Mainz vs Union Prediction
🔊 The final match of the penultimate round at the MEWA Arena lacks any tournament intrigue, so we anticipate a high-scoring encounter between Mainz and Union. In their first-round clash in Berlin, the teams played out a thrilling draw, and now, with less pressure in the standings, players from both sides can play with more freedom. Coaches are likely to make some rotations, but both teams are dealing with personnel losses, which could impact the quality of play. More details in the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
📊 Two goals in the final 15 minutes allowed Union to come back from 0-2 and secure a draw against Mainz at the "An der Alten Försterei" in the 16th round (2-2). The "Iron Ones" extend their unbeaten streak against Mainz to nine matches (5 wins, 4 draws) - their longest unbeaten run against any opponent in the Bundesliga.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Mainz Team Overview
🔴 In the last round, Mainz triumphed over St. Pauli (2-1) at the Millerntor Stadium, thanks to first-half goals from Philipp Tietz and Philipp Mwene. The '05ers currently sit in 10th place with 37 points. When Urs Fischer joined the club in December, Mainz were five points adrift of the playoff zone. Now, the team holds an 11-point cushion over 16th place and can comfortably prepare for the next season.
⚪ Fischer averages 1.6 points per game-an impressive statistic, making him the most successful Mainz coach this season. The team is set for their 18th consecutive season in the Bundesliga. This is their final home game of the season at the MEWA Arena, after which Mainz will head to Heidenheim for the final round. Nadim Amiri has been a key contributor to their strong second half of the season, leading the team with 11 goals and 2 assists in the league.
Match Results: Mainz
Union Team Overview
⚪ Marie-Luise Eta earned her first point as the interim head coach of Union. The team fought back from a 0-2 deficit to draw with Cologne (2-2), effectively securing their Bundesliga survival. Goals came from Tom Rothe and Livan Burdju. Union sit in 13th place, trailing Mainz by 4 points.
🔴 The "Iron Ones" can overtake Mainz if they win their head-to-head match and perform well in the final round, though it holds little significance for the broader competition. The team is eager to finish the season on a high note. Notably, Andrei Ilic has scored 2 goals and provided 8 assists this season, nearing Christopher Trimmel's club record of 9 assists.
Match Results: Union
Latest news
Mainz
❌ Issues in the first part of the season were partly due to injuries to key players. Currently, Lee Jae-sung, Benedict Hollerbach, Maxim Dahl, Maxim Leitsch, and Silas remain sidelined.
Union
❌ The visitors are also dealing with significant absences. First-choice goalkeeper Frederik Rønnow missed the previous match due to a muscle injury and will not play in this round. Additionally, backup goalkeeper Mateo Raab, midfielder David Prey, and forward Robert Skov are sidelined.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Florian Exner is set to officiate the match. In his last outing, he handed out five cautions, with an average of 3.9 yellow cards over his past 10 games. Both teams rank among the Bundesliga leaders in cautions, with Union Berlin tallying 66 and Mainz 65. On average, they receive about two cards per match. Considering their statistics and style of play, a physical contest is anticipated. Thus, we are looking at over 3.5 yellow cards at odds of 1.78*. This bet has hit in 6 of Mainz's last 7 matches.
⚽ Goal Prediction
The match might not be a high-scoring affair: Union Berlin have scored fewer than two goals in 13 of their last 14 away games. Therefore, it makes sense to consider under 3.5 goals. This has been the outcome in 6 of Mainz's last 7 games and in the last 5 head-to-heads at the MEWA Arena. The odds are 1.48*.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The teams' average corner stats are close: Mainz with 5.1 per match and Union Berlin with 4.9. Union Berlin are one of the teams with the least ball possession in the league, so it's reasonable to expect the hosts to have an edge in this aspect. We are considering Mainz to win on corners. This has occurred in 9 of their last 10 home games.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different betting platforms.
Editor's Prediction
Both teams are free from the pressures of the standings, allowing them to play more liberally. Mainz aim to wrap up the season on a high note in front of their fans at the MEWA Arena. Their winless streak against Union spans nine matches, but they have a solid chance to break it this time, though defensive errors are likely to occur.
The main prediction is both teams to score (yes). This outcome has been successful in the last six head-to-head Bundesliga matches between these clubs and in Union's last five games overall. The expected result is a 2-1 victory for Mainz.
Betting Tips: Mainz - Union
in last 6 games (Bundesliga).in last 3 away games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
in 6 of last 7 away games (Bundesliga).in last 9 games against Union (Bundesliga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
