Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
🔊 Alianza Lima won the Apertura but have dropped off in the second half of the season. The Lima club currently sit eighth in the Clausura with 19 points, just three behind the leaders. Atletico Grau are 11th with 17 points and also remain in contention to climb higher in the Primera División. Alianza already beat this opponent in April (1-0) and will now look to repeat that result at home.
Alliance have yet to lose at home to Atletico.
Alianza Lima beat Atlético Grau away 1-0 in their Primera 26 April 2026 match. The only goal came before half-time. Alianza had 66% possession and registered 12 shots to the hosts' 8.
📊 In 10 official meetings, Alianza Lima have the upper hand: seven wins, two draws and one defeat, with a goal difference of 14-6. At home, Alianza Lima have won four of their five matches against Atlético Grau and have never lost.
Head-to-head statistics Alianza Lima - Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima: Solid at the Back, Struggling Up Front
Alianza Lima won their previous Primera División match away at Cusco, winning 2-1. They were outplayed in terms of possession and corners, but had more shots than the hosts - 13 to 9 - including shots on target by 4 to 1.
Over their last 10 matches, Alianza Lima have won four, drawn four and lost two. During that run they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and exactly 1 conceded per game. At home the Lima club perform more confidently, though in 6 of their previous 7 home matches they scored no more than twice. Their defence remains one of Alianza's strengths, particularly in front of their own supporters.
Match Results: Alianza Lima
Atlético Grau: Inconsistency Holds Them Back
Atlético Grau's home match against Los Chancas ended in a goalless draw, despite a clear statistical advantage: 17-6 in shots and 7-0 in shots on target.
Atlético Grau have been alternating between good results and bad ones: four wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 10 matches. The team are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Away from home they find things particularly difficult, with their scoring rate dropping to 0.71 goals per match. Those numbers make it hard to fancy them against one of the strongest clubs in the country.
Match Results: Atletico Grau
Total Goals Prediction
Alianza's home matches rarely turn into high-scoring affairs: in 9 of their last 10 home games, no more than three goals were scored. The hosts concede an average of just 0.64 goals at home, while Atlético Grau score less than once per game away from home. Both figures point towards a restrained match with few clear-cut chances. Bet: Total Goals - Under 3 at 1.57*.
Corners Prediction
In each of Alianza Lima's last six home matches, the two sides combined for at least 9 corners. The Lima club regularly puts pressure on opponents and looks to make the most of home advantage. Even in low-scoring games, matches involving the hosts tend to produce a high number of corners. Our pick: Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.98*.
Reliable Bet
Alianza Lima have very few problems finding the net at home. They have scored in 21 of their last 22 home matches, and their average of 2.21 goals per home game this season is equally impressive. We're backing Alianza Lima Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at 1.10*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes for this match are 1-0 (13.24%), 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.9%). A narrow home win by 1-0 is considered the most probable result. All three options carry similar probabilities, which points to a moderately low-scoring match.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Alianza Lima remain favourites for this match, but they have rarely been prolific in front of goal recently. Atlético Grau are not a high-scoring side either, so the visitors are quite capable of avoiding a heavy defeat. The hosts should create more chances, but counting on them to score three or more is probably unwise. Predicted score: 2-0. Main bet: Alianza Lima Team Total - Under 2.5 goals.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Alianza Lima - Atletico Grau
in 18 of last 20 home games (Primera Division).in 16 of last 18 games (Primera Division).in 20 of last 22 away games.in 19 of last 21 away games (Primera Division).
in 21 of last 22 home games (Primera Division).in 17 of last 18 games (Primera Division).in 11 of last 12 games.in 9 of last 10 Alianza Lima home games.in 8 of last 9 Alianza Lima home games (Primera Division).in last 7 Alianza Lima games (Primera Division).in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
