Al Nassr vs Arkadag Prediction 18 February 2026
🔥 The AFC Champions League Round of 16 is on the horizon! Al-Nassr and Arkadag are set to clash in the second leg of their matchup. The showdown will take place in Saudi Arabia. The first leg went in favor of Cristiano Ronaldo's team, even though he missed the game. However, in the return fixture, Al-Nassr's captain is expected to play. How will the second duel of this encounter unfold? Read our prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 0-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - Arkadag):
- possession: 30% vs 70%;
- corners: 4 vs 9;
- fouls: 20 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
Head-to-head statistics Al Nassr - Arkadag
Al Nasr Riyadh Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Pro League, where Al-Fateh hosted Al-Nassr. The match concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 8;
- fouls: 15 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Al-Nassr have triumphed in all six of their group stage matches in the AFC Champions League, amassing a perfect 18 points to top Group D. The team has been on a remarkable run, securing victories in their last eight matches, underscoring their excellent form. Al-Nassr's style is marked by an attacking approach and a commitment to maintaining possession throughout the match. They rely on high intensity and the individual brilliance of their star players, employing quick combinations and dynamic wing play to break down opponents' defensive setups.
Match Results: Al Nasr Riyadh
Arkadag Team Overview
Arkadag have delivered a strong performance in the group stage of the AFC Champions League. The team from Turkmenistan secured second place in Group B, amassing seven points. Arkadag build their strategy around a solid and disciplined defense, with a primary focus on lightning-fast transitions to attack upon regaining possession. The team expertly exploits open spaces in the opposition's defensive setup, punishing opponents for even the slightest tactical errors with swift and effective counterattacks.
Match Results: Arkadag
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 1;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 0.
First-Half Stats: Al Nasr Riyadh (home) vs Arkadag (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- wins: 3 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (66.67%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 2.33 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 7 vs 3;
- losses: 0 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.1) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2).
- Al Nasr Riyadh scored in the 1st half in last 5 games (AFC Champions League Two).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: Al Nasr Riyadh vs Arkadag
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 7 vs 1;
- win percentage: 100% vs 14%;
- losses: 0 vs 2;
- draws: 0 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 8 vs 7;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
- Arkadag won with a +2.5 handicap in last 38 games.
- Arkadag won with a +2.5 handicap in last 19 away games.
- Arkadag won with a +2.5 handicap in last 7 games (AFC Champions League Two).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Al Nasr Riyadh vs Arkadag
- average total in the tournament: 3.57 vs 1.71;
- average total goals scored: 3.29 vs 0.71;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.71 vs 0.29;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.57 vs 0.43;
- Al Nasr Riyadh: average total at home in the tournament - 4.67;
- Arkadag: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.75) vs 1.6 (away - 1.5).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 7 Al Nasr Riyadh games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Arkadag games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Al Nasr Riyadh vs Arkadag
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Al Nasr Riyadh at home - 1 (33%);
- number of BTTS matches for Arkadag away - 2 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Al Nasr Riyadh at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Arkadag away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:1 (13/101, 12.9%);
- Al Nasr Riyadh at home most often finish matches: 4:0 , 5:0 , 5:1 (1/3, 33.3%);
- Arkadag away most often play: 1:1 , 2:0 , 2:2 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 12.75% (odds 6.5)
3:0 - 11.59% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 11.47% (odds 10)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and the consistent trend of under 3.5 goals in Al-Nassr's recent matches, the upcoming clash is expected to follow a pragmatic script, focusing on the result. Arkadag are likely to adopt a defensive strategy, relying on counterattacks, which will significantly reduce the overall scoring and intensity at both ends. Despite the home side's high attacking potential, statistical data and the visitors' defensive approach make a bet on under 3.5 goals the most reasonable prediction for this encounter. A 2-0 scoreline is possible.No comments
Betting Tips: Al Nasr Riyadh - Arkadag
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
