Werder Bremen vs Augsburg Prediction 19 January 2025

🔊 Can Werder contend for European competitions this season? To do so, they need to win when they are considered favorites. The match at the "Weserstadion" in the 18th round of the Bundesliga is one such case. Essentially, Augsburg can also be considered a mid-table team, but they trail by seven points, which is quite significant. Nonetheless, we will explore different options to make the prediction optimal.

📊 Head-to-head

Over a stretch of 24 head-to-head matches, Werder has a slight advantage with 46% victories. Last season, they defeated Augsburg twice, scoring a total of five goals and conceding none. In the first round of the current season, Augsburg managed to score and even secured a draw on their home turf (2:2). However, this match stands out from the general trend, where in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches in the Bundesliga, more than three goals were not scored. Therefore, it's worth noting as a potential bet total goals under 3.5.

🟢 Werder

Matches involving Werder are among the most high-scoring in the Bundesliga, averaging 3.7 goals per game. For instance, Bayer has the same figure. The team went into the break in good spirits, having won three consecutive matches. They did not concede against Bochum (1:0) and St. Pauli (2:0), which is quite rare this season. After that, Werder conceded against Union but secured a big win (4:1). Fans clearly expected the series to continue in January. Bremen played two high-scoring matches but only earned one point, drawing with Heidenheim (3:3) and conceding in injury time. Werder tried to bolster their defense by loaning Issa Kaboré from Manchester City. However, he hasn't played any matches for the "Citizens" and has continued to move around on loans. At Werder, Kaboré played in two matches but only came on as a substitute. Notably, Felix Agu and Keke Topp will miss the upcoming match due to injuries, as well as Senne Lynen, who has accumulated too many yellow cards.

🔴 Augsburg

In December, Augsburg took points from Eintracht (2:2) and performed quite well against Bayer (0:2). However, they clearly lacked motivation for the last round before the break. The team not only lost to Holstein Kiel but also conceded five goals from one of the outsiders (1:5). In January, Augsburg lost to Stuttgart and could have conceded more (0:1). However, in the last round, they earned three points against Union (2:0) thanks to Alexis Claude-Maurice's brace in the first half-hour. Notably, Ruben Vargas left the club without completing his sixth season at Augsburg. The Swiss player will continue his career at Sevilla. However, his compatriot Cedric Zesiger moved to Augsburg on loan from Wolfsburg. He is expected to strengthen the defense amidst numerous injuries. The infirmary currently lists seven players, five of whom are defenders. Among them, Kevin Schlotterbeck is the most notable figure. Brentford loanee Frank Onyeka will also miss the upcoming match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

🟨 Prediction on yellow cards

Augsburg has an advantage in yellow cards this season - 2.6 compared to 1.9. However, matches involving them generally do not feature a large number of warnings (4.2). Werder's similar figure is even lower (3.9). Therefore, it makes sense to consider a bet on total yellow cards under 4.5, especially since it has won in 10 away matches for Augsburg and in five consecutive head-to-head meetings.

⚽️ Prediction on goals

Werder averages 1.8 goals per match this season. At home, they have scored at least two goals in five consecutive matches. Given Augsburg's defensive injuries, a bet on total goals for Werder over 1.5 seems justified.

🚩 Prediction on corners

Augsburg has an advantage in corners this season - 5 compared to 4.8. However, there are several trends indicating a small number of corners for the hosts in the upcoming match. For instance, Werder has had no more than five corner kicks in six consecutive matches. The same can be said for 10 out of 11 head-to-head meetings. Therefore, we suggest a bet on total corners for Werder under 5.5.

📝 Match prediction

Werder should be recognized as the favorite for the upcoming match. However, they concede a lot and score a lot as well. The team needs to decide what they are fighting for this season. If they wish to play in European competitions, they need to play only for victory. Considering various trends, we propose a potential exact score of 2:1.

Typically, head-to-head matches between these opponents do not have many goals. But there are always exceptions. Augsburg is facing a defensive crisis with injuries. The hosts should capitalize on this. Therefore, as a key bet, we propose total goals for Werder over 1.5, especially since it has succeeded in five consecutive matches in Bremen.