Crystal Palace vs West Ham Prediction 20 April 2026
🔊 What awaits the "Glaziers" as they host a desperate opponent clinging to survival? The 33rd round of the Premier League will conclude on April 20 at Selhurst Park with a London derby between Crystal Palace and West Ham. After a brilliant performance in the previous round, West Ham have climbed out of the relegation zone, yet they remain perilously close to the edge. This is a match without a clear favorite, which makes our prediction all the more insightful.
Head-to-Head
📊 In recent years, the head-to-head advantage has been with the Eagles. Crystal Palace have defeated West Ham in 5 of their last 7 encounters, including a 2-1 victory in the first round of the current season. An interesting detail is that both teams have found the net in 8 of the last 9 meetings at Selhurst Park.
Head-to-head statistics Crystal Palace - West Ham
Crystal Palace Team Overview
The Eagles approach this match having nearly secured their objectives in the domestic league. With 42 points, they sit comfortably in 13th place, well clear of the relegation zone. Notably, Crystal Palace rank 8th in the Premier League according to xG metrics, falling short by 17.3 goals. In the previous round, despite a comeback win over Newcastle (2-1) thanks to a Jean-Philippe Mateta brace, the Glaziers still struggled with finishing, netting just twice against an xG of 1.91 (excluding penalties).
However, the main focus for Oliver Glasner's side is currently on European competitions, where they advanced to the UEFA Conference League semifinals on Thursday by overcoming Italian side Fiorentina over two legs. This triumph came at a significant cost. In the second leg in Italy, which ended in a 2-1 defeat, the Eagles lost two key players: midfielder Adam Wharton and center-back Maxence Lacroix. Both were substituted in the first half due to injuries, casting doubt on their availability for Monday's match.
Match Results: Crystal Palace
West Ham United Team Overview
The "Hammers" find themselves in the thick of a relegation battle. After 32 rounds, Nuno Espírito Santo's men are sitting in 17th place with 32 points, holding a slim two-point lead over 18th-placed Tottenham. Every match is like a final for the Hammers, and there's simply no room for error. Dropping to the Championship is not an option given their resources and ambitions, yet their lack of consistency keeps them at risk. This is particularly true for their away games, where West Ham have alternated wins and losses since the start of the year.
However, in the last round, the Hammers delivered arguably their best performance of the season, thrashing Wolverhampton 4-0 at home. Konstantinos Mavropanos and Taty Castellanos both scored braces, and the team showcased lethal finishing, netting four times with just 2.03 expected goals. This victory allowed the London side to climb out of the relegation zone for the first time since December, breathing new life into the squad. West Ham have scored 9 goals in their last five matches across all competitions, marking their best scoring run of the season.
Match Results: West Ham United
Latest news
Crystal Palace
🎙 Oliver Glasner on reaching the Conference League semifinals, where his team will face Shakhtar: “There are no easy opponents in the quarterfinals, and we made it even harder for ourselves. The opponent gained momentum after the penalty. It was very difficult for me to manage this game, but the team showed their best side. We deserved to reach the semifinals.”
❌ The host team's roster situation is far from ideal. Cheick Doucouré (knee), Evann Guessand (knee), and Eddie Nketiah (hamstring) are definitely out. The participation of the aforementioned Wharton and Lacroix, who picked up injuries on Thursday, remains uncertain - a decision will be made on match day.
West Ham United
🎙 Nuno Espírito Santo after their emphatic win last round: "The match didn't start well; the first half was challenging. But the second half was very, very good. Still, I want to commend our opponents; they played well. The goals helped us. Now we can smile and carry positive energy into the week."
❌ The visiting side's squad situation is much brighter. Nuno confirmed that all his players are fit, with the Portuguese manager having an almost fully healthy roster. The only absentee is veteran goalkeeper Lukasz Fabianski, who hasn't played since September due to back issues.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The London derby will be officiated by one of the league's strictest referees. Darren England averages 4.3 yellow cards per game this season, and in his last five matches, that figure has soared to 5.6 per game. With West Ham fighting for their Premier League survival and Palace playing a physical game, averaging 2.03 yellow cards per match this season, a flurry of challenges and referee interventions is inevitable. We lean towards over 1.5 bookings for the home side - Oliver Glasner's team have hit this mark in 11 of their last 12 Premier League games.
⚽ Goal Prediction
West Ham have found their attacking rhythm, netting nine goals in their last five matches. Particularly noteworthy is their second-half performance under Nuno Espírito Santo, with five goals scored after the break in their last two games. Given the trend of Crystal Palace conceding to the Hammers in the second half in five of their last six home Premier League fixtures, betting on a goal for the visitors in the second half seems like a smart choice. Oliver Glasner's side may tire physically towards the end of the game.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Even at Selhurst Park, Crystal Palace don't often reward their fans with corners, averaging 4.44 per match. West Ham, on the road, earn slightly more at 4.56. Considering the Hammers will play for victory and attack down the wings through Bowen and Summerville, we suggest betting on over 3.5 corners for West Ham. Nuno Espírito Santo's men have reached this mark in nine of their last ten matches.
🚀 Player Stats Bet
Taty Castellanos has settled well into West Ham's lineup since his January move from Lazio. While not prolific, he's netted five goals for the Hammers and secured his spot as a regular starter. In the last match against Wolverhampton, the Argentine scored twice, took five shots - three on target - and looked very confident overall. A bet on Valentín Castellanos to score at odds of 3.05* looks intriguing. A less risky option is 3+ shots by the Argentine at odds of 1.75*.
😱 Risky Bet
A red card in the match at odds of 5.80 could appeal to risk-takers. It all hinges on the referee's stats. Darren England is one of the league's strictest officials, having already shown three red cards this season and an astonishing ten yellows in his last match. With West Ham playing with high emotions and Palace dealing with European fatigue, there's a genuine risk of a sending off, especially with such a card-happy referee.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned
As we've noted, Oliver Glasner's team struggles to convert chances. The gap between actual and expected goals is striking (-17). If this issue persists, there's a chance they could leave the pitch without scoring. This was exactly what happened in their last head-to-head meeting at Selhurst Park. The odds for Crystal Palace not to score are quite high at 4.10*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editor's Prediction
When one team has just advanced to the semifinals of a European competition and their minds are already there, while the other is fighting for every point as if it's their last breath, motivation often outweighs class. In this case, there isn't much difference in class-West Ham certainly doesn't fall short of Palace in terms of individual skill. After thrashing Wolverhampton, the Hammers are riding high on confidence and boast a fully fit squad, whereas the Eagles have lost two key players and endured a grueling trip to Italy.
Oliver Glasner's side will aim to hold their ground at home, but fatigue and squad issues might impact the outcome. We're taking a bold step by predicting a 2-1 victory for the visitors, but we'll place a neutral bet-both teams to score (yes). Both teams have found the net in 15 of their last 17 Premier League head-to-heads, and we can't ignore such a strong trend!
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Betting Tips: Crystal Palace - West Ham United
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