Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026
🔊 Melgar and Deportivo Garcilaso continue to battle for the upper reaches of the Clausura table. The visitors sit second with 22 points, while the hosts are seventh, just three points behind. Melgar have gone four rounds without a defeat, while Deportivo Garcilaso, after thrashing Universitario 4-0, surprisingly lost to Sport Huancayo 0-1. Both sides now need points to keep pace with their rivals in the Primera División.
Both sides have found the net in nearly every head-to-head meeting.
Deportivo Garcilaso beat Melgar 1-0 in a Primera match on 28 April 2026, scoring the only goal after the break. Melgar had the greater share of possession - 58% to 42% - and attempted more shots (12 to 10), but the two sides were level on shots on target at 2-2.
📊 In seven official meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso have won three, Melgar one, with three draws. Both teams scored in six of those seven matches.
Head-to-head statistics Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso
Melgar are unbeaten in their last four matches.
In their previous Primera match, Melgar drew 2-2 away to Universitario, despite leading 1-0 at half-time. With the shot count almost level at 12-13, Melgar had more shots on target: 6-4.
Melgar have hit decent form, winning 4 of their last 10 matches, losing 2 and drawing 4. Over that run they have averaged 1.5 goals scored and exactly 1 conceded per game. At home, though, the defence has not always held firm: in 6 of their last 7 home matches, both sides have scored. Melgar have gone 4 league rounds without defeat, and in their previous match they took a point off Universitario, drawing 2-2.
Match Results: FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso have claimed seven wins in their last ten matches.
Deportivo Garcilaso lost 0-1 at home to Sport Huancayo in their last Primera match. The hosts had 62% possession and had 19 shots to their opponents' 13.
Deportivo Garcilaso have been in strong form in the championship: 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 10 matches. Their defence has been particularly impressive, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals per game. Their attack has kept pace - 1.8 goals scored over the same run, including a recent 4-0 thrashing of Universitario. The last defeat, 0-1 against Sport Huancayo, slightly dented that picture, but the visitors remain one of the contenders for the Clausura title.
Match Results: Deportivo Garcilaso
Total Goals Prediction
Melgar have not been involved in many high-scoring matches recently: in 4 of their last 6 games, no more than two goals were scored. Deportivo Garcilaso are also capable of keeping opponents quiet, particularly away from home, where they concede an average of just 0.85 goals per game. The hosts' equivalent figure is 1.07 goals conceded per home match. Both sides are solid defensively, so a high-scoring game seems unlikely. Bet: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 2.05*.
Reliable Bet
Melgar rarely leave their home ground without scoring. In 20 of their last 21 home matches, the team have found the net at least once. Even against Deportivo Garcilaso's solid defence, the hosts look capable of getting on the scoresheet. Our pick: Melgar Team Total - Over 0.5 goals at 1.13*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes for this match are 1-0 (13.78%), 1-1 (11.07%) and 2-0 (9.58%). A narrow Melgar win comes out on top, though a draw or a two-goal home victory are also considered possible results.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Melgar score regularly at home but concede far too often in the process. Deportivo Garcilaso are in good form, and their attack is capable of causing problems for even the stronger sides in the league. That said, the visitors' solid defence is no guarantee of a clean sheet against a side that almost always finds the net in Arequipa. Predicted score: 1-1. Main bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso
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