Bologna vs Fiorentina Prediction 18 January 2026
📢 What can we expect from the Serie A Round 21 clash between Bologna and Fiorentina at the Renato Dall'Ara? Despite the teams having vastly different objectives-Bologna are fighting for European competition spots, while Fiorentina are trying to escape the lower end of the table-it is the visitors who seem to be in a more convincing form. Fiorentina have gained some momentum and will undoubtedly do everything in their power to secure points once again.
Head-to-Head
📊 In recent head-to-head encounters between Bologna and Fiorentina, the "Viola" hold the upper hand: out of 38 matches, they have claimed victory 18 times, while the "Rossoblù" have won 8 times, with 12 games ending in a draw. In the first round of the current season, Bologna were one of the few teams unable to defeat Fiorentina-the match ended in a 2-2 draw, with the Florentine club showing resilience by coming back from a 0-2 deficit.
Head-to-head statistics Bologna - Fiorentina
Bologna Team Overview
🔴 January 15 marked a significant moment for Bologna as they secured their first league victory since late November. Recently, the "Rossoblù" had been struggling, and they finally broke their winless streak in an away match against Verona with a 3-2 win. It's fair to say that luck was on Bologna's side: all three goals came in the first half, even though their expected goals (xG) was just 0.82. In comparison, Verona's xG was higher at 1.20.
🔵 In the standings, this victory didn't result in a dramatic leap. Bologna moved back to eighth place, but they are now 9 points adrift of the top four, where they were just a couple of months ago. A more realistic target at this point seems to be the top-six zone, which is only 4 points away for the "Rossoblù".
Match Results: Bologna
Fiorentina Team Overview
🟣 Fiorentina have been showing significant improvement lately, losing just one of their last five matches. Moreover, in their previous two fixtures, the "Viola" managed to take points from formidable opponents: they drew with Lazio (2-2) and AC Milan (1-1). Against the "Rossoneri," Fiorentina came tantalizingly close to victory, conceding an unnecessary goal in the 90th minute. In terms of performance, the "Viola" looked more convincing than Milan, so a win for the hosts would not have been a surprise.
⚪ In the league standings, Fiorentina are gradually climbing up. After the 20th round, they sit in 18th place, having recently been anchored at the bottom. The gap to the safe 17th spot has been reduced to four points, and with this momentum, their chances of staying in the top flight appear increasingly realistic.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Latest news
Bologna
📣 Following their 3-2 away victory over Verona, Bologna's head coach Vincenzo Italiano highlighted the team's steady progress: "We're growing step by step, one element at a time. In Como, I was pleased with our approach to the game, and today we finally broke through up front with goals from Orsolini and Odgaard. Gradually, we'll get everything in order." However, Italiano expressed dissatisfaction with their defensive display: "I didn't like the goals we conceded; there was a lapse in concentration, and those goals were avoidable."
🚫 Bologna are facing several squad issues. The participation of one of their key defenders, John Lucumi, remains in doubt due to muscle problems, and his potential absence could weaken the center of defense. Additionally, Federico Bernardeschi is ruled out for an extended period with a collarbone fracture. This is compounded by Nicolo Cambiaghi's suspension following a red card in the previous round.
Fiorentina
📣 Fiorentina's head coach Paolo Vanoli admitted that even the disappointment of a 1-1 draw against AC Milan is a positive sign: "I am 'glad'-in quotes-that there is disappointment. It means the players understand they played a very strong match. We are becoming a team, and after such a game, we can't take a step back. We deserved to celebrate, but if we continue to play like this, success will surely come. Until the 90th minute, we must never give up."
🚫 Fiorentina are also facing challenges, albeit of a different nature. Head coach Paolo Vanoli will be unable to manage the team from the sidelines due to a suspension, which could affect in-game management. Tariq Lamptey is still recovering from a knee injury, and Edin Dzeko's participation is uncertain due to physical discomfort.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Bologna continue to struggle defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet for 13 consecutive matches. In three of their last four games, they've conceded at least two goals. Fiorentina, who have recently been finding the back of the net consistently, seem poised to score again. Therefore, betting on a Fiorentina goal appears to be a solid option.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Recently, the "Rossoblu" have not been frequent visitors to the corner flag. The under 5.5 corners for Bologna has hit in 6 of their last 7 Serie A matches. Moreover, in head-to-head encounters with Fiorentina, Bologna have not been prolific with corners either, earning no more than four in 6 of their previous 7 meetings. There is little reason to expect a deviation from this trend now.
Editorial Prediction
According to bookmakers, Bologna are considered the favorites for the upcoming clash, but we beg to differ. In the last five rounds, the "Rossoblu" have collected fewer points than Fiorentina, who are currently in the relegation zone (5 versus 8). Overall, Bologna have failed to win in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches, with their sole victory in this stretch-a narrow 3-2 win over Verona-being more fortuitous than deserved. Fiorentina, on the other hand, appear more cohesive and organized, as evidenced in their draw against Milan (1-1). If the visitors can replicate that level of play, they have a solid chance of securing points, so our pick is Fiorentina to avoid defeat. We expect a 1-1 scoreline on the board.
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Betting Tips: Bologna - Fiorentina
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in 6 of last 7 Daniele Doveri games (in the Serie A).
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