Cuiaba vs Avai Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
🔊 Cuiabá are approaching the end of the season with a chance of reaching the play-off places, though they are five points behind with six matches to go. Avaí are in the relegation zone and also five points adrift of safety. The two sides are in very different form: Cuiabá are picking up more points and are more defensively solid, while Avaí have clearly struggled for results over the course of the season.
Why do Cuiabá have the edge in head-to-head encounters?
Avaí beat Cuiabá in their Serie B meeting 21 June 2026, winning 1-0 despite the visitors having 60% possession, 18 shots to 8 and 13 corners to one. The only goal came in the first half.
In seven official meetings, Cuiabá have won four times, Avaí twice, with one draw. Cuiabá have never lost to Avaí at home, winning two and drawing one.
Head-to-head statistics Cuiaba - Avai
The main storyline surrounding Cuiabá
Cuiabá's most recent Série B match ended in a 0-0 away draw with Vila Nova 7 October 2026. With possession fairly even, Cuiabá had nine shots to the hosts' 13, and only one of those was on target.
Cuiabá have been performing well in the second half of the season: five wins, two defeats and three draws from their last ten matches. In the last five rounds they have taken two wins, two draws and one defeat. Their average of 1.3 goals scored per game over the last ten rounds is backed by a defence conceding just 0.8 goals per match - one of the best figures among teams outside the top six. Their league objective remains clear: a play-off place is still within reach despite their current points deficit.
Match Results: Cuiaba Esporte Clube
Avaí struggle up front and their defense remains shaky.
Avaí beat Londrina 2-1 at home 7 October 2026 in their last Série B match. They led 2-0 at half-time, despite being outplayed in both possession - 40% to 60% - and shots - 11 to 19.
Avaí are having a difficult season: just three wins in their last ten matches, with six defeats and one draw. Their recent form makes for equally grim reading - four losses in their last five league rounds, with only one win to show for it. Over that period, they have been conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match while scoring fewer than one (0.9). The club are stuck in the relegation zone with a clear lack of quality in their play and need to improve if they are to stay in the league.
Match Results: Avai
Match Result Prediction
Cuiabá have been solid at home this season, losing just 2 of their 16 home matches and winning 7. Avaí, by contrast, have lost 6 of their last 7 Serie B matches, which reflects the visitors' poor recent form. Avaí have also lost 11 of their 17 away games this season, which further counts against them. Given all of this, a bet on a Cuiabá win at odds of 1.62* looks reasonable.
Total Goals Prediction
Total Goals - Over 1.5 has landed in 8 of Cuiabá's last 9 matches, which is consistent with that trend. Cuiabá's average of 2 goals per game at home over their last 10 matches, combined with Avaí conceding an average of 1.69 goals per away game this season, points to a high probability of at least two goals being scored in this match. Our pick is Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.38*.
Risky Bet
Avaí have lost 6 of their last 7 Série B matches and 11 of their 17 away games this season, while Cuiabá boast a strong home record of 7 wins and just 2 defeats. Given Cuiabá's clear home advantage and Avaí's poor form on the road, the Cuiabá Handicap -1.25 at 2.50* is worth considering as the bolder option.
Reliable Bet
Cuiabá have gone unbeaten at home in 13 of their last 14 Série B matches, which speaks to their consistency on their own ground. This season they have lost just two home games, while Avaí have lost 11 of their 17 away matches. Given these facts, the Double Chance - Draw or Home Win at 1.15* looks as safe as it gets.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes for this match are 1:0 (15.33%), 2:0 (12.17%) and 1:1 (11.09%). The 1:0 scoreline has the highest probability, though the other two options also carry significant weight. This suggests the most expected scenario is a narrow home win or a low-scoring draw.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The contrast in form between the two sides is clear: Cuiabá win more often even against opponents of a similar level, while Avaí regularly lose their matches - a run of six defeats in their last seven rounds reflects where the visitors actually stand going into this game. Both teams have plenty of motivation: the hosts are still chasing a play-off place, while the visitors are fighting to stay up, but the statistics from recent weeks give no reason to expect a change from Avaí just yet. The editor's main prediction is a Cuiabá win.
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Betting Tips: Cuiaba Esporte Clube - Avai
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