that they can't afford to lose. Meanwhile, Everton pose a threat as they fight for points in every match, making it unlikely for the hosts to gain a significant edge and quite possible they'll drop points. Given the circumstances, a probable scoreline prediction is a 1-1 draw.
Everton are unbeaten in their last nine matches, a run that includes a head-to-head at Goodison Park. In this crucial encounter, they could once again put up a strong showing and contest for points. Therefore, a key bet would be Everton to win with a +1.5 handicap.
Betting Tips: Liverpool - Everton
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
