Osasuna vs Racing Club Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
🔊 Conceding five goals against Betis cost Luis Miguel Ramis his job. Osasuna moved quickly, closing his brief chapter the following day and bringing back Jagoba Arrasate - a manager who knows El Sadar well. His first match back could hardly be more convenient for an emotional reset, with the hosts facing a fellow bottom-half Segunda side.
Racing are in no better mood. The Santander club drew 2-2 with Valencia and remain unbeaten at El Sardinero, but away from home they are a different team entirely. Four away trips have brought four defeats and 16 goals conceded. The two sides meet in Pamplona level on eight points, but with very different reasons to be anxious.
Racing last won their two most recent head-to-head clashes over a decade ago.
📊 This fixture has a rich history spanning 70 matches. Racing have won 33 of them, Osasuna 22, with 15 draws. The overall head-to-head advantage belongs to the Santander side.
Though applying that record to the current squads is almost meaningless. Their last competitive meetings came in the Segunda División in the 2014/15 season, with Racing winning both. Since then the clubs have gone their separate ways in different divisions. They have met only a couple of times in friendlies: in August 2025 the away side won, and in July of this year the home side did.
Osasuna have picked up just one point from their last five matches.
Osasuna's start to the season quickly became a problem: two wins, two draws and four defeats, with a goal difference of 8-18. After beating Getafe, they picked up just one point from the next five matches, a run that included defeats to Alavés, Atlético and Betis, with the attack going missing on several occasions.
The heavy defeat in Seville proved the final straw for the club's board. Ramisé was sacked, and Arrasate signed a contract until 2029, returning to a familiar club after more than two years away. The emotional impact of that change could outweigh any tactical detail. The new old manager knows the environment, the demands of the stands and the specifics of the squad inside out.
Match Results: Osasuna
Racing have yet to pick up any points on the road.
The newly promoted side have the same 8 points but have scored 13 goals. Yassir Zabiri has already reached 7 goals, and against Valencia the team came back twice and were actually the closer to winning late on. At home, Racing look like a competitive La Liga side.
The problems start away from home. Four away matches, four defeats, 4 scored and 16 conceded. But it is not just the number of goals that is concerning - opponents are regularly given too much space around the penalty area. That said, Racing are rarely completely toothless in attack. The pace of their attacking players gives the visitors a chance to catch Osasuna in transition following the managerial change.
Match Results: Racing
Latest news
Osasuna
❌ Jorge Herrando, Raúl Moro, Romain Del Castillo, Aimar Oroz and Asier Osambela are all still recovering and will not play. Enrique Barja and Raúl García are doubts.
Racing
🚑 Only Simon Eriksson will miss the match. The rest of the squad is fully available.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Racing have yet to keep a clean sheet in their first eight league rounds. They have conceded 23 times, and away from home their defence gives opponents plenty of opportunities. For Osasuna, after their change of manager, it is hard to imagine a more suitable opponent to get their home attack going again.
The visitors themselves have scored 13 goals, though, and have failed to find the net in only one of their recent matches. Osasuna are conceding an average of more than two per round, and the adjustment to Arrasate's demands is unlikely to fix all their old defensive problems overnight. The pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.60*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Osasuna started the season with 9 corners against Levante, but that spike has remained a one-off. Across 8 league rounds they have earned 25 corners in total - an average of just 3.13 per match. After the opening round, they failed to reach even 5 corners in seven consecutive matches. In their last three home games they managed 1, 3 and 4 corners respectively. Even a possible emotional lift following Arrasate's return is unlikely to affect that figure. Our pick: Osasuna Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.84*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Osasuna have received 22 bookings this season, Racing 21 - averaging 2.75 and 2.63 cards per match respectively. The foul counts are similarly close: the Pamplona side have committed 111 fouls, the Santander side 115. Add to that the fact the two teams are level on points, both sitting near the danger zone, and that this is Arrasate's debut in front of his home supporters. Neither side will want to give an inch. We're backing Total Yellow Cards - Over 4.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Osasuna under their new manager are unlikely to approach their first home match with maximum caution. After five rounds with almost nothing positive to show, Arrasate needs results quickly, and Racing make for a near-ideal opponent - four away matches have already brought the visitors 16 goals conceded and not a single point.
That said, backing a heavy home win feels too bold. Santander score more often than Osasuna, have just opened Valencia up twice, and have one of the most prolific forwards of the early season. If the visitors find their moment again, Pamplona's side will need more than one goal in response. Predicted score: 2-1. Main prediction: Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Osasuna - Racing
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