Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction
🔊 Who will face Chelsea in the semi-final of the English League Cup? On December 23rd, the Emirates will host the rescheduled quarter-final clash between Arsenal and Crystal Palace, ensuring a London derby in the semis. The bookmakers have pegged the Gunners as strong favorites to advance. For our editorial team's take on this matchup, read on for our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Arsenal dominate Crystal Palace in their head-to-head matchups. Since the 2022/23 season, the teams have faced each other eight times, with the Gunners emerging victorious in seven of those encounters. The Eagles have yet to secure a win. Notably, there was a clash a year ago when the sides met in the League Cup quarter-finals. Mikel Arteta's squad triumphed with a 3-2 victory, highlighted by a hat-trick from Gabriel Jesus.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Arsenal Team Overview
The "Gunners" seem to have navigated through a turbulent phase after dropping points twice in a week. They are now on a three-match winning streak, although they managed to secure a victory by more than one goal only against Club Brugge (3-0). In England, it's a bit tougher, yet both in the Premier League and the Champions League, the London side still hold the top spot.
In the League Cup, Mikel Arteta's squad defeated Port Vale and Brighton, both with a 2-0 scoreline. While Arsenal handled the League One side with confidence, the victory over the "Seagulls" was hard-fought. To secure the result, Arteta had to call upon his key players. Looking at Brighton's xG of 1.79, it's fair to say that Arsenal were fortunate not to concede.
Match Results: Arsenal
Crystal Palace Team Overview
It seems the "Glassmakers" have hit a rough patch for the second time this season. While it's not a full-blown crisis just yet, three consecutive matches without a win is a significant setback for the team. A 3-0 defeat to Man City is hardly shocking, but a 2-2 draw with KuPS, which denied them a direct path to the Conference League round of 16, and a heavy 4-1 loss to Leeds are harder to justify.
The League Cup hasn't been smooth sailing either. The "Eagles" faced a serious challenge right in their opening round, narrowly defeating Millwall only via penalties (4-2). Meanwhile, Liverpool were dismantled at Anfield with ease (3-0), although it's worth noting that the "Reds" fielded a lineup far from their strongest.
Match Results: Crystal Palace
Latest news
Arsenal
🎙 Last weekend, Arsenal secured a victory over Everton (1-0), which Mikel Arteta commented on: "I'm very pleased that we managed to defeat Everton away. It's never easy. In the first half, we had periods of clear dominance but created little and scored. After the break, we missed three clear chances - in the Premier League, you have to capitalize on such opportunities to feel comfortable towards the end."
❌ Arsenal's injury list still includes Cristian Mosquera, Max Daauman, Ben White, Kai Havertz, and Gabriel. The most vulnerable position is the center of defense, where there are simply no options for rotation.
Crystal Palace
🎙 Oliver Glasner was left frustrated after a heavy defeat to Leeds: "Conceding four goals from set pieces is disgraceful. I believe this is the first game where we fully deserved to lose. And it's the fourth game in recent weeks where we've been undone by set pieces. I need to have a talk with my staff, as I'm responsible for this. Once or twice is understandable, but not four times," stated the Austrian coach.
❌ Daniel Munoz, Caleb Kporah, Daichi Kamada, Cheick Doucouré, and Fredrik Opoku are sidelined with injuries-a situation that's become all too familiar. The latest setback is Ismaila Sarr's departure for the Africa Cup of Nations. Additionally, Jean-Philippe Mateta is dealing with knee issues, casting doubt on his availability for the match against Arsenal.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Stuart Attwell, appointed as the chief referee for the upcoming clash, averages 4.6 yellow cards per match in the current Premier League season. This is a notably high figure. However, it's not certain that the referee will be equally strict in the cup, especially considering the head-to-head encounters between Arsenal and Crystal Palace aren't known for a flurry of bookings. In their last six meetings at the Emirates, no more than two yellow cards were shown. We don't anticipate rough play from the opponents this time either, so we're betting on under 3.5 yellow cards.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
When the Gunners play at home, you can expect at least two goals from them - this trend has held true in 8 of their last 9 matches. Considering Crystal Palace's squad and tactical issues, along with how other League Cup quarter-finals have ended (all favorites won, scoring at least twice), this trend seems likely to continue. Our pick is over 1.5 goals for Arsenal.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Aside from yellow cards, another aspect where these head-to-heads don't overflow is corners - in 9 of their last 10 encounters, there were fewer than ten corners taken. With squad rotations expected for the cup match, Arsenal might not reach their usual corner count, and Palace have averaged fewer than four per game this season. Therefore, we're placing a bet on under 10.5 corners, a wager that has come through in 6 of Arteta's last 7 home games.
Editorial Prediction
Crystal Palace are known for putting up a fight against the big clubs, but they rarely manage to avoid defeat against Arsenal, especially in their current form. We anticipate a high-scoring affair ending with a 3-1 victory for the Gunners. The visitors' vulnerability at set-pieces could once again be their Achilles' heel. In summary, the most reasonable bet seems to be an Arsenal win.
Betting Tips: Arsenal - Crystal Palace
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