Toulouse vs Nice Prediction 17 January 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Nice secure their first league victory under their new coach? The "Eaglets" are set to visit a solid Toulouse side on Saturday as part of Ligue 1's 18th round. Bookmakers have pegged the home team as favorites in this clash and are confident in their success. However, Claude Puel's squad is determined and won't surrender points easily. Read our match prediction in this article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Toulouse and Nice have not been particularly high-scoring in their head-to-head encounters over the past five years. In six out of their last seven meetings, there have been two goals or fewer scored. These outcomes suggest a low-scoring total for the upcoming match.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    29%
    11 Wins
    34%
    13 Draws
    37%
    14 Wins
    Total games
    38
    Total Goals Avg
    2.53
    Both teams scored
    53%
    1.24
    Total average
    1.29
    1.97
    Yellow cards
    1.84
    Last matches
    17.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Nice
    Nice
    2.21
    2.3
    6
    7
    12
    17
    1
    2
    5
    1
    2
    0
    3
    1
    2.21
    2.3
    6
    7
    12
    17
    1
    2
    16.08.25
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.96
    0.57
    9
    4
    12
    13
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.96
    0.57
    9
    4
    12
    13
    2
    3
    02.02.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Nice
    Nice
    1.41
    1.67
    7
    2
    20
    20
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.41
    1.67
    7
    2
    20
    20
    2
    2
    25.08.24
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    -
    -
    4
    4
    12
    17
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    12
    17
    4
    2
    03.03.24
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Nice
    Nice
    -
    -
    7
    6
    14
    10
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    6
    14
    10
    2
    2
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    🟣 This season, Toulouse are delivering exactly the level of football they're capable of-nothing more, nothing less. Under the guidance of Carles Martinez, they've secured some impressive victories against solid teams. However, competing with the top clubs remains a challenge, as their recent Ligue 1 match against Lens demonstrated-a 0-3 defeat at home.

    🔴 Following their heavy loss to the league leaders, Toulouse put in a decent performance in the French Cup Round of 32, edging out Angers in a penalty shootout (1-2). Notably, in their last four home matches, the "Violets" have managed to score just one goal. With such a scoring record, it's tough to expect success even against the league's underdogs, let alone mid-table teams and top contenders.

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.14
    0.2
    2
    2
    3
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.14
    0.2
    2
    2
    3
    5
    0
    0
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    L
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    Nice Team Overview

    🔴 The first round of the championship was disastrous for Nice: the team suffered numerous defeats, and fans blamed the players and coaching staff for every failure, even leading to clashes between players and supporters. That chapter was turned with the arrival of new head coach Claude Puel, on whom the club's management places high hopes.

    ⚫ Surprisingly, with the new manager at the helm, Nice have stopped losing. In Ligue 1's 17th round, the "Eaglets" drew with Strasbourg (1-1), and then secured their place in the Round of 16 by defeating Nantes in a penalty shootout (2-1). While Nice's players are still far from perfect play, there have been some positive developments.

    Match Results: Nice

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    LI1
    Nice
    Nice
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    4
    1
    0
    0
    4
    1
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    W
    26.05.26
    LI1
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    Nice
    Nice
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    D
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    Nice
    Nice
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Toulouse

    ❌ In the upcoming match against Nice, Ilyas Azizi and Dayan Metalli will be sidelined due to knee injuries. Emerson will also miss out because of a suspension after receiving a red card in the last round. Danish defender Rasmus Nicolaisen is doubtful for the game as he picked up an injury in the clash with Lens.

    Nice

    🎙 Nice's head coach Claude Puel shared his thoughts on working with players of various ages. "My staff and I are always ready to help players progress, not rest on their laurels, and reach greater heights. This applies to both young academy players and those nearing the end of their careers, as their bodies change and their physical condition evolves, requiring adaptation to new circumstances. Even then, they can remain in the game for quite some time. I've always paid attention to this. It also allows us to benefit the club and maintain that crucial connection between the youth academy and professional players. Otherwise, there's no point in having a youth academy," stated Nice's head coach.

    ❌ In Nice's injury list are Mohamed Abdel Monem (knee injury) and Moise Bombito (foot injury), who will be unavailable for the upcoming match against Toulouse. The participation of forward Sofiane Diop and defender Kodjo Oppong is doubtful, as they recently sustained minor injuries and have been in recovery over the past week. Additionally, Yehvann Diouf and Antoine Mendy have left for Senegal's national team to compete in the Africa Cup of Nations.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Gaël Angoula. Over the course of 82 matches he has refereed, Angoula averages 3.21 yellow cards per game, with 25 fouls. In 17 Ligue 1 matches, the yellow card stats are as follows: Toulouse average 2.3 per game, while Nice average 2.1. Both teams have been receiving a fair number of warnings this season, so we suggest betting on over 3.5 total yellow cards.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Toulouse's average individual total in Ligue 1 is 1.4 goals per match, while Nice average 1.2. Both teams have found it challenging to score prolifically against opponents recently, showing a trend towards lower-scoring games. We recommend considering a bet on under 2.5 total match goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Over seventeen Ligue 1 matches, Toulouse have averaged 4.5 corners per game, while Nice have averaged 4.9. Both teams frequently earn set pieces from the corner and have statistics slightly above the league average, so we suggest placing a bet on over 8.5 total corners.

    Editorial Prediction

    We're in for a hard-fought match between two highly motivated teams. Expect intense battles across the pitch, but don't hold your breath for a high-scoring affair. Given Toulouse's struggles to score at home and Nice's shaky attacking line, we suggest betting on under 2.5 goals. With both teams evenly matched, a draw seems likely - predicting a 1-1 finish.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2,5) at odds of -108*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (16 January 2026, 12:58)

    Betting Tips: Toulouse - Nice

    Nice have lost the 2nd half:
    ogc-nicein last 9 away games (Ligue 1).
    2nd Half Toulouse Win
    Everygame
    +130
    Nice have lost the 1st half:
    ogc-nicein last 5 games (Ligue 1).
    1st Half Toulouse Win
    Bovada
    +168
    Nice have lost:
    ogc-nicein 6 of last 7 games (Ligue 1).
    Toulouse Win
    Bovada
    -104
    Toulouse have not won:
    toulouse-fcogc-nicein 6 of last 7 home games against Nice (Ligue 1).
    Nice will not lose
    Everygame
    -122
    View more facts

    Toulouse - Nice Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3411121148-5145
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044
    15.
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    348101634-4434
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 6
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 22
    -7
    +2
    11 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draws
    6
    5
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    11
    22
    Conceded
    9
    3.7
    Match goals average
    2
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats