Union vs Mainz Prediction

🔊 Will Mainz maintain their spot in the European competition zone after the 18th round of the Bundesliga? At least they are heading to Berlin to "An der Alten Försterei" not as favorites. However, Union is somewhat in a rebuilding phase, so the visitors have a chance for three points. We will consider different options to make the prediction optimal.

📊 Head-to-Head

In a stretch of 11 head-to-head matches, Union has the advantage with 55% victories. Last season, they crushed Mainz in Berlin (4:1) and settled for a draw away (1:1). This season at the "Mewa Arena," the result was exactly repeated. Then, Nadim Amiri's goal was answered by Laszlo Benes. Notably, Union has scored in the first 45 minutes in five consecutive home head-to-head matches. Therefore, a bet on a home team's goal in the first half seems quite profitable.

🔴 Union

Union is having a rather weak season in the Bundesliga. That's why there was a coaching change during the league break. The team is now led by the colorful Steffen Baumgart. His playing principles differ somewhat from the previous coach. For example, he uses four defenders instead of five. There are other differences that affected the unsuccessful tournament resumption. Under the new coach, Union conceded two unanswered goals from Heidenheim and Augsburg and dropped to 13th place in the standings. The team is only three points ahead of the play-in zone. It's worth noting that Baumgart has personnel losses. Two goalkeepers, Frederik Ronnow and Yannick Stein, are injured. Josip Juranovic and Ivan Prtajin missed 2-3 matches each, and Kevin Vogt was out in the last round. Tom Rothe will not play in the upcoming match as he continues to serve a suspension for a red card in the match against Heidenheim.

⚪ Mainz

Mainz is one of the most uncompromising teams in the Bundesliga. In a stretch of eight matches, they have no draws. Meanwhile, the team celebrated six victories, which allowed them to climb to sixth place in the standings and seriously consider European competitions for next season. After the league break, Mainz easily defeated Bochum thanks to Jonathan Burkardt's brace. It was all the more frustrating when the forward was substituted as early as the third minute of the match against Bayer due to injury. As a result, the team did not score but also did not allow many scoring chances for the opponent (0:1). Notably, Bo Henriksen received a yellow card at the end of the match, meaning he will miss the next game. However, the coach left the match against Bayer early after receiving a red card. In the upcoming match, Gabriel Vidovic, who has been injured for a long time, will not play. In January, Stefan Bell, Moritz Jenz, and Jonathan Burkardt joined him on the injury list.

🟨 Prediction on Yellow Cards

This season, Union has an advantage in yellow cards - 2.6 compared to 2.1. In matches involving opponents, there is an average of 4.2 warnings. The Berliners have at least two yellow cards in 8 out of their last 9 Bundesliga home matches. Therefore, it's worth considering a bet on Union not losing on yellow cards.

⚽️ Prediction on Goals

Union has conceded in seven consecutive matches. This streak did not end even with a coaching change. In six cases during this stretch, the team failed to keep a clean sheet specifically after halftime. Therefore, an interesting bet would be Mainz to score in the 2nd half.

🚩 Prediction on Corners

This season, Union has a slight advantage in corners - 4.9 compared to 4.8. However, in home matches, they take corner kicks even less often (4.4). Considering that in 8 out of their last 9 head-to-head meetings, the Berliners did not have more than five corners, it makes sense to bet on Union's total corners under 5.5.

📝 Match Prediction

There is no clear favorite in the upcoming match. However, Mainz is clearly on a roll. But they will play without their main attacking force and without a coach on the bench. Therefore, Union has a chance to earn their first points under Baumgart. In such a situation, note the potential exact score of 1:1.

Union has yet to score under their new coach. In their third match under his leadership, it's time to show something upfront. On the other hand, Mainz has a well-organized system. The loss of one of their best scorers is significant, but they still have goal scorers available. Therefore, as a key bet, we suggest - both teams to score (Yes). Moreover, it has played out in 6 out of their last 7 head-to-head meetings.