Kryliya vs Fakel Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔉 The RPL matchday 11 programme opens with Krylya Sovetov vs Fakel. The game is notable for the contrast in form between the two sides. The Samara club have gone six league rounds without defeat. Voronezh's Fakel remain the only team in the division yet to win a match.
Head-to-Head
📊 Samara has been a fortress that Fakel simply cannot crack. In six head-to-head meetings there, the club have lost five times and drawn once. Krylya Sovetov have won their last two home matches against Fakel and kept a clean sheet in both.
Head-to-head statistics Kryliya - Fakel
Krylia Sovetov remain unbeaten, but are still a long way off the RPL’s top five
Six of the Samara club's 10 league matches have ended in draws. That tendency for draws is what has kept them away from the top five. With two wins and two defeats in their other fixtures, the team have accumulated 12 points and sit tenth. Their goal difference stands at 14:15. Within the top 10, Samara are not the only side with a negative goal difference - Dynamo Makhachkala also concede more than they score.
Krylya Sovetov play a fairly open style of football and allow their opponents to attack as well. This season, matches involving the Samara club have averaged 10.2 shots on target, the second-highest figure in the league. That has led to goals being scored regularly in recent rounds. Krylya Sovetov are on a run of seven RPL matches in which they have scored. Notably, in six of their last seven rounds they have scored after half-time, which suggests an ability to grow into games.
Match Results: Krylya Sovetov
Fakel claim their first win of the season
After Oleg Vasilenko's departure, the Voronezh club finally did what had been expected for almost three months. They won their first match of the season. It came in a cup tie against Krasnodar. Fakel scored two goals against the league leaders for the second time this year, but whereas they lost in the RPL (2-3), they won the cup match 2-0. The first winning goal of the season was scored by Abdula Bagamaev.
The cup success may ease some of the psychological pressure that has been weighing on the team and allow them to play with more confidence in Samara. For now, the attack remains the main problem. In away matches their average xG is 1.01 - only two RPL sides have a worse figure. Across ten away matches, Fakel have not managed more than four shots on target. With those numbers, beating a stubborn Krylya Sovetov side will be difficult.
Match Results: Fakel Voronezh
Latest news
Krylya Sovetov
Sergei Pesyakov continues to recover from injury. The goalkeeper has already missed four matches. Nikita Chernov and Amar Rahmanović are both at risk of suspension for the following round. If either picks up a yellow card, they will miss matchday 12 of the RPL.
Fakel Voronezh
It was not only the head coach who left Fakel. Igor Lebedenko, Konstantin Sineokov and Sergei Omelyachuk also departed from the coaching staff.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
One option to consider for this match is Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5. No more than four bookings were shown in 12 of Fakel's last 13 matches. Both sides tend to play with a low overall foul count. Fakel had no more than 22 fouls in 6 of their previous 7 matches, while Krylya Sovetov had no more than 24 fouls in 9 of their previous 10 RPL matches.
⚽ Goals Prediction
An interesting betting option is Krylya Sovetov to Score in the Second Half, priced at 1.76*. Compared to their opponents, Krylya Sovetov stand out with a stronger squad, including their options from the bench. They have scored in the second half in six consecutive home league matches, while Fakel have conceded after the break in each of their last five RPL matches.
🚩 Corners Prediction
On home turf, Krylya Sovetov will look to take the initiative. The team are capable of controlling possession, using a high press and breaking on the counter when needed. A viable bet here is Krylya Sovetov to Win the Corners. In their last two home matches, the Samara side earned more corners than their opponents. Those games were against Baltika and Spartak.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Fakel took clever advantage of Krasnodar's crisis to win the Russian Cup. Repeating that success in Samara will be harder. Krylya Sovetov have historically been the stronger side in head-to-head meetings, and current form is also with the hosts. At home, Krylya Sovetov have not lost to Krasnodar or Spartak in their last three meetings against each. Fakel, meanwhile, travel to Samara on the back of four consecutive away defeats. We expect that run to continue. Our bet for this match is Krylya Sovetov to win. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Krylya Sovetov - Fakel Voronezh
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