Nice vs Toulouse Prediction 16 August 2025

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Can Toulouse secure their first points of the season on the road? A tough trip awaits Carles Martinez's squad as they face off against Nice in the opening round of Ligue 1. Check out our detailed analysis and prediction for this match in our article. 

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Each year, these teams face off in the French championship, providing plenty of head-to-head statistics. We've noticed a particular trend: in their last three encounters, both teams have consistently found the back of the net at least once. This trend could be a useful insight for betting on the upcoming match.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    37%
    14 Wins
    34%
    13 Draws
    29%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    38
    Total Goals Avg
    2.53
    Both teams scored
    53%
    1.29
    Total average
    1.24
    1.84
    Yellow cards
    1.97
    Last matches
    17.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Nice
    Nice
    2.21
    2.3
    6
    7
    12
    17
    1
    2
    5
    1
    2
    0
    3
    1
    2.21
    2.3
    6
    7
    12
    17
    1
    2
    16.08.25
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.96
    0.57
    9
    4
    12
    13
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.96
    0.57
    9
    4
    12
    13
    2
    3
    02.02.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Nice
    Nice
    1.41
    1.67
    7
    2
    20
    20
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.41
    1.67
    7
    2
    20
    20
    2
    2
    25.08.24
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    -
    -
    4
    4
    12
    17
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    12
    17
    4
    2
    03.03.24
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Nice
    Nice
    -
    -
    7
    6
    14
    10
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    6
    14
    10
    2
    2
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    Nice Team Overview

    ⚫ Last season, Nice finished 4th in Ligue 1, trailing Monaco in third by just one point. This missed point cost them a direct spot in the Champions League, and their qualification campaign ended in disappointment.

    🔴 Nice started their preparations for the current season on a solid note, even going on a four-match unbeaten streak. However, once the official fixtures began, problems emerged. In the Champions League qualifying round, Franck Haise's side suffered back-to-back defeats to Benfica: 2-0 at home and 2-0 away. Surprisingly, the high-scoring form they showed in friendlies vanished.

    Match Results: Nice

    Last matches
    29.05.26
    LI1
    Nice
    Nice
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    4
    1
    0
    0
    4
    1
    3.70
    2.15
    6
    4
    10
    5
    2
    0
    W
    26.05.26
    LI1
    Saint Etienne
    Saint Etienne
    Nice
    Nice
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.11
    0.24
    6
    6
    10
    7
    1
    0
    D
    22.05.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Nice
    Nice
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.09
    1.48
    9
    7
    16
    12
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    Nice
    Nice
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.01
    1.48
    10
    1
    15
    9
    1
    0
    L
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    🟣 Toulouse are a solid mid-table team in the French Ligue 1. Last season, they finished 10th in the league. The end of that campaign was quite decent for the "Purples," as they remained unbeaten in their last four matches (2 wins and 2 draws). However, their preseason has been far from ideal, with Toulouse failing to deliver a single convincing performance-recording 4 losses and 2 draws.

    🔴 In early August, Carlos Martinez's squad suffered a heavy defeat against Stuttgart (0-6). This marked their fourth consecutive loss, but not the heaviest, as they previously endured a "brilliant" match against RB Leipzig, where Toulouse conceded 7 unanswered goals. Their most recent outing ended in a draw (1-1) against Sevilla.

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.14
    0.2
    2
    2
    3
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.14
    0.2
    2
    2
    3
    5
    0
    0
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    L
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    Latest news

    Nice

    🎙 Nice's head coach Franck Haise, ahead of the match against Toulouse, stated: "Toulouse faced some challenges in a few friendly matches. Their last match was more convincing for them. It's the one I've watched the most. Like many clubs, their squad is undergoing changes: players leave, new and young talents are brought in. You always have to build a complex team, and this is something we face every year. Last season, the team performed well. Considering what they lost, they could have finished even higher. It is undoubtedly a good team, and they have several very talented players."

    ❌ For the upcoming match, Nice will be without Mohamed Abdel Monem, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, and Tanguy Ndombele due to injuries. They are all sidelined. The participation of Moamed-Ali Cho, Dante, and Morgan Sanson is questionable. 

    Toulouse

    💰 This offseason, Toulouse have made two significant acquisitions. They signed Argentine forward Santiago Hidalgo from Independiente for €2.5 million and secured midfielder Abu Francis from Cercle Brugge for €2.1 million.

    ❌ Abu Francis, Ilyas Azizi, and Niklas Schmidt will be unavailable for Toulouse's upcoming match against Nice as they are sidelined, recovering from injuries.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Thomas Leonard. Over a span of 100 matches, he averages 3.6 yellow cards per game, with 24 fouls. In their last 10 encounters, Nice have averaged 2 yellow cards, while Toulouse have averaged 1.6. Both teams play fairly clean football, and Thomas Leonard isn't known for being overly strict, so we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 4.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Nice have shown promise in terms of scoring during friendly matches, but they drew a blank in their Champions League qualification games. Toulouse have struggled offensively in the offseason, netting just 3 goals in 6 matches. Given that both teams aren't particularly prolific, we recommend taking total goals under 3.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In terms of corners over the last 10 matches, Nice have a clear edge over Toulouse with an average of 7.4 compared to 4.9. Considering that Franck Haise's team will be playing at home and should control the game, we suggest betting on Nice's corner handicap (-1.5).

    Editor's Prediction

    If it weren't for Nice's matches against Benfica, the home side would undoubtedly be considered favorites. However, they struggled under pressure, failing to score and conceding heavily. While Toulouse aren't the most formidable opponents, they are capable of scoring a goal and potentially securing at least a draw. We predict a 1-1 scoreline for this match. Given the recent form of both teams, it's evident the game is unlikely to be high-scoring, with both sides facing significant attacking issues. Our bet is on total match goals under 2.5

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2,5) at odds of -120*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (15 August 2025, 18:47)

    Betting Tips: Nice - Toulouse

    Toulouse have drawn in the 2nd half:
    toulouse-fcin last 6 games (Ligue 1).
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +145
    Nice have not lost:
    ogc-nicetoulouse-fcin 9 of last 10 games against Toulouse (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicetoulouse-fcin 8 of last 9 games against Toulouse.
    ogc-nicein 15 of last 17 home games (Ligue 1).
    Nice will not lose
    Everygame
    -417
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    ogc-nicein 23 of last 24 Nice games (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicein 22 of last 23 Nice home games.
    ogc-nicein 19 of last 20 Nice games.
    ogc-nicein 17 of last 18 Nice home games (Ligue 1).
    in 6 of last 7 Thomas Leonard games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -333
    Nice have scored:
    ogc-nicetoulouse-fcin 10 of last 11 games against Toulouse.
    ogc-nicetoulouse-fcin 9 of last 10 games against Toulouse (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicein 22 of last 24 home games.
    ogc-nicein 18 of last 19 home games (Ligue 1).
    ogc-nicein 8 of last 9 games (Ligue 1).
    Toulouse have conceded:
    toulouse-fcin 9 of last 10 games (Ligue 1).
    Nice will score goal
    Everygame
    -556
    View more facts

    Nice - Toulouse Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3411121148-5145
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044
    15.
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    348101634-4434
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    6 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 9
    +2
    -7
    15 - Scored
    22 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    4
    6
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    15
    9
    Conceded
    22
    2
    Match goals average
    3.7
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.2
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats