Tondela vs Braga Prediction 18 January 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Tondela and Braga promises to be action-packed. Tondela find themselves in a tough spot, sitting 17th in the standings with a string of poor performances. Their defensive struggles could prove decisive against the attacking prowess of the visitors. Braga, on the other hand, are in solid form, holding 5th place in the league. The club is highly motivated to strengthen their position at the top end of the table. Both teams are expected to display aggressive football with a focus on attack.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 10 August 2025 and ended in a 3-0 victory. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Braga were the home side):
- possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Tondela and Braga:
- 16 matches played;
- home victories - 2, away victories - 14, draws - 0;
- goals scored - 9 against 32;
- average first-half total - 1.06, second-half - 1.5;
- average total goals per match - 2.56.
Head-to-head statistics Tondela - Braga
Tondela Team Overview
The last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Moreirense as the home side and Tondela as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Tondela vs Moreirense):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
Tondela are going through a tough period, sitting in 17th place in the standings. Over their last five matches, they've managed just one victory while suffering four defeats. Their defense is a weak point, as evidenced by an average of 1.71 goals conceded per game. The attack isn't much better, averaging only 0.71 goals per match. Their most recent head-to-head with Braga ended in a 3-0 loss, highlighting the challenges they face in this matchup. The club must strive to improve their performance to avoid relegation from the league.
Match Results: Tondela
Braga Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Portuguese Cup, where they faced Fafe. Braga emerged victorious with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Braga vs Fafe):
- possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Braga are in solid form, currently sitting 5th in the table. Over their last five matches, they have secured one win, drawn twice, and suffered two losses. These results seem to be more a consequence of their schedule rather than a consistent trend. Their potent attack allows Braga to score an average of 1.82 goals per game, placing them among the most prolific teams in the league. Meanwhile, their defense also performs well, conceding just 1.06 goals per match on average. Their latest encounter with Tondela ended in a commanding 3-0 victory, underscoring the team's strength at this stage of the season.
Match Results: Braga
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 16;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.06;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.25, while the visitors net 0.81.
First-Half Stats: Tondela (home) vs Braga (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 9;
- wins: 1 (14.29%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- losses: 2 (28.57%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- draws: 4 (57.14%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 0.71 vs 2;
- Average goals conceded: 0.43 vs 0.89.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 7 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.5).
- Braga conceded in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 14, draws - 0.
Statistics: Tondela vs Braga
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 3 vs 7;
- win percentage: 18% vs 41%;
- losses: 11 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 7 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Tondela won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 home games against Braga (Primeira Liga).
- Tondela won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 17 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.56, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.56;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Tondela vs Braga
- average total in the tournament: 2.41 vs 2.88;
- average total goals scored: 0.71 vs 1.82;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.24 vs 1.12;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.47 vs 0.71;
- Tondela: average total at home in the tournament - 0.86;
- Braga: average total away in the tournament - 1.89;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.8) vs 1.7 (away - 1.75).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Braga games.
Prediction on corners
Tondela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.88; at home field - 3.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 6.
Braga: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.53, away - 5.78;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 5.25.
- Tondela have taken over 2.5 corners in last 6 home games against Braga (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Tondela vs Braga
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 3 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for Braga away - 6 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Braga away - 5 (63%).
- Braga have scored and conceded in last 5 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/153, 11.1%);
- Tondela at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 0:2 , 0:3 , 1:2 , 2:2 , 3:1 (1/7, 14.3%);
- Braga away most often play: 1:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 12.73% (odds 6)
1:1 - 11.23% (odds 7)
0:2 - 10.55% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, a thrilling game is on the cards. Tondela find themselves in a tough spot, sitting 17th in the table. They have lost four of their last five matches and are struggling defensively, conceding an average of 1.71 goals per game. Braga, on the other hand, are in a strong run of form and consistently find the back of the net, averaging 1.82 goals per match. It's also worth noting a trend: the over 2.5 goals market has hit in six consecutive matches for the visitors, highlighting their attacking prowess. Based on this data, the most reasonable bet would be on over 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Tondela - Braga
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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